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Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco

Economic Review

Contact information of Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco:
Postal: P.O. Box 7702, San Francisco, CA 94120-7702
Phone: (415) 974-2000
Fax: (415) 974-3333
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For technical questions regarding this series, please contact (Diane Rosenberger)
Series handle: repec:fip:fedfer

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2009

1-11 Regional growth and resilience: evidence from urban IT centers
by Jeremy Gerst & Mark Doms & Mary C. Daly [Downloadable!]
13-24 Do supervisory rating standards change over time?
by John Krainer & Jose A. Lopez [Downloadable!]

2008

1-15 Information and communications technology as a general purpose technology: evidence from U.S. industry data
by Susanto Basu & John G. Fernald [Downloadable!]
17-29 The role of relative performance in bank closure decisions
by Kenneth Kasa & Mark M. Spiegel [Downloadable!]
31-39 The quantity and character of out-of-market small business lending
by Elizabeth S. Laderman [Downloadable!]

2007

1-23 Inflation targeting under imperfect knowledge
by Athanasios Orphanides & John C. Williams [Downloadable!]
25-47 Inflation targeting and the anchoring of inflation expectations in the western hemisphere
by Refet Gurkaynak & Andrew T. Levin & Andrew N. Marder & Eric T. Swanson [Downloadable!]
49-61 Educational attainment, unemployment, and wage inflation
by Mary C. Daly & Osborne Jackson & Robert G. Valletta [Downloadable!]

2006

1-16 Robust estimation and monetary policy with unobserved structural change
by John C. Williams [Downloadable!]
17-29 Financial market signals and banking supervision: are current practices consistent with research findings?
by Frederick T. Furlong & Robard Williams [Downloadable!]
31-45 Current account adjustment with high financial integration: a scenario analysis
by Michele Cavallo & Cédric Tille [Downloadable!]

2005

1-13 Inflation targeting under commitment and discretion
by Richard Dennis [Downloadable!]
15-27 Changes in Twelfth District local banking market structure during a period of industry consolidation
by Elizabeth S. Laderman [Downloadable!]
29-41 Fiscal sustainability and contingent liabilities from recent credit expansions in South Korea and Thailand
by Diego Valderrama [Downloadable!]

2004

1-18 Performance of urban information technology centers: the boom, the bust, and the future
by Mary C. Daly & Robert G. Valletta [Downloadable!]
19-34 The boom and bust in information technology investment
by Mark C. Doms [Downloadable!]
35-42 Recent productivity growth: the role of information technology and other innovations
by Martin N. Baily [Downloadable!]

2003

1-12 Simple rules for monetary policy
by John C. Williams [Downloadable!]
13-27 Productivity shocks and the unemployment rate
by Bharat Trehan [Downloadable!]
29-45 How might financial market information be used for supervisory purposes?
by John Krainer & Jose A. Lopez [Downloadable!]

2002

1-15 The disposition of failed Japanese bank assets: lessons from the U.S. savings and loan crisis
by Mark M. Spiegel [Downloadable!]
17-34 Real-time estimation of trend output and the illusion of interest rate smoothing
by Kevin J. Lansing [Downloadable!]
35-50 Banks, bonds, and the liquidity effect
by Tor Einarsson & Milton H. Marquis [Downloadable!]
51-69 Foreign exchange: macro puzzles, micro tools
by Richard K. Lyons [Downloadable!]

2001

1-15 Five questions about business cycles
by Francis X. Diebold & Glenn D. Rudebusch [Downloadable!]
17-29 Pegging and stabilization policy in developing countries
by Ramon Moreno [Downloadable!]

2000

1-13 Cyclical and demographic influences on the distribution of income in California
by Mary C. Daly & Heather N. Royer [Downloadable!]
15-24 The separation of banking and commerce
by John Krainer [Downloadable!]

