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La estimación de la brecha del producto en Colombia

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  • Jose Luis Torres

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Abstract

La brecha del producto es una variable clave para la política monetaria bajo el régimen de inflación objetivo. Dada la incertidumbre sobre esta medida, los equipos de inflación de los Bancos Centrales monitorean regularmente un conjunto amplio de indicadores y de estimaciones, que dan luces sobre la posición de la economía en el ciclo y posibles presiones de demanda. En este trabajo se reseñan las principales metodologías que se utilizan en el Banco de la República de Colombia para su estimación. También se comparan los pronósticos fuera de muestra, para la inflación básica, que se obtienen utilizando las diferentes medidas en una curva de Phillips híbrida.

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Bibliographic Info

Paper provided by Banco de la Republica de Colombia in its series Borradores de Economia with number 462.

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Handle: RePEc:bdr:borrec:462

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Related research

Keywords: Brecha del producto; Curva de Phillips; Colombia. Classification JEL: C32; C43; E31; E37; E52.;

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Cited by:
  1. Andrés González & Sergio Ocampo & Julian Pérez Amaya & Diego Rodríguez, 2012. "Output gap and Neutral interest measures for Colombia," Borradores de Economia 726, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
  2. Ignacio Lozano & Hernán Rincón & Miguel Sarmiento & Jorge Ramos, 2008. "Regla fiscal cuantitativa para consolidar y blindar las finanzas públicas de Colombia," BORRADORES DE ECONOMIA 004597, BANCO DE LA REPÚBLICA.
  3. repec:cml:incocp:1-01 is not listed on IDEAS
  4. Nicolas E. Magud & Evridiki Tsounta, 2012. "To Cut or Not to Cut? That is the (Central Bank’s) Question In Search of the Neutral Interest Rate in Latin America," IMF Working Papers 12/243, International Monetary Fund.

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