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Has the business cycle changed? Author info | Abstract | Publisher info | Download info | Related research | Statistics James H. Stock
Mark W. Watson
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Article provided by Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City in its journal Proceedings .
Volume (Year): (2003)
Issue (Month): ()
Pages: 9-56
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Keywords: Business cycles Monetary policy Other versions of this item:
References listed on IDEAS Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile , click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.: Claudia M. Buch & Jörg Döpke & Christian Pierdzioch, 2002.
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Kiel Working Papers
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"Further Evidence on the International Business Cycle and the ERM: Is There a European Business Cycle? ,"
Oxford Economic Papers ,
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Brian M. Doyle & Jon Faust, 2003.
"Breaks in the variability and co-movement of G-7 economic growth ,"
International Finance Discussion Papers
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"Measuring Monetary Policy ,"
The Quarterly Journal of Economics ,
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M. Ayhan Kose & Eswar Prasad & Marco Terrones, 2003.
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IMF Working Papers
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Kose, M. Ayhan & Prasad, Eswar E. & Terrones, Marco E., 2003.
"How Does Globalization Affect the Synchronization of Business Cycles? ,"
IZA Discussion Papers
702, Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA).
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Heathcote, J. & Perri, F., 2001.
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New York University, Leonard N. Stern School Finance Department Working Paper Seires
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Journal of Economic Theory ,
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Econometrica ,
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Diego Comin & Sunil Mulani, 2003.
"Diverging Trends in Macro and Micro Volatility: Facts ,"
Macroeconomics
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Diego Comin & Sunil Mulani, 2004.
"Diverging Trends in Macro and Micro Volatility: Facts ,"
NBER Working Papers
10922, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Comin, D. & Mulani, S., 2003.
"Diverging Trends in Macro and Micro Volatility: Facts ,"
Working Papers
03-08, C.V. Starr Center for Applied Economics, New York University.
[Downloadable!] Chang-Jin Kim & Charles R. Nelson, 1999.
"Has The U.S. Economy Become More Stable? A Bayesian Approach Based On A Markov-Switching Model Of The Business Cycle ,"
The Review of Economics and Statistics ,
MIT Press, vol. 81(4), pages 608-616, November.
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Glenn D. Rudebusch & Lars E. O. Svensson, 1998.
"Policy rules for inflation targeting ,"
Proceedings ,
Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue Mar.
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Rudebusch, G.D. & Svensson, L.E.O., 1998.
"Policy Rules for Inflation Targeting ,"
Papers
637, Stockholm - International Economic Studies.
Rudebusch, Glenn D & Svensson, Lars E O, 1998.
"Policy Rules for Inflation Targeting ,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
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"Policy Rules for Inflation Targeting ,"
NBER Working Papers
6512, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
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"Policy Rules for Inflation Targeting ,"
Seminar Papers
637, Stockholm University, Institute for International Economic Studies.
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"Policy rules for inflation targeting ,"
Working Papers in Applied Economic Theory and Econometrics
98-03, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
John Y. Campbell, 2001.
"Have Individual Stocks Become More Volatile? An Empirical Exploration of Idiosyncratic Risk ,"
Journal of Finance ,
American Finance Association, vol. 56(1), pages 1-43, 02.
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Other versions: Artis, Michael J & Zhang, W, 1997.
"International Business Cycles and the ERM: Is There a European Business Cycle? ,"
International Journal of Finance & Economics ,
John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 2(1), pages 1-16, January.
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Other versions: William D. Nordhaus, 2002.
"Productivity Growth and the New Economy ,"
Brookings Papers on Economic Activity ,
Economic Studies Program, The Brookings Institution, vol. 33(2002-2), pages 211-265.
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Taylor, John B., 1993.
"Discretion versus policy rules in practice ,"
Carnegie-Rochester Conference Series on Public Policy ,
Elsevier, vol. 39, pages 195-214, December.
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Orphanides, Athanasios, 2003.
"Monetary policy evaluation with noisy information ,"
Journal of Monetary Economics ,
Elsevier, vol. 50(3), pages 605-631, April.
