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Impact of Divergent Consumer Confidence on Option Prices

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Author Info
James Huang ()
Abstract

This paper investigates the impact of divergent consumer confidence on option prices. To model this, we assume that consumers disagree on the expected growth rate of aggregate consumption. With other conditions unchanged in the discrete-time Black–Scholes option-pricing model, we show that the representative consumer will have declining relative risk aversion instead of the assumed constant relative risk aversion. In this case all options will be underpriced by the Black–Scholes model under the assumption of bivariate lognormality. Copyright Kluwer Academic Publishers 2003

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File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1023/B:REDR.0000004822.47039.bc
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Publisher Info
Article provided by Springer in its journal Review of Derivatives Research.

Volume (Year): 6 (2003)
Issue (Month): 3 (October)
Pages: 165-177
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Handle: RePEc:kap:revdev:v:6:y:2003:i:3:p:165-177

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Web page: http://www.springerlink.com/link.asp?id=102989

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Related research
Keywords: mispricing of options; consumer confidence; heterogeneous preferences; heterogeneous beliefs; Black–Scholes model;

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  1. Chiaki Hara & James Huang & Christoph Kuzmics, 2006. "Representative Consumer’s Risk Aversion and Efficient Risk-Sharing Rules," KIER Working Papers 620, Kyoto University, Institute of Economic Research. [Downloadable!]
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This page was last updated on 2009-12-10.


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