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Efficient Policy Rulefor Inflation Targeting Incolombia

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Author Info
MARTHA ROSALBA LOPEZPIÑEROS ()
Abstract

In a small macroeconomic model of the Colombian economy I investigate the problem of selecting an efficient simple policy rule – rules that exploit a reduced information set-that is consistent with inflation targeting. Even though simple policy rules are not as efficient as the optimal state-contingent policy rules, in the literature it has been shown that some simple rules can approximate them very well. I spell out the characteristics of the feedback and output parameters in simple Taylor and Inflation-forecast rules, as well as the optimal forecasting horizon for inflation targeting. Using stochastic simulations of the model it is found that, as expected, simple rules that use forecasts of inflation rather than just contemporaneous inflation have better stabilization properties.

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Article provided by BANCO DE LA REPÚBLICA - ESPE in its journal ENSAYOS SOBRE POLÍTICA ECONÓMICA.

Volume (Year): (2004)
Issue (Month): ()
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Handle: RePEc:col:000107:002438

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  1. Richard Clarida & Jordi Gali & Mark Gertler, 1997. "Monetary Policy Rules in Practice: Some International Evidence," NBER Working Papers 6254, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  2. Svensson, Lars E. O., 1999. "Inflation targeting as a monetary policy rule," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 43(3), pages 607-654, June. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  3. Robert G. King, 1995. "Quantitative theory and econometrics," Economic Quarterly, Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond, issue Sum, pages 53-105. [Downloadable!]
  4. Laurence Ball, 1998. "Policy Rules for Open Economies," RBA Research Discussion Papers rdp9806, Reserve Bank of Australia. [Downloadable!]
  5. Aaron Drew & Benjamin Hunt, 1999. "Efficient simple policy rules and the implications of potential output uncertainty," Reserve Bank of New Zealand Discussion Paper Series G99/5, Reserve Bank of New Zealand. [Downloadable!]
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  6. Nicoletta Batini & Andrew G Haldane, . "Forward-looking rules for monetary policy," Bank of England working papers 91, Bank of England. [Downloadable!]
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  7. Blanchard, Olivier Jean & Kahn, Charles M, 1980. "The Solution of Linear Difference Models under Rational Expectations," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 48(5), pages 1305-11, July. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  8. Richard Dennis, 2000. "Optimal simple targeting rules for small open economies," Working Papers in Applied Economic Theory 2000-20, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco. [Downloadable!]
  9. Laurence Ball, 1998. "Policy Rules for Open Economies," NBER Working Papers 6760, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  10. Batini, Nicoletta & Nelson, Edward, 2000. "Optimal Horizons for Inflation Targeting," Working Paper Series 103, Sveriges Riksbank (Central Bank of Sweden). [Downloadable!]
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