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How Do Foreign and Domestic Demand Affect Exports Performance? An Econometric Investigation of Indonesia's Exports

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Author Info

  • Rudy Rahmaddi

    (Graduate School for International Development and Cooperation, Hiroshima University)

  • Masaru Ichihashi

    (Graduate School for International Development and Cooperation, Hiroshima University)

Abstract

This paper explores the impacts of foreign and domestic demand on Indonesia's exports within demand and supply frameworks using aggregate data of 1971 - 2007. To capture effects of secular and cyclical movements on exports, we dissect income variables into trend and business cycle as proxies of productive capacity and capacity utilization rate, respectively. Our result suggests that both demand- and supply-price elasticity are elastic, and secular and cyclical movements may have contrast effects on exports. The findings draw policy implications namely the importance of price-based policy, provision of adequate and sound infrastructures, and further development of human capital-based industrialization.

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File URL: http://ir.lib.hiroshima-u.ac.jp/metadb/up/ZZT00001/IDEC-DP2_01-4.pdf
File Function: First version, 2011
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File URL: http://ir.lib.hiroshima-u.ac.jp/metadb/up/ZZT00001/IDEC-DP2_01-4R.pdf
File Function: Revised version, 2012
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Bibliographic Info

Paper provided by Hiroshima University, Graduate School for International Development and Cooperation (IDEC) in its series IDEC DP2 Series with number 1-4.

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Length: 28 pages
Date of creation: Sep 2011
Date of revision: Jan 2012
Publication status: Published in Modern Economy, Vol.3 No.1, January 2012, Pages 32-42
Handle: RePEc:hir:idecdp:1-4

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Web page: http://www.hiroshima-u.ac.jp/en/idec/
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Related research

Keywords: Exports; demand and supply for exports; domestic demand pressure; Indonesia; simultaneous equations.;

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References

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