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Option Valuation with Long-run and Short-run Volatility Components

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Author Info
Peter Christoffersen
Kris Jacobs
Chayawat Ornthanalai
Yintian Wang () (School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus, Denmark and CREATES)

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Abstract

This paper presents a new model for the valuation of European options, in which the volatility of returns consists of two components. One of these components is a long-run component, and it can be modeled as fully persistent. The other component is short-run and has a zero mean. Our model can be viewed as an affine version of Engle and Lee (1999), allowing for easy valuation of European options. The model substantially outperforms a benchmark single-component volatility model that is well-established in the literature, and it fits options better than a model that combines conditional heteroskedasticity and Poissonnormal jumps. The component model’s superior performance is partly due to its improved ability to model the smirk and the path of spot volatility, but its most distinctive feature is its ability to model the volatility term structure. This feature enables the component model to jointly model long-maturity and short-maturity options.

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Paper provided by School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus in its series CREATES Research Papers with number 2008-11.

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Length: 49
Date of creation: 18 Feb 2008
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Handle: RePEc:aah:create:2008-11

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Related research
Keywords: Volatility term structure; GARCH; out-of-sample;

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Find related papers by JEL classification:
G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing

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Full references

Cited by:
(explanations, Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.)

  1. Jeroen Rombouts & Lars Peter Stentoft, 2009. "Bayesian Option Pricing Using Mixed Normal Heteroskedasticity Models," CIRANO Working Papers 2009s-19, CIRANO. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  2. Peter Christoffersen & Steven Heston & Kris Jacobs, 2009. "The Shape and Term Structure of the Index Option Smirk: Why Multifactor Stochastic Volatility Models Work so Well," CREATES Research Papers 2009-34, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus. [Downloadable!]
  3. Hui Guo & Christopher J. Neely, 2006. "Investigating the intertemporal risk-return relation in international stock markets with the component GARCH model," Working Papers 2006-006, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  4. Neil Shephard & Kevin Sheppard, 2009. "Realising the future: forecasting with high frequency based volatility (HEAVY) models," Economics Series Working Papers 438, University of Oxford, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
  5. Jeroen V.K. Rombouts & Lars Stentoft, 2009. "Bayesian Option Pricing Using Mixed Normal Heteroskedasticity," Cahiers de recherche 0926, CIRPEE. [Downloadable!]
  6. Neil Shephard & Kevin Sheppard, 2009. "Realising the future: forecasting with high frequency based volatility (HEAVY) models," OFRC Working Papers Series 2009fe02, Oxford Financial Research Centre. [Downloadable!]
  7. Peter Christoffersen & Kris Dorion & Yintian Wang, 2008. "Volatility Components, Affine Restrictions and Non-Normal Innovations," CREATES Research Papers 2008-10, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus. [Downloadable!]
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