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Mittelfristige Projektion der wirtschaftlichen Entwicklung

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Author Info

  • Oliver Holtemöller
  • Katja Drechsel
  • Brigitte Loose

Abstract

Die konjunkturelle Schwächephase im Winterhalbjahr 2012/2013 wirkt sich auch auf das mittelfristige Wirtschaftswachstum in Deutschland aus. Unter Berücksichtigung der Herbstprognose 2012 von IWH und Kiel Economics ist nunmehr mit einer durchschnittlichen Wachstumsrate des Bruttoinlandsproduktes von 1¼% pro Jahr zwischen 2011 und 2017 zu rechnen. Dabei wird unterstellt, dass die Auslastung der deutschen Wirtschaft nach der vorübergehenden konjunkturellen Schwächephase überdurchschnittlich sein wird, weil die einheitliche europäische Geldpolitik in Deutschland noch längere Zeit expansiv wirken dürfte.

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File URL: http://www.iwh-halle.de/d/publik/wiwa/8-12-4.pdf
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Bibliographic Info

Article provided by Halle Institute for Economic Research in its journal Wirtschaft im Wandel.

Volume (Year): 18 (2012)
Issue (Month): 8-9 ()
Pages: 259-262

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Handle: RePEc:iwh:iwhwiw:8-12-4

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