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Do Mechanical Filters Provide a Good Approximation of Business Cycles? Author info | Abstract | Publisher info | Download info | Related research | Statistics Guay, A
St-Amant, P
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In this paper, the authors examine how well the Hodrick-Prescott filter (HP) and the band-pass filter (BK) recently proposed by Baxter and King (1995) extract bysiness cycle frequencies for the level of macroeconomic time series.
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Paper provided by Department of Finance Canada in its series Working Papers-Department of Finance Canada with number
1996-2.
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Length: 31 pages
Date of creation: 1996Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:fca:wpfnca:1996-2Contact details of provider: Postal: 140 O'Connor St., Ottawa, K1A 0G5 Phone: 613-992-1573 Web page: http://www.fin.gc.ca/ More information through EDIRC
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Keywords: BUSINESS CYCLES ; STATISTICS ; Other versions of this item:
Find related papers by JEL classification: E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions
References listed on IDEAS Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile , click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:
Rotemberg, Julio J & Woodford, Michael, 1996.
"Real-Business-Cycle Models and the Forecastable Movements in Output, Hours, and Consumption ,"
American Economic Review ,
American Economic Association, vol. 86(1), pages 71-89, March.
Cogley, Timothy & Nason, James M., 1995.
"Effects of the Hodrick-Prescott filter on trend and difference stationary time series Implications for business cycle research ,"
Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control ,
Elsevier, vol. 19(1-2), pages 253-278.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Other versions: King, Robert G. & Plosser, Charles I. & Rebelo, Sergio T., 1988.
"Production, growth and business cycles : II. New directions ,"
Journal of Monetary Economics ,
Elsevier, vol. 21(2-3), pages 309-341.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Robert G. King & Charles I. Plosser & James H. Stock & Mark W. Watson, 1991.
"Stochastic trends and economic fluctuations ,"
Working Paper Series, Macroeconomic Issues
91-4, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago.
Other versions:
Robert G. King & Charles I. Plosser & James H. Stock & Mark W. Watson, 1992.
"Stochastic Trends and Economic Fluctuations ,"
NBER Working Papers
2229, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) King, Robert G. & Plosser, Charles I. & Stock, James H. & Watson, Mark W., 1991.
"Stochastic Trends and Economic Fluctuations ,"
American Economic Review ,
American Economic Association, vol. 81(4), pages 819-40, September.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Robert J. Hodrick & Edward Prescott, 1981.
"Post-War U.S. Business Cycles: An Empirical Investigation ,"
Discussion Papers
451, Northwestern University, Center for Mathematical Studies in Economics and Management Science.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions: Harvey, A C & Jaeger, A, 1993.
"Detrending, Stylized Facts and the Business Cycle ,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics ,
John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 8(3), pages 231-47, July-Sept.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
King, Robert G. & Rebelo, Sergio T., 1993.
"Low frequency filtering and real business cycles ,"
Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control ,
Elsevier, vol. 17(1-2), pages 207-231.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Other versions: Watson, Mark W., 1986.
"Univariate detrending methods with stochastic trends ,"
Journal of Monetary Economics ,
Elsevier, vol. 18(1), pages 49-75, July.
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Nelson, Charles R & Kang, Heejoon, 1981.
"Spurious Periodicity in Inappropriately Detrended Time Series ,"
Econometrica ,
Econometric Society, vol. 49(3), pages 741-51, May.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Other versions: Cochrane, John H, 1994.
"Permanent and Transitory Components of GNP and Stock Prices ,"
The Quarterly Journal of Economics ,
MIT Press, vol. 109(1), pages 241-65, February.
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Simon van Norden, 1995.
"Why Is It So Hard to Measure the Current Output Gap? ,"
Macroeconomics
9506001, EconWPA.
[Downloadable!]
Timothy Cogley & James M. Nason, 1993.
"Output dynamics in real business cycle models ,"
Working Papers in Applied Economic Theory
93-10, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
Other versions:
Cogley, T. & Nason, J.M., 1994.
"Output Dynamics in Real Business Cycle Models ,"
UBC Departmental Archives
94-28, UBC Department of Economics.
Cogley, Timothy & Nason, James M, 1995.
"Output Dynamics in Real-Business-Cycle Models ,"
American Economic Review ,
American Economic Association, vol. 85(3), pages 492-511, June.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Blanchard, Olivier Jean & Quah, Danny, 1989.
