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Crop-Based Biofuel Production with Acreage Competition and Uncertainty


Author Info

  • Mallory, M.
  • Hayes, Dermot J.
  • Babcock, Bruce A.


This paper examines the role of uncertaincrude oil prices, uncertain crop yields, andcompetition for acreage on corn, soybean, andswitchgrass prices under biofuel production mandates.We find enforcement of the cellulosic mandateis costly in that it raises equilibrium prices of all threecrops through competition for acreage. However,crude oil prices largely determine industry profitabilityeven in the face of high crop prices. Further wefind that uncertainty in crude oil prices and cropyields causes higher corn, soybean, and switchgrassprices compared to a baseline with no uncertainty.

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Bibliographic Info

Paper provided by Iowa State University, Department of Economics in its series Staff General Research Papers with number 32439.

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Date of creation: 04 Feb 2011
Date of revision:
Publication status: Published in Land Economics, November 2011, vol. 87 no. 4, pp. 610-617
Handle: RePEc:isu:genres:32439

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Postal: Iowa State University, Dept. of Economics, 260 Heady Hall, Ames, IA 50011-1070
Phone: +1 515.294.6741
Fax: +1 515.294.0221
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Cited by:
  1. Dumortier, Jerome, 2013. "Co-firing in coal power plants and its impact on biomass feedstock availability," Energy Policy, Elsevier, Elsevier, vol. 60(C), pages 396-405.


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