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The South African Aggregate Production Function: Estimation Of The Constant Elasticity Of Substitution Function

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  • Lumengo Bonga-bonga

Abstract

This paper assesses the validity of the constant elasticity of substitution (CES) and the Cobb-Douglas (CD) production functions in modelling the aggregate production function and computing the total factor productivity (TFP) in South Africa for the period 1970-2006. The CES function is estimated with Nerlove's two-step procedure using the autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) cointegration and the Kalman filter estimation techniques, while the CD production function is estimated using the Kalman filter technique. The results of the forecast performance of the two model specifications show that the CD specification outperforms the CES for the period 1970-2006, although the CD specification may be too restrictive. Copyright (c) 2009 The Author. Journal compilation (c) 2009 Economic Society of South Africa.

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Bibliographic Info

Article provided by Economic Society of South Africa in its journal South African Journal of Economics.

Volume (Year): 77 (2009)
Issue (Month): 2 (06)
Pages: 332-349

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Handle: RePEc:bla:sajeco:v:77:y:2009:i:2:p:332-349

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Cited by:
  1. Saten Kumar & Gail Pacheco & StephaniƩ Rossouw, 2010. "How to Increase the Growth Rate in South Africa?," EERI Research Paper Series EERI_RP_2010_31, Economics and Econometrics Research Institute (EERI), Brussels.
  2. Rulof P. Burger & Francis J. Teal, 2014. "The effect of schooling on worker productivity: Evidence from a South African industry panel," Working Papers 04/2014, Stellenbosch University, Department of Economics.

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