"The Dynamic Effects of Aggregate Demand and Supply Disturbances ,"
American Economic Review ,
American Economic Association, vol. 79(4), pages 655-73, September.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Other versions: Osborn, Denise R, 1995.
"Moving Average Detrending and the Analysis of Business Cycles ,"
Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics ,
Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 57(4), pages 547-58, November.
Cecchetti, Stephen G. & Kashyap, Anil K, 1996.
"International cycles ,"
European Economic Review ,
Elsevier, vol. 40(2), pages 331-360, February.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Other versions: Baxter, Marianne, 1994.
"Real exchange rates and real interest differentials: Have we missed the business-cycle relationship? ,"
Journal of Monetary Economics ,
Elsevier, vol. 33(1), pages 5-37, February.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Quah, Danny, 1992.
"The Relative Importance of Permanent and Transitory Components: Identification and Some Theoretical Bounds ,"
Econometrica ,
Econometric Society, vol. 60(1), pages 107-18, January.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Other versions:
Danny Quah, 1991.
"The Relative Importance of Permanent and Transitory Components: Identification and Some Theoretical Bounds ,"
FMG Discussion Papers
dp126, Financial Markets Group.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Danny Quah, 1991.
"The Relative Importance of Permanent and Transitory Components: Identi- fication and Some Theoretical Bounds ,"
NBER Technical Working Papers
0106, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Danny Quah, 1988.
"The Relative Importance of Permanent and Transitory Components: Identification and Some Theoretical Bounds ,"
Working papers
498, Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT), Department of Economics.
Timothy Cogley, 1997.
"Evaluating non-structural measures of the business cycle ,"
Economic Review ,
Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, pages 3-21.
[Downloadable!]
Robert G. King & James H. Stock & Mark W. Watson, 1995.
"Temporal instability of the unemployment-inflation relationship ,"
Economic Perspectives ,
Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, issue May, pages 2-12.
[Downloadable!]
Lippi, Marco & Reichlin, Lucrezia, 1994.
"Diffusion of Technical Change and the Decomposition of Output into Trend and Cycle ,"
Review of Economic Studies ,
Blackwell Publishing, vol. 61(1), pages 19-30, January.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Other versions: Marianne Baxter & Robert G. King, 1995.
"Measuring Business Cycles Approximate Band-Pass Filters for Economic Time Series ,"
NBER Working Papers
5022, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Other versions: John Hassler & Petter Lundvik & Torsten Persson & Paul Soderlind, 1992.
"The Swedish business cycle: stylized facts over 130 years ,"
Discussion Paper / Institute for Empirical Macroeconomics
63, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis.
[Downloadable!]
Singleton, Kenneth J., 1988.
"Econometric issues in the analysis of equilibrium business cycle models ,"
Journal of Monetary Economics ,
Elsevier, vol. 21(2-3), pages 361-386.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Full
references Cited by : (explanations , Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile , click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.)
Athanasios Orphanides & Simon van Norden, 1999.
"The reliability of output gap estimates in real time ,"
Finance and Economics Discussion Series
1999-38, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
[Downloadable!]
Other versions:
Athanasios Orphanides & Simon van Norden, 1999.
"The Reliability of Output Gap Estimates in Real Time ,"
Macroeconomics
9907006, EconWPA.
[Downloadable!] Athanasios Orphanides & Simon Van_Norden, 2000.
"The Reliability of Output Gap Estimates in Real Time ,"
Econometric Society World Congress 2000 Contributed Papers
0768, Econometric Society.
[Downloadable!] Athanasios Orphanides & Simon van Norden, 2001.
"The Unreliability of Output Gap Estimates in Real Time ,"
CIRANO Working Papers
2001s-57, CIRANO.
[Downloadable!] Athanasios Orphanides & Simon van Norden, 2002.
"The Unreliability of Output-Gap Estimates in Real Time ,"
The Review of Economics and Statistics ,
MIT Press, vol. 84(4), pages 569-583, 07.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Ben Smit & Le Roux Burrows, 2002.
"Estimating potential output and output gaps for the South African economy ,"
Working Papers
05/2002, Stellenbosch University, Department of Economics.
[Downloadable!]
Paul Fenton & Alain Paquet, 1997.
