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An examination of hysteresis hypothesis on natural rate of unemployment in the case of Turkey

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Author Info
Yakup Kucukkale (Ondokuz Mayis University)

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Abstract

In this study, the Hysteresis Hypothesis that assumes the natural rate of unemployment follows the last period’s realised unemployment was examined for the Turkish case by using annual data for the period of 1950-1995. The technique used in this study is the Kalman – Filter that is using as an influential technique to estimate the parameters of time varying regressions. Obtaining results show that the hypothesis is valid for the Turkish case in sample period. But, this quite weak validity needs additional explanatory variables to prove hypothesis completely.

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Publisher Info
Paper provided by EconWPA in its series Labor and Demography with number 0211003.

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Date of creation: 18 Nov 2002
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Handle: RePEc:wpa:wuwpla:0211003

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Web page: http://129.3.20.41

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Related research
Keywords: hysteresis kalman filter unemployment;

Find related papers by JEL classification:
J64 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Mobility, Unemployment, and Vacancies - - - Unemployment: Models, Duration, Incidence, and Job Search
J68 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Mobility, Unemployment, and Vacancies - - - Public Policy

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References listed on IDEAS
Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:
  1. Hall, Robert E, 1978. "Stochastic Implications of the Life Cycle-Permanent Income Hypothesis: Theory and Evidence," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 86(6), pages 971-87, December. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  2. Campbell, John Y & Mankiw, N Gregory, 1987. "Are Output Fluctuations Transitory?," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, MIT Press, vol. 102(4), pages 857-80, November. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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