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Measuring TFP: A Latent Variable Approach

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Author Info
Rodrigo Fuentes, Marco Morales

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Abstract

Despite the important role that total factor productivity (TFP) has played in growth literature, few attempts have been made to change the methodology to estimate it. This paper proposes a methodology based on state–space model to estimate TFP and its determinants. With this methodology it is possible to reduce the measurement of our ignorance. As a by-product, this estimation yields the capital share in output and the long-term growth rate. When applied to Chile, the estimation shows a capital share around 0.5 and long term growth of TFP around 1%. Capital accumulation tends to explain more the growth rate in the fast growth periods under the econometric estimation compared to the traditional growth accounting methodology. l II) could be helpful on this task.

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Publisher Info
Paper provided by Central Bank of Chile in its series Working Papers Central Bank of Chile with number 419.

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Date of creation: Jun 2007
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Handle: RePEc:chb:bcchwp:419

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  1. Romer, Paul M, 1986. "Increasing Returns and Long-run Growth," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 94(5), pages 1002-37, October. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  2. Stephen L. Parente & Edward C. Prescott, 1991. "Technology Adoption and Growth," NBER Working Papers 3733, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
  3. Robert E. Hall & Charles I. Jones, 1999. "Why Do Some Countries Produce So Much More Output per Worker than Others?," NBER Working Papers 6564, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  4. Harberger, Arnold C, 1998. "A Vision of the Growth Process," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 88(1), pages 1-32, March.
  5. Harvey, A C, et al, 1986. "Stochastic Trends in Dynamic Regression Models: An Application to the Employment-Output Equations," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 96(384), pages 975-85, December. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  6. Chumacero, Romulo A. & Fuentes, J. Rodrigo, 2006. "Chilean growth dynamics," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 23(2), pages 197-214, March. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  7. Baoline Chen & Peter Zadrozny, 2005. "Estimated U.S. Manufacturing Production Capital and Technology Based on an Estimated Dynamic Economic Model," CESifo Working Paper Series CESifo Working Paper No. , CESifo Group Munich. [Downloadable!]
  8. Peter Klenow & Andrés Rodríguez-Clare, 1997. "The Neoclassical Revival in Growth Economics: Has It Gone Too Far?," NBER Chapters, in: NBER Macroeconomics Annual 1997, Volume 12, pages 73-114 National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!]
  9. Mankiw, N Gregory & Romer, David & Weil, David N, 1992. "A Contribution to the Empirics of Economic Growth," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, MIT Press, vol. 107(2), pages 407-37, May. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  10. Edward C. Prescott, 1997. "Needed: a theory of total factor productivity," Staff Report 242, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis. [Downloadable!]
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  11. Romer, Paul M, 1990. "Endogenous Technological Change," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 98(5), pages S71-102, October. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  12. Lucas, Robert Jr., 1988. "On the mechanics of economic development," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 22(1), pages 3-42, July. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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