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The Informational Role Of Commodity Prices In Formulating Monetary Policy: A Reexamination

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Author Info
Awokuse, Titus
Yang, Jian

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Abstract

This paper reexamines the issue of whether commodity prices provide useful information for formulating monetary policy through the application of recent development in time series methodology developed by Toda and Yamamoto (1995). We found that commodity prices signals the future direction of the economy.

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File URL: http://purl.umn.edu/15834
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Publisher Info
Paper provided by University of Delaware, Department of Food and Resource Economics in its series Staff Papers with number 15834.

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Date of creation: 2002
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Handle: RePEc:ags:udelsp:15834

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Related research
Keywords: commodity prices; monetary policy; causality; Financial Economics; E31; E37;

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References listed on IDEAS
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  1. Pindyck, Robert S & Rotemberg, Julio J, 1990. "The Excess Co-movement of Commodity Prices," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 100(403), pages 1173-89, December. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  2. Toda, Hiro Y & Phillips, Peter C B, 1993. "Vector Autoregressions and Causality," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 61(6), pages 1367-93, November. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
  3. Engle, Robert F & Granger, Clive W J, 1987. "Co-integration and Error Correction: Representation, Estimation, and Testing," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 55(2), pages 251-76, March. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  4. Juan Dolado & Helmut Lütkepohl, 1996. "Making wald tests work for cointegrated VAR systems," Econometric Reviews, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 15(4), pages 369-386. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  5. Sephton, Peter S, 1991. "Commodity Prices: Policy Target or Information Variable: A Comment," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 23(2), pages 260-66, May. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  6. Cody, Brian J & Mills, Leonard O, 1991. "The Role of Commodity Prices in Formulating Monetary Policy," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 73(2), pages 358-65, May. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  7. Hua, Ping, 1998. "On Primary Commodity Prices: The Impact of Macroeconomic/Monetary Shocks," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 20(6), pages 767-790, December. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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