Measuring regional manufacturing production: An analysis for the Spanish regions
AbstractIn a big amount of economies (NUTS-I) the evolution of manufacturing production is analysed using Gross Domestic Product (GDP) and Gross Added Value (GAV) data from National Accounts. In Spain, the problem of using these data is that they are not available as soon as it would be desirable. In consequence, it is not possible to analyse the short term evolution of the industrial output through them. To solve these problems the Institute of Statistics of Spain (Instituto Nacional de Estadistica -INE-) constructs a monthly Industrial Production Index (IPI) from data belonging to a survey addressed to firms. At a regional level (NUTS-II), the difficulties to monitor the evolution of manufacturing production are even bigger due to the nearly absence of official data. During the last years, different public and private institutions have started to construct indices for some Spanish regions, but they do not use an homogeneus methodology and the indices are not directly comparable. In this paper, we summarize and extent the main results of previous studies about the possibility of using different indirect methods to analyse the short term evolution of regional industrial production. In concrete, two statistic and an econometric method are considered. First, we study the possibility of extending the methodology proposed by the Regional Institute of Statistics of Catalonia (Institut d'Estadistica de Catalunya -IEC-) to other Spanish Regions. Second, we analyse the relationships between electric energy consumption for industrial purposes and industrial production. Third, following Israilevich and Kuttner (1993), we apply a state-space model to obtain estimates of the industrial production indices using the Kalman Filter and the method of maximum likelihood. Next, to validate the indices obtained through these three methods we compare them with regional indices obtained by direct methods for the regions where they exist. Finally, we expose the main conclusions remarking the implications for public policy in relation with elaboration of regional statistics.
Download InfoIf you experience problems downloading a file, check if you have the proper application to view it first. In case of further problems read the IDEAS help page. Note that these files are not on the IDEAS site. Please be patient as the files may be large.
Bibliographic InfoPaper provided by European Regional Science Association in its series ERSA conference papers with number ersa98p62.
Date of creation: Aug 1998
Date of revision:
Contact details of provider:
Postal: Welthandelsplatz 1, 1020 Vienna, Austria
Web page: http://www.ersa.org
Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:
- Andrew C. Harvey, 1990. "The Econometric Analysis of Time Series, 2nd Edition," MIT Press Books, The MIT Press, The MIT Press, edition 2, volume 1, number 026208189x, December.
For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: (Gunther Maier).
If references are entirely missing, you can add them using this form.