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Examining the Decoupling Hypothesis for India

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Shruthi Jayaram
Abstract

This paper examines the decoupling hypothesis for India. This paper analyses business cycle synchronization between India and a set of industrial economies, particularly the United States, over the period 1992 to 2008. The evidence suggests that the Indian business cycle exhibits increasing co-movement with business cycles in industrial economies over this period. Indian business cycle synchronization is stronger with industrial countries as a whole as opposed to the co-movement found with the US.

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Paper provided by esocialsciences.com in its series Working Papers with number id:2119.

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Date of creation: 2009
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Handle: RePEc:ess:wpaper:id:2119

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Keywords: Business cycles; synchronization; decoupling; trade; dynamic correlation;

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  2. Pami Dua, 2007. "Business Cycles in India," Working Papers id:1132, esocialsciences.com. [Downloadable!]
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  3. Eswar Prasad, 1999. "International Trade and the Business Cycle," IMF Working Papers 99/56, International Monetary Fund.
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  4. Harding, Don & Pagan, Adrian, 2006. "Synchronization of cycles," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 132(1), pages 59-79, May. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  5. Fidrmuc, Jarko & Korhonen, Iikka & Bátorová, Ivana, 2008. "China in the world economy: Dynamic correlation analysis of business cycles," BOFIT Discussion Papers 7/2008, Bank of Finland, Institute for Economies in Transition. [Downloadable!]
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  6. Kumakura, Masanaga, 2006. "Trade and business cycle co-movements in Asia-Pacific," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 17(4), pages 622-645, October. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  7. Canova, Fabio, 1998. "Detrending and business cycle facts," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 41(3), pages 475-512, May. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  8. Calderon, Cesar & Chong, Alberto & Stein, Ernesto, 2007. "Trade intensity and business cycle synchronization: Are developing countries any different?," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 71(1), pages 2-21, March. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  9. Zsolt Darvas & György Szapáry, 2008. "Business Cycle Synchronization in the Enlarged EU," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 19(1), pages 1-19, February. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  10. Chan, Tze-Haw & Khong, Wye Leong Roy, 2007. "Business Cycle Correlation and Output Linkages among the Asia Pacific Economies," MPRA Paper 11305, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 24 Oct 2008. [Downloadable!]
  11. Pradumna B. Rana, 2008. "Trade Intensity And Business Cycle Synchronization: The Case Of East Asian Countries," The Singapore Economic Review (SER), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 53(02), pages 279-292. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  12. AkIn, Cigdem & Kose, M. Ayhan, 2008. "Changing nature of North-South linkages: Stylized facts and explanations," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 19(1), pages 1-28, February. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  13. Mark Aguiar & Gita Gopinath, 2007. "Emerging Market Business Cycles: The Cycle Is the Trend," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 115, pages 69-102. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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