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Fiscal policy analysis in the euro area: Expanding the toolkit

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  • Paredes, Joan
  • Pedregal, Diego J.
  • Pérez, Javier J.

Abstract

The absence of historical quarterly fiscal data has limited the analysis of the macroeconomic impact of fiscal policies in the euro area, including the interactions of fiscal and monetary policies. To overcome this gap, we construct a quite disaggregated euro area quarterly fiscal database for the period 1980Q1–2012Q4, based on a rich set of input fiscal data taken from national sources. We discuss how this dataset has allowed and can allow the profession to tackle new policy-relevant research topics. We also provide stylized facts on the cyclical properties of main euro area fiscal aggregates, focusing on the recent economic crisis period.

Suggested Citation

  • Paredes, Joan & Pedregal, Diego J. & Pérez, Javier J., 2014. "Fiscal policy analysis in the euro area: Expanding the toolkit," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 36(5), pages 800-823.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:jpolmo:v:36:y:2014:i:5:p:800-823
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jpolmod.2014.07.003
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    4. Brezeanu Petre & Popa Adriana Florina & Sahlian Daniela Nicoleta & Calopereanu Monica Florentina & Damian Ramona Tatiana, 2019. "Study on the fiscal behavior at an international level," Proceedings of the International Conference on Business Excellence, Sciendo, vol. 13(1), pages 601-612, May.
    5. Ana Lamo & Enrique Moral-Benito & Javier J. Pérez, 2016. "Does slack influence public and private labour market interactions?," Working Papers 1605, Banco de España.
    6. Petropoulos, Fotios & Apiletti, Daniele & Assimakopoulos, Vassilios & Babai, Mohamed Zied & Barrow, Devon K. & Ben Taieb, Souhaib & Bergmeir, Christoph & Bessa, Ricardo J. & Bijak, Jakub & Boylan, Joh, 2022. "Forecasting: theory and practice," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 38(3), pages 705-871.
      • Fotios Petropoulos & Daniele Apiletti & Vassilios Assimakopoulos & Mohamed Zied Babai & Devon K. Barrow & Souhaib Ben Taieb & Christoph Bergmeir & Ricardo J. Bessa & Jakub Bijak & John E. Boylan & Jet, 2020. "Forecasting: theory and practice," Papers 2012.03854, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2022.
    7. Christoph Bierbrauer, 2017. "National Fiscal Stimulus Packages And Consolidation Strategies In A Monetary Union," IEER Working Papers 110, Institute of Empirical Economic Research, Osnabrueck University.
    8. Alloza, Mario & Burriel, Pablo & Pérez, Javier J., 2019. "Fiscal policies in the euro area: Revisiting the size of spillovers," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 1-1.
    9. Alejandro Buesa & Javier Población & Javier Tarancón, 2023. "The Procyclicality of Impairment Accounting: Comparing Expected Losses Under IFRS 9 and US GAAP," Journal of Financial Services Research, Springer;Western Finance Association, vol. 64(3), pages 303-324, December.
    10. Lahiri, Kajal & Yang, Cheng, 2022. "Boosting tax revenues with mixed-frequency data in the aftermath of COVID-19: The case of New York," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 38(2), pages 545-566.
    11. Nikki Panjer & Leo Haan & Jan P. A. M. Jacobs, 2020. "Is fiscal policy in the euro area Ricardian?," Empirica, Springer;Austrian Institute for Economic Research;Austrian Economic Association, vol. 47(2), pages 411-429, May.
    12. Carnazza, Giovanni & Liberati, Paolo & Sacchi, Agnese, 2020. "The cyclically-adjusted primary balance: A novel approach for the euro area," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 42(5), pages 1123-1145.
    13. Rodríguez Bolívar, Manuel Pedro & Navarro Galera, Andrés & Alcaide Muñoz, Laura, 2015. "Governance, transparency and accountability: An international comparison," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 37(1), pages 136-174.
    14. Gregory de Walque & Thomas Lejeune & Ansgar Rannenberg, 2023. "Empirical DSGE model evaluation with interest rate expectations measures and preferences over safe assets," Working Paper Research 433, National Bank of Belgium.
    15. Buesa, Alejandro & Población García, Francisco Javier & Tarancón, Javier, 2019. "Measuring the procyclicality of impairment accounting regimes: a comparison between IFRS 9 and US GAAP," Working Paper Series 2347, European Central Bank.
    16. Mario Alloza & Marien Ferdinandusse & Pascal Jacquinot & Katja Schmidt, 2020. "Fiscal expenditure spillovers in the euro area: An empirical and model-based assessment," Occasional Papers 2012, Banco de España.
    17. Ricci-Risquete, Alejandro & Ramajo, Julián, 2015. "The effects of fiscal policy on the Spanish economy: Keynesian or non-Keynesian behavior?," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 37(6), pages 1019-1048.
    18. Ricci-Risquete, Alejandro & Ramajo, Julián & de Castro, Francisco, 2016. "Do Spanish fiscal regimes follow the euro-area trends? Evidence from Markov-Switching fiscal rules," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 484-494.
    19. António Afonso & José Alves & Serena Ionta, 2023. "The Effects of Monetary Policy Surprises and Fiscal Sustainability Regimes in the Euro Area," CESifo Working Paper Series 10558, CESifo.
    20. Christoph Bierbrauer, 2017. "National Fiscal Stimulus Packages And Consolidation Strategies In A Monetary Union," Working Papers 110, Institute of Empirical Economic Research, Osnabrueck University.
    21. Diego J. Pedregal & Javier J. Pérez & Antonio Sánchez Fuentes, 2014. "A Tookit to strengthen Government," Hacienda Pública Española / Review of Public Economics, IEF, vol. 211(4), pages 117-146, December.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Euro area; Fiscal database; Fiscal policies; Stylized facts; Mixed-frequencies’ models;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C53 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Forecasting and Prediction Models; Simulation Methods
    • E6 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook
    • H6 - Public Economics - - National Budget, Deficit, and Debt

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