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Evolving Seasonal Pattern of Tenerife Tomato Exports

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  • Rodriguez, Gloria Martin
  • Hernandez, Jose Juan Caceres

Abstract

The aim of this paper is to analyse the long term movements and, particularly, the seasonal pattern of Tenerife (Canary Islands) tomato exports throughout the last two decades. In order to observe more clearly the exporter's decisions, weekly data has been used. The instabilities in the long term behaviour of the series and the specific nature of the seasonal pattern should be taken into account in order to capture the performance of exports accurately. Thus, this analysis is carried out inside the frame delimited by the structural approach to time series and the usefulness of evolving splines as a tool capable of modelling seasonal variations in which either the period or the magnitude of the fluctuations do not remain the same over time is shown.

Suggested Citation

  • Rodriguez, Gloria Martin & Hernandez, Jose Juan Caceres, 2005. "Evolving Seasonal Pattern of Tenerife Tomato Exports," 2005 International Congress, August 23-27, 2005, Copenhagen, Denmark 24501, European Association of Agricultural Economists.
    • Handle: RePEc:ags:eaae05:24501
    DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.24501
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Harvey, Andrew & Koopman, Siem Jan & Riani, Marco, 1997. "The Modeling and Seasonal Adjustment of Weekly Observations," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 15(3), pages 354-368, July.
    2. Durbin, James & Koopman, Siem Jan, 2012. "Time Series Analysis by State Space Methods," OUP Catalogue, Oxford University Press, edition 2, number 9780199641178, Decembrie.
    3. Cáceres Hernández, J.J., 2001. "Optimalidad del patrón estacional de las exportaciones canarias de tomate," Estudios de Economia Aplicada, Estudios de Economia Aplicada, vol. 18, pages 41-66, Agosto.
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