A Small Economic Model for Argentina
AbstractThe uncertainty around monetary policy decision-making requires central banks to make extensive use of macroeconomic models both to analyze the current economic situation and to forecast the evolution of the main economic variables. The Small Economic Model (SEM) for Argentina describes in a stylized manner the macroeconomic dynamic of a small and open economy. This document describes the SEM’s structure and its two versions: a first one that includes the model’s core equations, and a second version that incorporates the simultaneous intervention in the money and foreign exchange markets by the central bank. The model’s main characteristics and limitations, the techniques employed to estimate its parameters and impulse-response functions for both models are presented. Finally, the future research agenda aimed to strengthen the analysis, simulation and forecasting tools for monetary policy purposes is discussed.
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Bibliographic InfoThis book is provided by Central Bank of Argentina, Economic Research Department in its series BCRA Paper Series with number 03 and published in 2007.
Argentina; forecasting; general equilibrium; monetary policy; New Keynesian models;
Find related papers by JEL classification:
- C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models
- C61 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling - - - Optimization Techniques; Programming Models; Dynamic Analysis
- E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
- E37 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications
- E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
- E58 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Central Banks and Their Policies
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