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Estimating Long-Run Relationships between Observed Integrated Variables by Unobserved Component Methods Author info | Abstract | Publisher info | Download info | Related research | Statistics G. EVERAERT ()
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A regression including integrated variables yields spurious results if the residuals contain a unit root. Although the obtained estimates are unreliable, this does not automatically imply that there is no long-run relation between the included variables as the unit root in the residuals may be induced by omitted or unobserved integrated variables. This paper uses an unobserved component model to estimate the partial long-run relation between observed integrated variables. This provides an alternative to standard cointegration analysis. The proposed methodology is described using a Monte Carlo simulation and applied to investigate purchasing-power parity.
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Paper provided by Ghent University, Faculty of Economics and Business Administration in its series Working Papers of Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, Ghent University, Belgium with number
07/452.
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Length: 26 pages
Date of creation: Jan 2007Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:rug:rugwps:07/452Contact details of provider: Postal: Hoveniersberg 4, B-9000 Gent Phone: ++ 32 (0) 9 264 34 61 Fax: ++ 32 (0) 9 264 35 92 Web page: http://www.feb.ugent.be/ More information through EDIRC
For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its listing, contact: (Nathalie Verhaeghe).
Keywords: Spurious Regression ; Cointegration ; Unobserved Component Model ; PPP. ; Other versions of this item:
Find related papers by JEL classification: C15 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods: General - - - Statistical Simulation Methods C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions
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references Cited by : (explanations , Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile , click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.)
Sinchan Mitra & Tara M. Sinclair, .
"Output Fluctuations in the G-7: An Unobserved Components Approach ,"
MRG Discussion Paper Series
2509, School of Economics, University of Queensland, Australia.
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