Теорема О Существовании Разрывов В Шкале Вероятностей. Дискретный Случай
[Theorem of existence of ruptures in probability scale. Discrete case]
AbstractThe theorem of existence of the ruptures in the probability scale has been proved for a discrete case. The theorem can be used, e.g., in economics and forecasting. It can assist to solve paradoxes such as Allais paradox and the “four-fold-pattern” paradox and to create the correcting formula of forecasting.
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Bibliographic InfoPaper provided by University Library of Munich, Germany in its series MPRA Paper with number 23902.
Date of creation: 14 Jul 2010
Date of revision:
probability; economics; forecasting; modeling; modelling; utility; decisions; uncertainty;
Find related papers by JEL classification:
- D81 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - Criteria for Decision-Making under Risk and Uncertainty
- G11 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Portfolio Choice; Investment Decisions
- C5 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling
- E37 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications
- C1 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General
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- Alexander Harin, 2005. "A new approach to solve old problems," Game Theory and Information 0505005, EconWPA.
- Daniel Kahneman & Richard H. Thaler, 2006. "Anomalies: Utility Maximization and Experienced Utility," Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 20(1), pages 221-234, Winter.
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