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Risk, Return and Dividends

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  • Ang, Andrew
  • Liu, Jun

Abstract

We characterize the joint dynamics of expected returns, stochastic volatility, and prices. In particular, with a given dividend process, one of the processes of the expected return, the stock volatility, or the price-dividend ratio fully determines the other two. For example, the stock volatility determines the expected return and the price-dividend ratio. By parameterizing one, or more, of expected returns, volatility, or prices, common empirical specifications place strong, and sometimes inconsistent, restrictions on the dynamics of the other variables. Our results are useful for understanding the risk-return trade-off, as well as characterizing the predictability of stock returns.

Suggested Citation

  • Ang, Andrew & Liu, Jun, 2005. "Risk, Return and Dividends," University of California at Los Angeles, Anderson Graduate School of Management qt1s25177n, Anderson Graduate School of Management, UCLA.
  • Handle: RePEc:cdl:anderf:qt1s25177n
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    Cited by:

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    3. Pollet, Joshua M. & Wilson, Mungo, 2010. "Average correlation and stock market returns," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 96(3), pages 364-380, June.
    4. Tim Bollerslev & George Tauchen & Hao Zhou, 2009. "Expected Stock Returns and Variance Risk Premia," Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 22(11), pages 4463-4492, November.
    5. Holger Kraft & Eduardo Schwartz, 2015. "Cash Flow Multipliers and Optimal Investment Decisions," European Financial Management, European Financial Management Association, vol. 21(3), pages 399-429, June.
    6. Chen, Long, 2009. "On the reversal of return and dividend growth predictability: A tale of two periods," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 92(1), pages 128-151, April.
    7. Luiz Félix & Roman Kräussl & Philip Stork, 2020. "Implied volatility sentiment: a tale of two tails," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 20(5), pages 823-849, May.
    8. Kanniainen, Juho & Piché, Robert, 2013. "Stock price dynamics and option valuations under volatility feedback effect," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 392(4), pages 722-740.
    9. Damir Filipovi'c & Sander Willems, 2018. "A Term Structure Model for Dividends and Interest Rates," Papers 1803.02249, arXiv.org, revised May 2020.
    10. Holger Kraft & Eduardo S. Schwartz, 2010. "Cash Flow Multipliers and Optimal Investment Decisions," NBER Working Papers 15807, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    11. Juho Kanniainen & Robert Pich'e, 2012. "Stock Price Dynamics and Option Valuations under Volatility Feedback Effect," Papers 1209.4718, arXiv.org.
    12. Valdes, Rodrigo, 2017. "What drives the regional integration of agribusiness stocks? Evidence in worldwide perspective," 2017 Annual Meeting, July 30-August 1, Chicago, Illinois 258265, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    13. Lawrenz, Jochen & Zorn, Josef, 2017. "Predicting international stock returns with conditional price-to-fundamental ratios," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 43(C), pages 159-184.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    risk-return trade-off; risk premium; stochastic volatility; predictability;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates

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