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Endogenous Persistence with Recursive Inattentiveness

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Abstract

The DSGE model with endogenous and time-varying sticky information in Dräger (2010) is extended by allowing agents’ recursive choice between forecasts under rational or sticky information to affect the model solution. Dynamic equilibrium paths generate highly persistent series for output, inflation and the nominal interest rate. Agents choose predictors in a near-rational manner and we find that the share of agents with rational expectations reacts to the overall variability of aggregate variables. The model can generate hump-shaped responses of inflation and output to a monetary policy shock if the degree of inattentiveness is sufficiently high. Finally, feedback from agents’ degree of inattentiveness to the model solution affects the determinacy region of the model. The Taylor principle is then only a necessary condition for determinacy, and monetary policy should target the output gap as well in order to ensure a unique and stable solution.

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Bibliographic Info

Paper provided by KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich in its series KOF Working papers with number 11-285.

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Length: 35 pages
Date of creation: Jul 2011
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:kof:wpskof:11-285

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Keywords: Endogenous sticky information; heterogeneous expectations; DSGE models; persistence;

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References

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Cited by:
  1. Michael J. Lamla & Lena Dräger, 2013. "Imperfect Information and Inflation Expectations: Evidence from Microdata," KOF Working papers 13-329, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich.
  2. Dräger, Lena & Lamla, Michael J., 2012. "Updating inflation expectations: Evidence from micro-data," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 117(3), pages 807-810.

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