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Pricing and Inference with Mixtures of Conditionally Normal Processes

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  • Bertholon, H.
  • Monfort, A.
  • Pegoraro, F.

Abstract

We consider the problems of derivative pricing and inference when the stochastic discount factor has an exponential-affine form and the geometric return of the underlying asset has a dynamics characterized by a mixture of conditionally Normal processes. We consider both the static case in which the underlying process is a white noise distributed as a mixture of Gaussian distributions (including extreme risks and jump diffusions) and the dynamic case in which the underlying process is conditionally distributed as a mixture of Gaussian laws. Semi-parametric, non parametric and Switching Regime situations are also considered. In all cases, the risk-neutral processes and explicit pricing formulas are obtained.

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Bibliographic Info

Paper provided by Banque de France in its series Working papers with number 188.

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Length: 55 pages
Date of creation: 2007
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:bfr:banfra:188

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Keywords: Derivative Pricing ; Stochastic Discount Factor ; Implied Volatility; Mixture of Normal Distributions ; Mixture of Conditionally Normal Processes ; Nonparametric Kernel Estimation ; Mixed-Normal GARCH Processes ; Switching Regime Models.;

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Cited by:
  1. Alain MONFORT & Fulvio PEGORARO, 2010. "Asset Pricing with Second-Order Esscher Transforms," Working Papers 2010-54, Centre de Recherche en Economie et Statistique.
  2. Jeroen Rombouts & Lars Peter Stentoft, 2010. "Option Pricing with Asymmetric Heteroskedastic Normal Mixture Models," CIRANO Working Papers 2010s-38, CIRANO.
  3. Chevallier, Julien & Ielpo, Florian & Sévi, Benoît, 2011. "Do jumps help in forecasting the density of returns?," Economics Papers from University Paris Dauphine 123456789/6805, Paris Dauphine University.
  4. Haas, Markus & Mittnik, Stefan & Paolella, Marc S., 2008. "Asymmetric multivariate normal mixture GARCH," CFS Working Paper Series 2008/07, Center for Financial Studies (CFS).
  5. Ángel León & Javier Mencía & Enrique Sentana, 2007. "Parametric properties of semi-nonparametric distributions, with applications to option valuation," Banco de Espa�a Working Papers 0707, Banco de Espa�a.
  6. Henri Bertholon & Alain Monfort & Fulvio Pegoraro, 2007. "Econometric Asset Pricing Modelling," Working Papers 2007-18, Centre de Recherche en Economie et Statistique.
  7. Jeroen Rombouts & Lars Peter Stentoft, 2010. "Multivariate Option Pricing With Time Varying Volatility and Correlations," CIRANO Working Papers 2010s-23, CIRANO.
  8. Yin-Wong Cheung & Sang-Kuck Chung, 2011. "A Long Memory Model with Normal Mixture GARCH," Computational Economics, Society for Computational Economics, vol. 38(4), pages 517-539, November.
  9. Rombouts, Jeroen V.K. & Stentoft, Lars, 2014. "Bayesian option pricing using mixed normal heteroskedasticity models," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 588-605.
  10. repec:hal:journl:hal-00308687 is not listed on IDEAS

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