"International Interest Rate Differentials: The Interaction with Fiscal and Monetary Variables, and the Business Cycle ,"
Cahiers de recherche CREFE / CREFE Working Papers
56, CREFE, Université du Québec à Montréal, revised Jan 1998.
[Downloadable!]
Lalonde, René, 1998.
"Le PIB potentiel des États-Unis et ses déterminants : la productivité de la main-d'oeuvre et le taux d'activité ,"
Working Papers
98-13, Bank of Canada.
[Downloadable!]
Martha Misas & Enrique López, .
"La Utilización de la Capacidad Instalada de la Industria en Colombia: Un Nuevo Enfoque ,"
Borradores de Economia
153, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions: Andrew Rennison, 2003.
"Comparing Alternative Output-Gap Estimators: A Monte Carlo Approach ,"
Working Papers
03-8, Bank of Canada.
[Downloadable!]
Kichian, Maral, 1999.
"Measuring Potential Output within a State-Space Framework ,"
Working Papers
99-9, Bank of Canada.
[Downloadable!]
Raimundo Soto & Raphael Bergoeing, 2002.
"Testing Real Business Cycle Models in an Emerging Economy ,"
Documentos de Trabajo
219, Instituto de Economía. Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile..
[Downloadable!]
Other versions: St-Amant, P. & van Norden, S., 1997.
"Measurement of the Output Gap: A Discussion of Recent Research at the Bank of Canada ,"
Technical Reports
79, Bank of Canada.
[Downloadable!]
Martha Misas Arango & Enrique López Enciso, 1998.
"El Producto Potencial En Colombia: Una Estimación Bajo Var Estructural ,"
BORRADORES DE ECONOMIA
002538, BANCO DE LA REPÚBLICA.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions: Russell Barnett & Sharon Kozicki & Christopher Petrinec, 2009.
"Parsing shocks: real-time revisions to gap and growth projections for Canada ,"
Review ,
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, issue Jul, pages 247-266.
[Downloadable!]
Steven Morling, 2002.
"Output Adjustment in Developing Countries: a Structural Var Approach ,"
Discussion Papers Series
307, School of Economics, University of Queensland, Australia.
[Downloadable!]
Aaron Drew & Benjamin Hunt, 1999.
"Efficient simple policy rules and the implications of potential output uncertainty ,"
Reserve Bank of New Zealand Discussion Paper Series
G99/5, Reserve Bank of New Zealand.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions: Carlos Enrique Carrasco Gutierrez & Fábio Augusto Reis Gomes, 2006.
"Evidence About Mercosur’S Business Cycle ,"
Anais do XXXIV Encontro Nacional de Economia [Proceedings of the 34th Brazilian Economics Meeting]
179, ANPEC - Associação Nacional dos Centros de Pósgraduação em Economia [Brazilian Association of Graduate Programs in Economics].
[Downloadable!]
Simon van Norden, 2002.
"Filtering for Current Analysis ,"
Working Papers
02-28, Bank of Canada.
[Downloadable!]
Paul Conway & Ben Hunt, 1998.
"Estimating the potential output of the New Zealand economy ,"
Reserve Bank of New Zealand Bulletin ,
Reserve Bank of New Zealand, vol. 61, September.
[Downloadable!]
Iris Claus, 1999.
"Estimating potential output for New Zealand: a structural VAR approach ,"
Reserve Bank of New Zealand Discussion Paper Series
DP2000/03, Reserve Bank of New Zealand.
[Downloadable!]
Lalonde, René & Page, Jennifer & St-Amant, Pierre, 1998.
"Une nouvelle méthode d'estimation de l'écart de production et son application aux États-Unis, au Canada et à l'Allemagne ,"
Working Papers
98-21, Bank of Canada.
[Downloadable!]
Paul Conway & Ben Hunt, 1997.
"Estimating potential output: a semi-structural approach ,"
Reserve Bank of New Zealand Discussion Paper Series
G97/9, Reserve Bank of New Zealand.
[Downloadable!]
Julie Tam & Heather Kirkham, 2000.
"Automatic Fiscal Stabilisers: Implications for New Zealand ,"
Treasury Working Paper Series
01/10, New Zealand Treasury, revised 2001.
[Downloadable!]
Gordon de Brouwer, 1998.
"Estimating Output Gaps ,"
RBA Research Discussion Papers
rdp9809, Reserve Bank of Australia.
[Downloadable!]
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