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The Australian Business Cycle: Its Definition and Existence

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  • SAM STRONG
  • SIEW PING TAN

Abstract

Recent research has suggested that for a number of economies, aggregate output does not behave in a stationary way about a fixed trend Campbell and Mankiw have provided much evidence, and their techniques are adopted here to indicate that Australia's national output has behaved in a way similar to that of other similar economies.

Suggested Citation

  • Sam Strong & Siew Ping Tan, 1991. "The Australian Business Cycle: Its Definition and Existence," The Economic Record, The Economic Society of Australia, vol. 67(2), pages 115-125, June.
    • Handle: RePEc:bla:ecorec:v:67:y:1991:i:2:p:115-125
    DOI: 10.1111/j.1475-4932.1991.tb02535.x
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Sargent, Thomas J, 1981. "Interpreting Economic Time Series," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 89(2), pages 213-248, April.
    2. Helmut Lütkepohl, 1985. "Comparison Of Criteria For Estimating The Order Of A Vector Autoregressive Process," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 6(1), pages 35-52, January.
    3. A. I. McLeod & W. K. Li, 1983. "Diagnostic Checking Arma Time Series Models Using Squared‐Residual Autocorrelations," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 4(4), pages 269-273, July.
    4. John Y. Campbell & N. Gregory Mankiw, 1987. "Are Output Fluctuations Transitory?," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 102(4), pages 857-880.
    5. Davidson, James E. H., 1981. "Problems with the estimation of moving average processes," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 16(3), pages 295-310, August.
    6. Diebold, Francis X. & Rudebusch, Glenn D., 1989. "Long memory and persistence in aggregate output," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 24(2), pages 189-209, September.
    7. G. Gardner & A. C. Harvey & G. D. A. Phillips, 1980. "An Algorithm for Exact Maximum Likelihood Estimation of Autoregressive–Moving Average Models by Means of Kaiman Filtering," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series C, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 29(3), pages 311-322, November.
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    Cited by:

    1. Philip M. Bodman, 1998. "Asymmetry and Duration Dependence in Australian GDP and Unemployment," The Economic Record, The Economic Society of Australia, vol. 74(227), pages 399-411, December.
    2. Narayan, Paresh Kumar, 2008. "An investigation of the behaviour of Australia's business cycle," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 25(4), pages 676-683, July.
    3. Allan P. Layton, 1994. "Further on the Nature of the Australian Business Cycle," The Economic Record, The Economic Society of Australia, vol. 70(208), pages 12-18, March.
    4. Mark Crosby, 2000. "Patents, Innovation and Growth," The Economic Record, The Economic Society of Australia, vol. 76(234), pages 255-262, September.

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