1999

3-22 House price differentials and dynamics: evidence from the Los Angeles and San Francisco metropolitan areas
by Stuart A. Gabriel & Joe P. Mattey & William L. Wascher [Downloadable!]
14-26 Real estate liquidity
by John Krainer [Downloadable!]
18-31 On the portfolio effects of financial convergence - a review of the literature
by Simon H. Kwan & Elizabeth S. Laderman [Downloadable!]
23-41 Did a boom in money and credit precede east Asia's recent currency crisis?
by Ramon Moreno [Downloadable!]
27-40 Depreciation and recessions in East Asia
by Ramon Moreno [Downloadable!]
32-39 Leverage, monetary policy, and firm investment
by Charles X. Hu [Downloadable!]
42-52 Should the Fed take deliberate steps to deflate asset price bubbles?
by Timothy Cogley [Downloadable!]
3-17 Methods for evaluating value-at-risk estimates
by Jose A. Lopez [Downloadable!]
3-13 Moral hazard under the Japanese "convoy" banking system
by Mark M. Spiegel [Downloadable!]

1998

3-14 Central bank independence and inflation expectations: evidence from British index-linked gilts
by Mark M. Spiegel [Downloadable!]
15-28 Growth and inflation: a cross-country study
by Brian Motley [Downloadable!]
17-29 Disability and work: the experiences of American and German men
by Richard V. Burkhauser & Mary C. Daly [Downloadable!]
29-41 Forecasting industrial production using models with business cycle asymmetry
by Chan Huh [Downloadable!]
30-46 Is mortgage lending by savings associations special?
by Elizabeth Laderman & Wayne Passmore [Downloadable!]
3-16 Taylor's rule and the Fed, 1970-1997
by John P. Judd & Glenn D. Rudebusch [Downloadable!]
29-40 Changes in the structure and duration of U.S. unemployment, 1967-1998
by Robert G. Valletta [Downloadable!]
17-28 Borrowing constraints and asset market dynamics: evidence from the Pacific Basin
by Kenneth Kasa [Downloadable!]

1997

3-17 Factor utilization and margins for adjusting output: evidence from manufacturing plants
by Joe Mattey & Steven Strongin [Downloadable!]
16-32 The effects of industry employment shifts on U.S. wage structure, 1979-1995
by Robert G. Valletta [Downloadable!]
18-31 A new look at the distributional effects of economic growth during the 1980s: a comparative study of the United States and Germany
by Mary C. Daly & Amy D. Crews & Richard V. Burkhauser [Downloadable!]
22-33 Long-run trends in labor supply
by Brian Motley [Downloadable!]
32-42 Economic factors, monetary policy and expected returns on stocks and bonds
by James R. Booth & Lena Chua Booth [Downloadable!]
33-52 Interpreting procyclical productivity: evidence from a cross-nation cross-industry panel
by J. Bradford DeLong & Robert J. Waldmann [Downloadable!]
34-46 Generational accounting in open economies
by Eric O'N. Fisher & Ken Kasa [Downloadable!]
3-21 Evaluating non-structural measures of the business cycle
by Timothy Cogley [Downloadable!]
3-15 Explaining unemployment: sectoral vs aggregate shocks
by Prakash Loungani & Bharat Trehan [Downloadable!]

1996

3-13 Is there a broad credit channel for monetary policy?
by Stephen D. Oliner & Glenn D. Rudebusch [Downloadable!]
12-22 Explaining differences in farm lending among banks
by Mark E. Levonian [Downloadable!]
14-25 The 1980s divergence in state per capital incomes: what does it tell us?
by Carolyn Sherwood-Call [Downloadable!]
16-26 An analysis of inefficiencies in banking: a stochastic cost frontier approach
by Simon H. Kwan & Robert A. Eisenbeis [Downloadable!]
23-33 Intervention, sterilization, and monetary control in Korea and Taiwan
by Ramon Moreno [Downloadable!]
26-40 Factors influencing community bank performance in California
by Gary C. Zimmerman [Downloadable!]
27-47 Commodity prices and inflation
by Fred Furlong & Robert Ingenito [Downloadable!]
34-48 Hedonic-based price indexes for housing: theory, estimation, and index construction
by Nancy E. Wallace [Downloadable!]
3-15 Fixed-premium deposit insurance and international credit crunches
by Mark M. Spiegel [Downloadable!]
3-11 Using monthly data to predict quarterly output
by Robert Ingenito & Bharat Trehan [Downloadable!]

