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Practical Volatility and Correlation Modeling for Financial Market Risk Management

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Author Info
Torben G. Andersen
Tim Bollerslev
Peter F. Christoffersen
Francis X. Diebold

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Abstract

What do academics have to offer market risk management practitioners in financial institutions? Current industry practice largely follows one of two extremely restrictive approaches: historical simulation or RiskMetrics. In contrast, we favor flexible methods based on recent developments in financial econometrics, which are likely to produce more accurate assessments of market risk. Clearly, the demands of real-world risk management in financial institutions -- in particular, real-time risk tracking in very high-dimensional situations -- impose strict limits on model complexity. Hence we stress parsimonious models that are easily estimated, and we discuss a variety of practical approaches for high-dimensional covariance matrix modeling, along with what we see as some of the pitfalls and problems in current practice. In so doing we hope to encourage further dialog between the academic and practitioner communities, hopefully stimulating the development of improved market risk management technologies that draw on the best of both worlds.

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Paper provided by National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc in its series NBER Working Papers with number 11069.

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Date of creation: Jan 2005
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Handle: RePEc:nbr:nberwo:11069

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G1 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets

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  1. Jan Pieter Krahnen & Christian Wilde, 2006. "Risk Transfer with CDOs and Systemic Risk in Banking," CFS Working Paper Series 2006/04, Center for Financial Studies. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  2. Gregory H. Bauer & Keith Vorkink, 2007. "Multivariate Realized Stock Market Volatility
    ," Working Papers 07-20, Bank of Canada. [Downloadable!]
  3. Ghorbel, Ahmed & Trabelsi, Abdelwahed, 2007. "Predictive Performance of Conditional Extreme Value Theory and Conventional Methods in Value at Risk Estimation," MPRA Paper 3963, University Library of Munich, Germany. [Downloadable!]
  4. Torben G. Andersen & Tim Bollerslev & Francis X. Diebold & Jin (Ginger) Wu, 2005. "A Framework for Exploring the Macroeconomic Determinants of Systematic Risk," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 95(2), pages 398-404, May. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
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