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Index Option Pricing Models with Stochastic Volatility and Stochastic Interest Rates

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  • Jiang, G.J.
  • van der Sluis, P.J.

    (Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management)

Abstract

This paper specifies a multivariate stochastic volatility (SV) model for the S&P500 index and spot interest rate processes. We first estimate the multivariate SV model via the efficient method of moments (EMM) technique based on observations of underlying state variables, and then investigate the respective effects of stochastic interest rates, stochastic volatility, and asymmetric S&P500 index returns on option prices. We compute option prices using both reprojected underlying historical volatilities and the implied risk premium of stochastic volatility to gauge each model's performance through direct comparison with observed market option prices on the index. Our major empirical findings are summarized as follows. First, while allowing for stochastic volatilitycan reduce the pricing errors and allowing for asymmetric volatility or "leverage effect" does help to explain the skewness of the volatility "smile", allowing for stochastic interest rates has minimal impact on option prices in our case. Second, similar to Melino and Turnbull (1990), our empirical findings strongly suggest the existence of a non-zero risk premium for stochastic volatility of asset returns. Based on the implied volatility risk premium, the SV models can largely reduce the option pricing errors, suggesting the importance of incorporating the information from the options market in pricing options. Finally, both the model diagnostics and option pricing errors in our study suggest that the Gaussian SV model is not sufficient in modeling short-term kurtosis of asset returns, an SV model with fatter-tailed noise or jump component may have better explanatory power. JEL classification: C10, G13.
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Suggested Citation

  • Jiang, G.J. & van der Sluis, P.J., 2000. "Index Option Pricing Models with Stochastic Volatility and Stochastic Interest Rates," Other publications TiSEM c0839083-c128-4a3f-a2c5-f, Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management.
  • Handle: RePEc:tiu:tiutis:c0839083-c128-4a3f-a2c5-faa967ae4d9d
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Isabel Casas & Helena Veiga, 2021. "Exploring Option Pricing and Hedging via Volatility Asymmetry," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 57(4), pages 1015-1039, April.
    2. Kanniainen, Juho & Piché, Robert, 2013. "Stock price dynamics and option valuations under volatility feedback effect," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 392(4), pages 722-740.
    3. Carmen Broto & Esther Ruiz, 2004. "Estimation methods for stochastic volatility models: a survey," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 18(5), pages 613-649, December.
    4. PREMINGER, Arie & HAFNER, Christian, 2006. "Deciding between GARCH and stochastic volatility via strong decision rules," LIDAM Discussion Papers CORE 2006042, Université catholique de Louvain, Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE).
    5. Torben G. Andersen & Luca Benzoni & Jesper Lund, 2002. "An Empirical Investigation of Continuous‐Time Equity Return Models," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 57(3), pages 1239-1284, June.
    6. repec:bgu:wpaper:0603 is not listed on IDEAS
    7. George Filis, 2009. "An Analysis between Implied and Realised Volatility in the Greek Derivative Market," Journal of Emerging Market Finance, Institute for Financial Management and Research, vol. 8(3), pages 251-263, September.
    8. Juho Kanniainen & Robert Pich'e, 2012. "Stock Price Dynamics and Option Valuations under Volatility Feedback Effect," Papers 1209.4718, arXiv.org.
    9. George J. Jiang, 2002. "Testing Option Pricing Models with Stochastic Volatility, Random Jumps and Stochastic Interest Rates," International Review of Finance, International Review of Finance Ltd., vol. 3(3‐4), pages 233-272, September.
    10. Anna Pajor, 2008. "Bayesian Forecasting of the Discounted Payoff of Options on WIG20 Index under Stochastic Volatility and Stochastic Interest Rates," Dynamic Econometric Models, Uniwersytet Mikolaja Kopernika, vol. 8, pages 147-154.
    11. Anna Pajor, 2009. "A Note on Option Pricing with the Use of Discrete-Time Stochastic Volatility Processes," Central European Journal of Economic Modelling and Econometrics, Central European Journal of Economic Modelling and Econometrics, vol. 1(1), pages 71-81, March.

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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • C10 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - General
    • G13 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Contingent Pricing; Futures Pricing

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