1995

1-20 Is there a bank lending channel for monetary policy?
by Stephen D. Oliner & Glenn D. Rudebusch [Downloadable!]
3-13 Modeling the time-series behavior of the aggregate wage rate
by Chan G. Huh & Bharat Trehan [Downloadable!]
14-20 Comovements among national stock markets
by Kenneth Kasa [Downloadable!]
17-34 Sterilization of capital inflows through the banking sector: evidence from Asia
by Mark M. Spiegel [Downloadable!]
21-34 Changes in the structure of urban banking markets in the West
by Elizabeth S. Laderman [Downloadable!]
30-48 The demise of California reconsidered: interstate migration over the economic cycle
by Stuart A. Gabriel & Joe P. Mattey & William L. Wascher [Downloadable!]
35-51 Implementing the single banking market in Europe
by Gary C. Zimmerman [Downloadable!]
52-62 Structure and pricing of large bank loans
by James R. Booth & Lena Chua [Downloadable!]
3-16 Macroeconomic behavior during periods of speculative pressure or realignment: evidence from Pacific Basin economies
by Ramon Moreno [Downloadable!]
21-29 Inflation uncertainty and excess returns on stocks and banks
by Timothy Cogley [Downloadable!]

1994

3-18 Bank capital standards for foreign exchange and other market risks
by Mark E. Levonian [Downloadable!]
18-29 Financial regulation and banking sector performance: a comparison of bad loan problems in Japan and Korea
by Chan Huh & Sun Bae Kim [Downloadable!]
19-30 Are exchange rates macroeconomic phenomena?
by Andrew K. Rose [Downloadable!]
29-37 Capital flight, external debt, and domestic policies
by Michael P. Dooley & Kenneth M. Kletzer [Downloadable!]
30-41 Wealth effects of bank holding company securities issuance and loan growth under the risk-based capital requirements
by Elizabeth S. Laderman [Downloadable!]
31-42 Stock prices and bank lending behavior in Japan
by Sun Bae Kim & Ramon Moreno [Downloadable!]
3-18 International financial market integration and linkages of national interest rates
by Adrian W. Throop [Downloadable!]
3-17 The persistence of bank profits: what the stock market implies
by Mark E. Levonian [Downloadable!]
19-28 Finite horizons and the twin deficits
by Kenneth Kasa [Downloadable!]

1993

3-13 Adaptive forecasts, hysteresis, and endogenous fluctuations
by George W. Evans & Seppo Honkapohja [Downloadable!]
12-24 Money, interest rates and economic activity: stylized facts for Japan
by Ramon Moreno & Sun Bae Kim [Downloadable!]
14-22 FDIC Improvement Act and corporate governance of commercial banks
by James R. Booth [Downloadable!]
17-32 Determinants of bank versus nonbank competitiveness in short-term business lending
by Elizabeth S. Laderman [Downloadable!]
23-39 Do capital controls affect the response of investment to saving? evidence from the Pacific Basin
by Sun Bae Kim [Downloadable!]
25-34 The output-inflation trade-off in the United States: has it changed since the late 1970s?
by John P. Judd & Jack H. Beebe [Downloadable!]
33-48 What caused the 1990-1991 recession?
by Carl E. Walsh [Downloadable!]
35-41 Adapting to instability in money demand: forecasting money growth with a time-varying parameter model
by Timothy Cogley [Downloadable!]
42-55 Water policy in California and Israel
by Ronald H. Schmidt & Steven E. Plaut [Downloadable!]
3-16 A generalized uncovered interest parity model of exchange rates
by Adrian W. Throop [Downloadable!]
3-11 Using a nominal GDP rule to guide discretionary monetary policy
by John P. Judd & Brian Motley [Downloadable!]

