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A new state-space methodology to disaggregate multivariate time series

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Author Info
Víctor Gómez
Félix Aparicio-Pérez
Abstract

This article addresses the problem of disaggregating multivariate time series sampled at different frequencies using state-space models. In particular, we consider the relation between the high-frequency and low-frequency models, the possible loss of observability and identifiability in the latter with respect to the former, the estimation of the parameters of the low-frequency model by maximum likelihood, and the prediction and interpolation of high-frequency figures when only low-frequency data are available. Since vector autoregressive moving average models are a special case of state-space models, our results are also valid for those models, but they include other models as well, like structural models. We provide a rigorous theoretical development of the aforementioned issues, including a comparison with the classical model-based approaches, and we propose a practical methodology to disaggregate multivariate time series that is both efficient and easy to implement. Copyright 2009 The Authors. Journal compilation 2009 Blackwell Publishing Ltd

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File URL: http://www.blackwell-synergy.com/doi/abs/10.1111/j.1467-9892.2008.00602.x
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Publisher Info
Article provided by Blackwell Publishing in its journal Journal of Time Series Analysis.

Volume (Year): 30 (2009)
Issue (Month): 1 (01)
Pages: 97-124
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Handle: RePEc:bla:jtsera:v:30:y:2009:i:1:p:97-124

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  1. Helmut Luetkepohl, 2009. "Forecasting Aggregated Time Series Variables: A Survey," Economics Working Papers ECO2009/17, European University Institute. [Downloadable!]
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This page was last updated on 2009-10-26.


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