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Italian Equity Funds: Efficiency and Performance Persistence

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Author Info
Roberto Casarin
Andrea Piva
Loriana Pelizzon

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Abstract

Have Italian mutual funds been able to generate ‘extra-return’? Were some of them able to persistently beat the competitors? In this paper the authors address these questions and provide a detailed and systematic performance and return persistence analysis of the Italian equity mutual funds. The authors show that, in general, fund managers have not been able to score extra performances and only few managers have the stock picking ability or market timing ability. This evidence is consistent with the market efficiency hypothesis. Concerning performance persistence, firstly the study reveals absence of hot hand phenomenon on raw returns. The no persistence effect is fairly robust to the performance measure, the temporal lag and the different methodology employed for testing persistence. Secondly, there is no long-run persistence on risk-adjusted returns as the study found a weak evidence of the reversal effect. Finally, the past performance displays weak evidence of the hot hand effect on risk-adjusted returns on four-month intervals using cross-section tests. However, once the yearly intervals are analyzed, any evidence of persistence may disappear.

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Publisher Info
Article provided by Icfai Press in its journal The Icfai Journal of Financial Economics.

Volume (Year): VI (2008)
Issue (Month): 1 (March)
Pages: 7-28
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Handle: RePEc:icf:icfjfe:v:06:y:2008:i:1:p:7-28

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  1. Carpenter, Jennifer N. & Lynch, Anthony W., 1999. "Survivorship bias and attrition effects in measures of performance persistence," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 54(3), pages 337-374, December. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  2. Carhart, Mark M, 1997. " On Persistence in Mutual Fund Performance," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 52(1), pages 57-82, March. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  3. Grinblatt, Mark & Titman, Sheridan D, 1989. "Mutual Fund Performance: An Analysis of Quarterly Portfolio Holdings," Journal of Business, University of Chicago Press, vol. 62(3), pages 393-416, July. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  4. Fama, Eugene F, 1970. "Efficient Capital Markets: A Review of Theory and Empirical Work," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 25(2), pages 383-417, May. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  5. Chen, Nai-Fu & Roll, Richard & Ross, Stephen A, 1986. "Economic Forces and the Stock Market," Journal of Business, University of Chicago Press, vol. 59(3), pages 383-403, July. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  6. Elton, Edwin J & Gruber, Martin J & Blake, Christopher R, 1996. "The Persistence of Risk-Adjusted Mutual Fund Performance," Journal of Business, University of Chicago Press, vol. 69(2), pages 133-57, April. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  7. Henriksson, Roy D & Merton, Robert C, 1981. "On Market Timing and Investment Performance. II. Statistical Procedures for Evaluating Forecasting Skills," Journal of Business, University of Chicago Press, vol. 54(4), pages 513-33, October. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  8. Sanford J. Grossman & Joseph E. Stiglitz, 1980. "On the Impossibility of Informationally Efficient Markets," NBER Reprints 0121, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
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  9. Brown, Stephen J & Goetzmann, William N, 1995. " Performance Persistence," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 50(2), pages 679-98, June. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  10. Jensen, Michael C, 1969. "Risk, The Pricing of Capital Assets, and the Evaluation of Investment Portfolios," Journal of Business, University of Chicago Press, vol. 42(2), pages 167-247, April. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  11. Fama, Eugene F, 1991. " Efficient Capital Markets: II," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 46(5), pages 1575-617, December. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  12. Brown, Stephen J, et al, 1992. "Survivorship Bias in Performance Studies," Review of Financial Studies, Oxford University Press for Society for Financial Studies, vol. 5(4), pages 553-80. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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This page was last updated on 2008-8-30.

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