1992

3-11 Predicting contemporaneous output
by Bharat Trehan [Downloadable!]
13-23 Does California drive the West? an econometric investigation of regional spillovers
by Brian A. Cromwell [Downloadable!]
14-34 Exchange rate policy and shocks to asset markets: the case of Taiwan in the 1980s
by Ramon Moreno & Norman Yin [Downloadable!]
23-33 Capital regulation and bank lending
by Frederick T. Furlong [Downloadable!]
25-35 Changing geographical patterns of electronic components activity
by Carolyn Sherwood-Call [Downloadable!]
34-52 Macroeconomic shocks and business cycles in Australia
by Ramon Moreno [Downloadable!]
35-59 Consumer sentiment: its causes and effects
by Adrian W. Throop [Downloadable!]
53-62 Bank holding company stock risk and the composition of bank asset portfolios
by Jonathan A. Neuberger [Downloadable!]
3-22 Controlling inflation with an interest rate instrument
by John P. Judd & Brian Motley [Downloadable!]
3-13 Index numbers and the measurement of real GDP
by Brian Motley [Downloadable!]

1991, Issue Win

3-23 Fiscal policy in the Reagan years: a burden on future generations?
by Adrian W. Throop [Downloadable!]
24-38 Location, branching, and bank portfolio diversification: the case of agricultural lending
by Elizabeth S. Laderman & Ronald H. Schmidt & Gary C. Zimmerman [Downloadable!]
39-52 Explaining the U.S. export boom
by Ramon Moreno [Downloadable!]

1991, Issue Sum

3-17 Nominal feedback rules for monetary policy
by John P. Judd & Brian Motley [Downloadable!]
18-31 Why banks need commerce powers
by Randall J. Pozdena [Downloadable!]
32-33 Can bank capital regulation work? research revisited
by Frederick T. Furlong [Downloadable!]
34-39 Capital regulation and bank risk-taking: a note (reprinted from Journal of Banking and Finance)
by Frederick T. Furlong & Michael C. Keeley [Downloadable!]
40-48 A reexamination of mean-variance analysis of bank capital regulation ( reprinted from Journal of Banking and Finance)
by Michael C. Keeley & Frederick T. Furlong [Downloadable!]

1991, Issue Spr

3-17 Real business cycles: a selective survey
by Chan Huh & Bharat Trehan [Downloadable!]
18-31 Japanese capital flows in the 1980s
by Reuven Glick [Downloadable!]
32-47 Interstate banking and competition: evidence from the behavior of stock returns
by Elizabeth S. Laderman & Randall J. Pozdena [Downloadable!]

1991, Issue Fall

3-17 Have large banks become riskier? recent evidence from option markets
by Mark E. Levonian [Downloadable!]
18-30 Risk and return in banking: evidence from bank stock returns
by Jonathan A. Neuberger [Downloadable!]
31-40 Recession probability indexes: a survey
by Chan G. Huh [Downloadable!]
41-55 The use of equity positions by banks: the Japanese evidence
by Sun Bae Kim [Downloadable!]

1990, Issue Win

3-16 Has there been a change in the natural rate of unemployment?
by Brian Motley [Downloadable!]
17-26 Assessing regional economic stability: a portfolio approach
by Carolyn Sherwood-Call [Downloadable!]
27-41 External shocks and adjustment in four Asian economics--1978-87
by Ramon Moreno [Downloadable!]
43-58 The public policy implications of state laws pertaining to automated teller machines
by Elizabeth S. Laderman [Downloadable!]

1990, Issue Sum

3-14 Do interest rates still affect housing?
by Randall J. Pozdena [Downloadable!]
15-26 What does unemployment tell us about future inflation?
by John P. Judd & Bharat Trehan [Downloadable!]
27-46 Imperfect information and the Community Reinvestment Act
by William C. Gruben & Jonathan A. Neuberger & Ronald H. Schmidt [Downloadable!]

1990, Issue Spr

3-16 Bank pricing of retail deposit accounts and "the California rate mystery"
by Jonathan A. Neuberger & Gary C. Zimmerman [Downloadable!]
17-28 Economic integration and fiscal policy transmission: implications for Europe in 1992 and beyond
by Reuven Glick & Michael Hutchison [Downloadable!]
29-40 Capital market efficiency: an update
by Stephen F. LeRoy [Downloadable!]

1990, Issue Fall

3-17 Tax incentives for corporate leverage in the 1980s
by Frederick T. Furlong [Downloadable!]
18-32 Managing risk in Japanese interbank payment systems
by Sawaichiro Kamata [Downloadable!]
33-50 The analytics of German monetary unification
by Thomas J. Sargent & Francois R. Velde [Downloadable!]

