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Chi-squared tests of interval and density forecasts, and the Bank of England's fan charts Author info | Abstract | Publisher info | Download info | Related research | Statistics Wallis, Kenneth F.
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Article provided by Elsevier in its journal International Journal of Forecasting .
Volume (Year): 19 (2003)
Issue (Month): 2 ()
Pages: 165-175
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Handle: RePEc:eee:intfor:v:19:y:2003:i:2:p:165-175Contact details of provider: Web page: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/ijforecast
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References listed on IDEAS Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile , click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.: Diebold, Francis X & Gunther, Todd A & Tay, Anthony S, 1998.
"Evaluating Density Forecasts with Applications to Financial Risk Management ,"
International Economic Review ,
Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 39(4), pages 863-83, November.
Thompson, Patrick A & Miller, Robert B, 1986.
"Sampling the Future: A Bayesian Approach to Forecasting from Univariate Time Series Models ,"
Journal of Business & Economic Statistics ,
American Statistical Association, vol. 4(4), pages 427-36, October.
Francis X. Diebold & Anthony S. Tay & Kenneth F. Wallis, 1997.
"Evaluating Density Forecasts of Inflation: The Survey of Professional Forecasters ,"
NBER Working Papers
6228, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Other versions: Francis X. Diebold & Todd A. Gunther & Anthony S. Tay, 1997.
"Evaluating Density Forecasts ,"
NBER Technical Working Papers
0215, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Other versions:
Francis X. Diebold & Todd A. Gunther & Anthony S. Tay, 1997.
"Evaluating density forecasts ,"
Working Papers
97-6, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia.
[Downloadable!] Francis X. Diebold & Todd A. Gunther & Anthony S. Tay, 1997.
"Evaluating Density Forecasts ,"
Center for Financial Institutions Working Papers
97-37, Wharton School Center for Financial Institutions, University of Pennsylvania.
[Downloadable!] Francis X. Diebold & Todd A. Gunther & Anthony S. Tay, .
"Evaluating Density Forecasts ,"
CARESS Working Papres
97-18, University of Pennsylvania Center for Analytic Research and Economics in the Social Sciences.
[Downloadable!] Christoffersen, Peter F, 1998.
"Evaluating Interval Forecasts ,"
International Economic Review ,
Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 39(4), pages 841-62, November.
Michael P. Clements & Nick Taylor, 2003.
"Evaluating interval forecasts of high-frequency financial data ,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics ,
John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 18(4), pages 445-456.
[Downloadable!]
Granger, C. W. J. & White, Halbert & Kamstra, Mark, 1989.
"Interval forecasting : An analysis based upon ARCH-quantile estimators ,"
Journal of Econometrics ,
Elsevier, vol. 40(1), pages 87-96, January.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Anthony Tay & Kenneth F. Wallis, 2000.
"Density Forecasting: A Survey ,"
Econometric Society World Congress 2000 Contributed Papers
0370, Econometric Society.
[Downloadable!]
Full
references Cited by : (explanations , Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile , click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.)
Boero, Gianna & Smith, Jeremy & Wallis, Kenneth F, 2004.
"Sensitivity of the Chi-Squared Goodness-of-Fit Test to the Partitioning of Data ,"
The Warwick Economics Research Paper Series (TWERPS)
694, University of Warwick, Department of Economics.
[Downloadable!]
Christopher Spencer, 2006.
"The Dissent Voting Behaviour of Bank of England MPC Members ,"
Department of Economics Discussion Papers
0306, Department of Economics, University of Surrey.
[Downloadable!]
B. Siliverstovs & D.J. Van Dijk, 2003.
"Forecasting industrial production with linear, nonlinear and structural change models ,"
Econometric Institute Report
321, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Econometric Institute.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions: Gianna Boero & Emanuela Marrocu, 2002.
"The performance of Setar Models: a regime conditional evaluation of point, interval and density forecasts ,"
Working Paper CRENoS
200208, Centre for North South Economic Research, University of Cagliari and Sassari, Sardinia.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions:
Boero, Gianna & Marrocu, Emanuela, 2003.
"The Performance Of Setar Models : A Regime Conditional Evaluation Of Point, Interval And Density Forecasts ,"
The Warwick Economics Research Paper Series (TWERPS)
663, University of Warwick, Department of Economics.
[Downloadable!] Boero, Gianna & Marrocu, Emanuela, 2004.
"The performance of SETAR models: a regime conditional evaluation of point, interval and density forecasts ,"
International Journal of Forecasting ,
Elsevier, vol. 20(2), pages 305-320.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Knüppel, Malte & Schultefrankenfeld, Guido, 2008.
"How informative are macroeconomic risk forecasts? An examination of the Bank of England's inflation forecasts ,"
Discussion Paper Series 1: Economic Studies
2008,14, Deutsche Bundesbank, Research Centre.
[Downloadable!]
Marco Vega, 2004.
"Policy Makers Priors and Inflation Density Forecasts ,"
Econometrics
0403005, EconWPA.
[Downloadable!]
Gianna Boero & Emanuela Marrocu, 2001.
"Evaluating non-linear models on point and interval forecasts: an application with exchange rate returns ,"
Working Paper CRENoS
200110, Centre for North South Economic Research, University of Cagliari and Sassari, Sardinia.
[Downloadable!]
Harris, Mark & Spencer, Christopher, 2008.
"Decade of dissent: explaining the dissent voting behavior of Bank of England MPC members ,"
MPRA Paper
9100, University Library of Munich, Germany.
[Downloadable!]
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