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Trade Integration and Business Cycle Convergence: Is the Relation Robust across Time and Space?

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  • Andrew Abbott
  • Joshy Easaw
  • Tao Xing
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    Abstract

    In this paper we investigate the relationship between trade intensity and the business cycle correlation using a panel data set taken from 24 countries over the period 1959-2003. Most previous studies did not account for the possibility that the business cycle correlation may be influenced by unobservable country-pair specific effects. Our estimates, using both fixed- and random-effects methodologies, suggest that trade intensity and the business cycle correlation are positively related to one another. However, detailed investigation shows that this relationship exists mainly for the European countries. Copyright � The editors of the "Scandinavian Journal of Economics" 2008 .

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    Bibliographic Info

    Article provided by Wiley Blackwell in its journal Scandinavian Journal of Economics.

    Volume (Year): 110 (2008)
    Issue (Month): 2 (06)
    Pages: 403-417

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    Handle: RePEc:bla:scandj:v:110:y:2008:i:2:p:403-417

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    Web page: http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/journal/10.1111/(ISSN)1467-9442

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    Cited by:
    1. Simeon Coleman, 2011. "Investigating Business Cycle Synchronization in West Africa," Working Papers 2011/01, Nottingham Trent University, Nottingham Business School, Economics Division.
    2. Jean-Sébastien Pentecôte & Jean-Christophe Poutineau & Fabien Rondeau, 2014. "Trade Integration and Business Cycle Synchronization in the EMU: The Negative Effect of New Trade Flows," Post-Print halshs-01006398, HAL.
    3. Francesco Grigoli, 2012. "The Impact of Trade Integration on Business Cycle Synchronization for Mercosur Countries," European Journal of Comparative Economics, Cattaneo University (LIUC), vol. 9(1), pages 103-131, April.
    4. Berk, Jan Marc & Swank, Job, 2011. "Price level convergence and regional Phillips curves in the US and EMU," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 30(5), pages 749-763, September.
    5. Dinu, Marin & Marinas, Marius-Corneliu & Socol, Cristian & Socol, Aura-Gabriela, 2014. "Testing the Endogeneity of Trade and Financial Integration and Sectoral Specialization in an Enlarged Euro Area," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(1), pages 86-104, March.
    6. Stéphane Dées & Nico Zorell, 2012. "Business Cycle Synchronisation: Disentangling Trade and Financial Linkages," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 23(4), pages 623-643, September.
    7. Yetman, James, 2011. "Exporting recessions: International links and the business cycle," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 110(1), pages 12-14, January.
    8. Stefano Magrini & Margherita Gerolimetto & Hasan Engin Duran, 2011. "Understanding the lead/lag structure among regional business cycles," Working Papers 2011_06, Department of Economics, University of Venice "Ca' Foscari".
    9. Jean-Sébastien Pentecôte & Jean-Christophe Poutineau & Fabien Rondeau, 2013. "Trade Integration and Business Cycle Synchronization in the EMU: the Negative Effect of New Trade Flows," Economics Working Paper Archive (University of Rennes 1 & University of Caen) 201313, Center for Research in Economics and Management (CREM), University of Rennes 1, University of Caen and CNRS.

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