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How do investors' expectations drive asset prices?

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  • Lüders, Erik
  • Peisl, Bernhard
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    Abstract

    Asset price processes are completely described by information processes and investors´ preferences. In this paper we derive the relationship between the process of investors´ expectations of the terminal stock price and asset prices in a general continous time pricing kernel framework. To derive the asset price process we make use of the modern technique of forward-backward stochastic differential equations. With this approach it is possible to show the driving factors for stochastic volatility of asset prices and to give theoretical arguments for empirically well documented facts. We show that stylized facts that look at first hand like financial market anomalies may be explained by an information process with stochastic volatility. --

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    Bibliographic Info

    Paper provided by ZEW - Zentrum für Europäische Wirtschaftsforschung / Center for European Economic Research in its series ZEW Discussion Papers with number 01-15.

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    Date of creation: 2001
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    Handle: RePEc:zbw:zewdip:5370

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    Related research

    Keywords: backward stochastik differential equtations; information processes; pricing kernel;

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    References

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    14. Guenter Franke & Richard C. Stapleton & Marti G. Subrahmanyam, 1999. "When are Options Overpriced? The Black-Scholes Model and Alternative Characterisations of the Pricing Kernel," CoFE Discussion Paper 99-01, Center of Finance and Econometrics, University of Konstanz.
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    Cited by:
    1. Lüders, Erik, 2002. "Asset Prices and Alternative Characterizations of the Pricing Kernel," ZEW Discussion Papers 02-10, ZEW - Zentrum für Europäische Wirtschaftsforschung / Center for European Economic Research.
    2. Schröder, Michael & Lüders, Erik, 2004. "Modeling Asset Returns: A Comparison of Theoretical and Empirical Models," ZEW Discussion Papers 04-19 [rev.], ZEW - Zentrum für Europäische Wirtschaftsforschung / Center for European Economic Research.

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