We characterize the joint dynamics of dividends, expected returns, stochastic volatility, and prices. In particular, with a given dividend process, one of the processes of the expected return, the stock volatility, or the price-dividend ratio fully determines the other two. For example, together with dividends, the stock volatility process fully determines the dynamics of the expected return and the price-dividend ratio. By parameterizing one or more of expected returns, volatility, or prices, common empirical specifications place strong, and sometimes counter-factual, restrictions on the dynamics of the other variables. Our relations are useful for understanding the risk-return trade-off, as well as characterizing the predictability of stock returns.
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Paper provided by National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc in its series NBER Working Papers with number
12843.
Length: Date of creation: Jan 2007 Date of revision: Handle: RePEc:nbr:nberwo:12843
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Hanno Lustig & Stijn Van Nieuwerburgh & Adrien Verdelhan, 2008.
"The Wealth-Consumption Ratio,"
NBER Working Papers
13896, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
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