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Recession probability indexes: a survey

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  • Chan G. Huh
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    File URL: http://www.frbsf.org/publications/economics/review/1991/91-4_31-40.pdf
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    Bibliographic Info

    Article provided by Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco in its journal Economic Review.

    Volume (Year): (1991)
    Issue (Month): Fall ()
    Pages: 31-40

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    Handle: RePEc:fip:fedfer:y:1991:i:fall:p:31-40

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    Related research

    Keywords: Recessions ; Forecasting ; Econometric models;

    References

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    1. Ben Bernanke, 1990. "On the Predictive Power of Interest Rates and Interest Rate Spreads," NBER Working Papers 3486, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    2. Olivier J. Blanchard & Mark W. Watson, 1987. "Are Business Cycles All Alike?," NBER Working Papers 1392, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    3. Hamilton, James D, 1989. "A New Approach to the Economic Analysis of Nonstationary Time Series and the Business Cycle," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 57(2), pages 357-84, March.
    4. William Roberds, 1988. "A quarterly Bayesian VAR model of the US economy," Working Paper 88-2, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta.
    5. Thomas J. Sargent & Christopher A. Sims, 1977. "Business cycle modeling without pretending to have too much a priori economic theory," Working Papers 55, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis.
    6. Evan F. Koenig & Kenneth M. Emery, 1991. "Misleading indicators? Using the composite leading indicators to predict cyclical turning points," Economic and Financial Policy Review, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, issue Jul, pages 1-14.
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