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A Comparison Of Annual, Quarterly And Monthly Turkey Export Models

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  • Colyer, Dale
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    Abstract

    Structural time series models of turkey exports were estimated using monthly, quarterly and annual data. The trend is statistically significant in all three models, seasonals are significant in the quarterly and monthly models. Exchange rates, lagged prices, and lagged production were explanatory factors in the monthly model; exchange rates and prices in the quarterly model; but only the exchange rates in the annual model.

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    File URL: http://purl.umn.edu/19106
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    Bibliographic Info

    Paper provided by West Virginia University, Department of Agricultural Resource Economics in its series Conference Papers with number 19106.

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    Date of creation: 2000
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    Handle: RePEc:ags:wvucps:19106

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    Postal: College of Agriculture, Forestry and Consumer Sciences, PO BOX 6108, Morgantown, WV 26506-6108
    Fax: (304)293-3752
    Web page: http://www.caf.wvu.edu/resm/are/index.html
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    Related research

    Keywords: Turkey exports; international trade; structural time series; International Development;

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    1. Harvey, A C, et al, 1986. "Stochastic Trends in Dynamic Regression Models: An Application to the Employment-Output Equations," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 96(384), pages 975-85, December.
    2. Aradhyula, Satheesh V. & Holt, Matthew, 1989. "Risk Behavior and Rational Expectations in the U.S. Broiler Market," Staff General Research Papers 274, Iowa State University, Department of Economics.
    3. Stephen L. Haley, 1990. "Measuring the effectiveness of the export enhancement program for poultry," Agribusiness, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 6(2), pages 97-108.
    4. Alston, Julian M. & Scobie, Grant M., 1987. "A Differentiated Goods Model Of The Effects Of European Policies In International Poultry Markets," Southern Journal of Agricultural Economics, Southern Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 19(01), July.
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