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Other versions: Mark W. Watson, 1999.
"Explaining the increased variability in long-term interest rates ,"
Economic Quarterly ,
Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond, issue Fall, pages 71-96.
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Stefania Albanesi & V. V. Chari & Lawrence J. Christiano, 2003.
"Expectation Traps and Monetary Policy ,"
Review of Economic Studies ,
Blackwell Publishing, vol. 70(4), pages 715-741, October.
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Stefania Albanesi & V.V. Chari & Lawrence J. Christiano, 2002.
"Expectation Traps and Monetary Policy ,"
NBER Working Papers
8912, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
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"Expectation Traps and Monetary Policy ,"
Macroeconomics
0201004, EconWPA.
[Downloadable!] Stefania Albanesi & V.V.Chari & Lawrence J. Christiano, 2002.
"Expectation traps and monetary policy ,"
Working Paper Series
WP-02-04, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago.
[Downloadable!] Stefania Albanesi & V. V. Chari & Lawrence J. Christiano, 2003.
"Expectation traps and monetary policy ,"
Staff Report
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"Expectation Traps and Monetary Policy ,"
Working Papers
198, IGIER (Innocenzo Gasparini Institute for Economic Research), Bocconi University.
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"The effect of monetary policy on residential and structures investment under differential project planning and completion times ,"
International Finance Discussion Papers
671, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
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Harding, Don & Pagan, Adrian, 2002.
"Dissecting the cycle: a methodological investigation ,"
Journal of Monetary Economics ,
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Other versions: Kozicki, Sharon & Tinsley, P. A., 2001.
"Shifting endpoints in the term structure of interest rates ,"
Journal of Monetary Economics ,
Elsevier, vol. 47(3), pages 613-652, June.
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Other versions: James A. Kahn & Margaret M. McConnell & Gabriel Perez-Quiros, 2002.
"On the causes of the increased stability of the U.S. economy ,"
Economic Policy Review ,
Federal Reserve Bank of New York, issue May, pages 183-202.
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James H. Stock & Mark W. Watson, 2003.
"Understanding Changes in International Business Cycle Dynamics ,"
NBER Working Papers
9859, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
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Other versions: Robert A. Moffitt & Peter Gottschalk, 2002.
"Trends in the Transitory Variance of Earnings in the United States ,"
Economic Journal ,
Royal Economic Society, vol. 112(478), pages C68-C73, March.
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Christina D. Romer & David H. Romer, 2002.
"The evolution of economic understanding and postwar stabilization policy ,"
Proceedings ,
Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, pages 11-78.
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Frank Smets & Raf Wouters, 2003.
"An Estimated Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium Model of the Euro Area ,"
Journal of the European Economic Association ,
MIT Press, vol. 1(5), pages 1123-1175, 09.
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Other versions: M Sensier & D van Dijk, 2001.
"Short-term Volatility versus Long-term Growth: Evidence in US Macroeconomic Time Series ,"
Centre for Growth and Business Cycle Research Discussion Paper Series
08, Economics, The Univeristy of Manchester.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions: Richard Clarida & Jordi Galí & Mark Gertler, 2000.
"Monetary Policy Rules And Macroeconomic Stability: Evidence And Some Theory ,"
The Quarterly Journal of Economics ,
MIT Press, vol. 115(1), pages 147-180, February.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Other versions:
Clarida, Richard & Galí, Jordi & Gertler, Mark, 1998.
"Monetary Policy Rules and Macroeconomic Stability: Evidence and Some Theory ,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
1908, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Richard Clarida & Jordi Gali & Mark Gertler, 1998.
"Monetary Policy Rules and Macroeconomic Stability: Evidence and Some Theory ,"
NBER Working Papers
6442, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Richard Clarida & Jordi Galí & Mark Gertler, 1997.
"Monetary Policy Rules and Macroeconomic Stability: Evidence and Some Theory ,"
Economics Working Papers
350, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra, revised May 1999.