1989, Issue Win

3-19 The stock price effects of bank holding company securities issuance
by Michael C. Keeley [Downloadable!]
21-38 Commodity prices as a guide for monetary policy
by Frederick T. Furlong [Downloadable!]
39-52 Forecasting growth in current quarter real GNP
by Bharat Trehan [Downloadable!]
53-63 Undocumented workers and regional differences in apparel labor markets
by Carolyn Sherwood-Call [Downloadable!]

1989, Issue Sum

3-17 The growing presence of Japanese banks in California
by Gary C. Zimmerman [Downloadable!]
18-26 Reagan fiscal policy and the dollar
by Adrian W. Throop [Downloadable!]
27-44 Fiscal policy, the dollar, and international trade: a synthesis of two views
by Adrian W. Throop [Downloadable!]

1989, Issue Spr

3-16 International dimensions of U.S. economic policy in the 1980s
by Frederick T. Furlong [Downloadable!]
17-29 Exchange rates and monetary policy
by Reuven Glick & Michael Hutchison [Downloadable!]
30-48 Exchange rates and trade adjustment in Taiwan and Korea
by Ramon Moreno [Downloadable!]

1989, Issue Fall

3-19 Natural resources and regional growth
by Ronald H. Schmidt [Downloadable!]
20-37 Unemployment-rate dynamics: aggregate-demand and -supply interactions
by John P. Judd & Bharat Trehan [Downloadable!]
39-52 Liquidity constraints on consumption: the real effects of "real" lending policies
by James A. Wilcox [Downloadable!]

1988, Issue Win

3-20 Bank capital regulation in the 1980s: effective or ineffective?
by Michael C. Keeley [Downloadable!]
21-32 A vector autoregression model of the Nevada economy
by Thomas F. Cargill & Steven A. Morus [Downloadable!]
33-51 Should M2 be redefined?
by Brian Motley [Downloadable!]

1988, Issue Sum

3-14 Saving-investment determinants of Japan's external balance
by Reuven Glick [Downloadable!]
15-25 Exploring the relationships between national and regional economic fluctuations
by Carolyn Sherwood-Call [Downloadable!]
27-43 An evaluation of alternative measures of expected inflation
by Adrian W. Throop [Downloadable!]

1988, Issue Spr

3-13 The Japan - U.S. bilateral trade
by Tomohiko Sakamoto [Downloadable!]
14-29 U.S. banks' exposure to developing countries: an examination of recent trends
by Barbara A. Bennett & Gary C. Zimmerman [Downloadable!]
30-44 The practice of monetary targeting: a case study of the West German experience
by Bharat Trehan [Downloadable!]
45-56 Changes in bank risk-taking
by Frederick T. Furlong [Downloadable!]

1988, Issue Fall

3-17 Saving, investment, and the U.S. external balance
by Ramon Moreno [Downloadable!]
19-28 Financial intermediation, monetary policy, and equilibrium business cycles
by Carl E. Walsh & Peter R. Hartley [Downloadable!]
29-40 Banks affiliated with bank holding companies: a new look at their performance
by Randall Johnston Pozdena [Downloadable!]
41-54 Hotelling's rule repealed? An examination of exhaustible resource pricing
by Ronald H. Schmidt [Downloadable!]

1987, Issue Win

5-16 Monetary targeting and inflation: 1976-1984
by Carl E. Walsh [Downloadable!]
17-30 Inflation, age, and wealth
by Randall J. Pozdena [Downloadable!]
31-45 Policy coordination and financial intermediaries
by Michael C. Keeley & Carl E. Walsh [Downloadable!]
47-61 Ricardo or Keynes: does the government debt affect consumption?
by Brian Motley [Downloadable!]

1987, Issue Sum

5-29 Portfolio substitution and the reliability of M1, M2 and M3 as monetary policy indicators
by John P. Judd & Bharat Trehan [Downloadable!]
31-42 Interest rate linkages in the Pacific Basin
by Reuven Glick [Downloadable!]
43-59 The Eurodollar market and U. S. residents
by Ramon Moreno [Downloadable!]

