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Aus dem Instrumentenkasten der Konjunkturanalyse : Veränderungen im Vergleich

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  • Wolfgang Nierhaus

Abstract

Um bei Konjunkturanalysen Aufschluss über konjunkturelle Schwankungen erlangen zu können, werden in der empirischen Wirtschaftsforschung Veränderungsraten wie Jahresdurchschnittsraten, laufende (Jahres-) Raten etc. in die Datenerfassung und -aufbereitung miteinbezogen. In welchem Masse die genannten vorgegebenen Konjunkturindikatoren das konjunkturelle Geschehen tatsächlich wiedergeben, untersucht der vorliegende Bericht.

Suggested Citation

  • Wolfgang Nierhaus, 1999. "Aus dem Instrumentenkasten der Konjunkturanalyse : Veränderungen im Vergleich," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 52(27), pages 11-19, October.
    • Handle: RePEc:ces:ifosdt:v:52:y:1999:i:27:p:11-19
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Wolfgang Nierhaus, 2002. "Consumer price trends after the introduction of euro cash," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 55(05), pages 54-56, March.
    2. Wolfgang Nierhaus, 2020. "Economic Business Cycle 2019: Forecast and Reality," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 73(01), pages 51-57, January.
    3. Klaus Abberger & Klaus Wohlrabe, 2006. "Forecasting qualities of the Ifo Business Climate Index - a look at recent studies," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 59(22), pages 19-26, November.
    4. Klaus Abberger & Gebhard Flaig & Wolfgang Nierhaus, 2007. "ifo Konjunkturumfragen und Konjunkturanalyse : ausgewählte methodische Aufsätze aus dem ifo Schnelldienst," ifo Forschungsberichte, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, number 33.
    5. Wolfgang Nierhaus, 2007. "Economy economic activity 2006: Forecasting and reality," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 60(02), pages 23-28, January.
    6. Wolfgang Nierhaus, 2005. "Economic activity 2004: Forecasting and reality," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 58(03), pages 26-30, February.
    7. Wolfgang Nierhaus, 2019. "Business Cycle 2018: Forecast and Reality," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 72(03), pages 22-29, February.
    8. Wolfgang Nierhaus, 2003. "Economy economic activity 2002: Forecasting and reality," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 56(02), pages 20-23, January.
    9. Wolfgang Nierhaus, 2004. "Economy economic activity 2003: Forecasting and reality," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 57(03), pages 26-29, February.
    10. Wolfgang Nierhaus, 2005. "Previous year price basis and chain linking in the National Accounts: the most important features of the new volume calculation," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 58(15), pages 29-35, August.
    11. Klaus Wohlrabe & Timo Wollmershäuser, 2017. "Interpreting the ifo Business Climate Correctly as a Leading Economic Indicator," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 70(15), pages 42-46, August.
    12. Wolfgang Nierhaus & Jan-Egbert Sturm, 2003. "Methods of business cycle forecasting," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 56(04), pages 7-23, February.
    13. Wolfgang Nierhaus, 2008. "Economic activity in 2007: forecasts and reality," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 61(03), pages 21-26, February.
    14. Wolfgang Nierhaus, 2006. "Economic activity 2005: forecasting and reality," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 59(02), pages 37-43, January.
    15. Wolfgang Nierhaus, 2018. "Economic Situation 2017: Forecast and Reality," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 71(03), pages 35-42, February.
    16. Timo Wollmershäuser & Marcell Göttert & Christian Grimme & Carla Krolage & Stefan Lautenbacher & Robert Lehmann & Sebastian Link & Wolfgang Nierhaus & Ann-Christin Rathje & Magnus Reif & Radek Šauer &, 2018. "ifo Economic Forecast Winter 2018: Germany’s Economy Cools Down," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 71(24), pages 28-82, December.
    17. Wolfgang Nierhaus, 2002. "German economy 2001: Forecast and reality," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 55(02), pages 32-34, January.
    18. Edda Müller, 2003. "Consumer protection and competition," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 56(04), pages 3-6, February.

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • C10 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - General
    • E37 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications

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