[Downloadable!] Clarida, R. & Gali, J. & Gertler, M., 1998.
"Monetary Policy Rules and Macroeconomic Stability: Evidence and some Theory ,"
Working Papers
98-01, C.V. Starr Center for Applied Economics, New York University.
[Downloadable!] Refet S. Gurkaynak & Brian Sack & Eric Swanson, 2005.
"The Sensitivity of Long-Term Interest Rates to Economic News: Evidence and Implications for Macroeconomic Models ,"
American Economic Review ,
American Economic Association, vol. 95(1), pages 425-436, March.
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Hooker, Mark A., 1996.
"What happened to the oil price-macroeconomy relationship? ,"
Journal of Monetary Economics ,
Elsevier, vol. 38(2), pages 195-213, October.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Athanasios Orphanides, 2001.
"Monetary Policy Rules Based on Real-Time Data ,"
American Economic Review ,
American Economic Association, vol. 91(4), pages 964-985, September.
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Other versions: Thomas Dalsgaard & Jørgen Elmeskov & Cyn-Young Park, 2002.
"Ongoing changes in the business cycle - evidence and causes ,"
SUERF Studies ,
SUERF - The European Money and Finance Forum, number 20 edited by Morten Balling.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions: Christina D. Romer & David H. Romer, 2002.
"The Evolution of Economic Understanding and Postwar Stabilization Policy ,"
NBER Working Papers
9274, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
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repec:rus:hseeco:123092 is not listed on IDEAS
Jean Boivin & Marc Giannoni, 2002.
"Has monetary policy become less powerful? ,"
Staff Reports
144, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
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Carvalho, Vasco M & Harvey, Andrew, 2004.
"Convergence and Cycles in the Euro Zone ,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
4726, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
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Clarida, Richard & Gali, Jordi & Gertler, Mark, 1998.
"Monetary policy rules in practice Some international evidence ,"
European Economic Review ,
Elsevier, vol. 42(6), pages 1033-1067, June.
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Other versions:
Richard Clarida & Jordi Gali & Mark Gertler, 1997.
"Monetary Policy Rules in Practice: Some International Evidence ,"
NBER Working Papers
6254, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Clarida, Richard & Gali, Jordi & Gertler, Mark, 1997.
"Monetary Policy Rules in Practice: Some International Evidence ,"
Working Papers
97-32, C.V. Starr Center for Applied Economics, New York University.
[Downloadable!] Clarida, Richard & Galí, Jordi & Gertler, Mark, 1997.
"Monetary Policy Rules in Practice: Some International Evidence ,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
1750, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Rob Luginbuhl & Siem Jan Koopman, 2003.
"Convergence in European GDP Series ,"
Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers
03-031/4, Tinbergen Institute.
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Brian M. Doyle & Jon Faust, 2002.
"An investigation of co-movements among the growth rates of the G-7 countries ,"
Federal Reserve Bulletin ,
Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.), issue Oct, pages 427-437.
[Downloadable!]
Artis, Michael J & Kontolemis, Zenon G & Osborn, Denise R, 1997.
"Business Cycles for G7 and European Countries ,"
Journal of Business ,
University of Chicago Press, vol. 70(2), pages 249-79, April.
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Refet S. Gürkaynak & Brian Sack & Eric Swanson, 2003.
"The excess sensitivity of long-term interest rates: evidence and implications for macroeconomic models ,"
Finance and Economics Discussion Series
2003-50, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
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Other versions: Richard Blundell & Luigi Pistaferri & Ian Preston, 2004.
"Consumption inequality and partial insurance ,"
IFS Working Papers
W04/28, Institute for Fiscal Studies.
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Hamilton, James D., 2003.
"What is an oil shock? ,"
Journal of Econometrics ,
Elsevier, vol. 113(2), pages 363-398, April.
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Other versions: Jonathan McCarthy & Richard W. Peach, 2002.
"Monetary policy transmission to residential investment ,"
Economic Policy Review ,
Federal Reserve Bank of New York, issue May, pages 139-158.
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