1987, Issue Spr

5-19 Major trends in the U.S. financial system: implications and issues
by Robert T. Parry [Downloadable!]
20-40 Bank capital regulation and asset risk
by Frederick T. Furlong & Michael C. Keeley [Downloadable!]
41-56 Competition in the semiconductor industry
by Randall Johnston Pozdena [Downloadable!]
57-67 Tax revolt or tax reform? The effects of local government limitation measures in California
by Carolyn Sherwood-Call [Downloadable!]

1987, Issue Fall

5-19 Three questions concerning nominal and real interest rates
by Carl E. Walsh [Downloadable!]
21-36 Off-balance sheet banking
by Christopher James [Downloadable!]
37-51 Tax policy and corporate capital structure
by Randall Johnston Pozdena [Downloadable!]

1986, Issue Win

5-17 Structure and performance: some evidence from California banking
by Randall J. Pozdena [Downloadable!]
19-29 Off balance sheet risk in banking: the case of standby letters of credit
by Barbara Bennett [Downloadable!]
31-47 Arbitrage and efficient markets interpretations of purchasing power parity: theory and evidence
by John Pippenger [Downloadable!]

1986, Issue Sum

5-20 Consumer experiences with credit insurance: some new evidence
by Anthony W. Cyrnak & Glenn B. Canner [Downloadable!]
21-32 Japanese monetary policy, flow of funds, and domestic financial liberalization
by Thomas F. Cargill [Downloadable!]
33-46 Japan's "money focused" monetary policy
by Michael M. Hutchison [Downloadable!]
47-62 Deposit rate deregulation and the demand for transactions media
by Michael C. Keeley & Gary C. Zimmerman [Downloadable!]
63-78 Financial deregulation, interest rates, and the housing cycle
by Adrian W. Throop [Downloadable!]

1986, Issue Spr

5-15 Chain banks and competition: the effectiveness of Federal Reserve policy since 1977
by Anthony W. Cyrnak [Downloadable!]
17-37 Monetary control without a central bank: the case of Hong Kong
by Ramon Moreno [Downloadable!]
38-54 Predicting the money stock: a comparison of alternative approaches
by Brian Motley & Robert H. Rasche [Downloadable!]
55-71 Bank regulation and the public interest
by Michael C. Keeley & Frederick T. Furlong [Downloadable!]

1986, Issue Fall

5-12 Interpreting the Reagan deficits
by Thomas J. Sargent [Downloadable!]
13-23 International financial crises, past and present
by Hang-Sheng Cheng [Downloadable!]
25-43 Oil prices, exchange rates and the U.S. economy: an empirical investigation
by Bharat Trehan [Downloadable!]
45-59 Real exchange rates, imperfect information, and economic disturbances
by Reuven Glick [Downloadable!]

1985, Issue Win

5-18 Bank stock performance since the 1970s
by Jack Beebe [Downloadable!]
19-44 Current fiscal policy: is it stimulating investment or consumption?
by Adrian W. Throop. [Downloadable!]
45-63 Inflation, supply shocks and the stable-inflation rate of capacity utilization
by Rose McElhattan [Downloadable!]
64-79 International debt with unenforceable claims
by Jurg Niehans [Downloadable!]

1985, Issue Sum

5-13 The regulation of bank entry
by Michael C. Keeley [Downloadable!]
14-24 Savings and loan asset composition and the mortgage market
by Frederick T. Furlong [Downloadable!]
25-45 Determining geographic markets for deposit competition in banking
by Michael C. Keeley & Gary C. Zimmerman [Downloadable!]
46-63 Interest rate volatility and alternative monetary control procedure
by Robert H. Rasche [Downloadable!]

1985, Issue Spr

5-27 Competition for money market deposit accounts
by Michael C. Keeley & Gary C. Zimmerman [Downloadable!]
28-39 The information content of credit aggregates
by Bharat Trehan [Downloadable!]
40-54 Whither the unemployment rate?
by Brian Motley [Downloadable!]

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This page was last updated on 2009-11-10.

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