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Pricing and Inference with Mixtures of Conditionally Normal Processes

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  • Henri Bertholon

    (Crest)

  • Alain Monfort

    (Crest)

  • Fulvio Pegoraro

    (Crest)

Abstract

We consider the problems of derivative pricing and inference when the stochastic discount factor has an exponentialaffineform and the geometric return of the underlying asset has a dynamics characterized by a mixture of conditionallyNormal processes. We consider both the static case in which the underlying process is a white noise distributed as amixture of Gaussian distributions (including extreme risks and jump diffusions) and the dynamic case in which theunderlying process is conditionally distributed as a mixture of Gaussian laws. Semi-parametric, non parametric andSwitching Regime situations are also considered. In all cases, the risk-neutral processes and explicit pricing formulasare obtained.

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Paper provided by Centre de Recherche en Economie et Statistique in its series Working Papers with number 2006-28.

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Length: 53
Date of creation: 2006
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Handle: RePEc:crs:wpaper:2006-28

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Cited by:
  1. León, Ãngel & Mencía, Javier & Sentana, Enrique, 2009. "Parametric Properties of Semi-Nonparametric Distributions, with Applications to Option Valuation," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 27(2), pages 176-192.
  2. H. Bertholon & A. Monfort & F. Pegoraro, 2008. "Econometric Asset Pricing Modelling," Journal of Financial Econometrics, Society for Financial Econometrics, vol. 6(4), pages 407-458, Fall.
  3. Monfort, A. & Pegoraro, F., 2012. "Asset Pricing with Second-Order Esscher Transforms," Working papers 397, Banque de France.
  4. Haas, Markus & Mittnik, Stefan & Paolella, Marc S., 2008. "Asymmetric multivariate normal mixture GARCH," CFS Working Paper Series 2008/07, Center for Financial Studies (CFS).
  5. Rombouts, Jeroen V.K. & Stentoft, Lars, 2014. "Bayesian option pricing using mixed normal heteroskedasticity models," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 588-605.
  6. Jeroen V.K. Rombouts & Lars Stentoft, 2010. "Option Pricing with Asymmetric Heteroskedastic Normal Mixture Models," CREATES Research Papers 2010-44, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus.
  7. Chevallier, Julien & Ielpo, Florian & Sévi, Benoît, 2011. "Do jumps help in forecasting the density of returns?," Economics Papers from University Paris Dauphine 123456789/6805, Paris Dauphine University.
  8. Yin-Wong Cheung & Sang-Kuck Chung, 2011. "A Long Memory Model with Normal Mixture GARCH," Computational Economics, Society for Computational Economics, vol. 38(4), pages 517-539, November.
  9. Jeroen V.K. Rombouts & Lars Stentoft, 2010. "Multivariate Option Pricing with Time Varying Volatility and Correlations," CREATES Research Papers 2010-19, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus.
  10. repec:hal:journl:hal-00308687 is not listed on IDEAS

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