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Italian Equity Funds: Efficiency and Performance Persistence

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Author Info
Roberto Casarin
Andrea Piva
Loriana Pelizzon

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Abstract

Have Italian mutual funds been able to generate ‘extra-return’? Were some of them able to persistently beat the competitors? In this paper the authors address these questions and provide a detailed and systematic performance and return persistence analysis of the Italian equity mutual funds. The authors show that, in general, fund managers have not been able to score extra performances and only few managers have the stock picking ability or market timing ability. This evidence is consistent with the market efficiency hypothesis. Concerning performance persistence, firstly the study reveals absence of hot hand phenomenon on raw returns. The no persistence effect is fairly robust to the performance measure, the temporal lag and the different methodology employed for testing persistence. Secondly, there is no long-run persistence on risk-adjusted returns as the study found a weak evidence of the reversal effect. Finally, the past performance displays weak evidence of the hot hand effect on risk-adjusted returns on four-month intervals using cross-section tests. However, once the yearly intervals are analyzed, any evidence of persistence may disappear.

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Publisher Info
Article provided by Icfai Press in its journal The Icfai University Journal of Financial Economics.

Volume (Year): VI (2008)
Issue (Month): 1 (March)
Pages: 7-28
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Handle: RePEc:icf:icfjfe:v:06:y:2008:i:1:p:7-28

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  1. Carpenter, Jennifer N. & Lynch, Anthony W., 1999. "Survivorship bias and attrition effects in measures of performance persistence," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 54(3), pages 337-374, December. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  2. Carhart, Mark M, 1997. " On Persistence in Mutual Fund Performance," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 52(1), pages 57-82, March. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  3. Fama, Eugene F & French, Kenneth R, 1992. " The Cross-Section of Expected Stock Returns," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 47(2), pages 427-65, June. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  4. Grinblatt, Mark & Titman, Sheridan D, 1989. "Mutual Fund Performance: An Analysis of Quarterly Portfolio Holdings," Journal of Business, University of Chicago Press, vol. 62(3), pages 393-416, July. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  5. Agarwal, Vikas & Naik, Narayan Y., 2000. "Multi-Period Performance Persistence Analysis of Hedge Funds," Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 35(03), pages 327-342, September. [Downloadable!]
  6. D. E. Allen & M. L. Tan, 1999. "A Test of the Persistence in the Performance of UK Managed Funds," Journal of Business Finance & Accounting, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 26(5&6), pages 559-593. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  7. Fama, Eugene F, 1970. "Efficient Capital Markets: A Review of Theory and Empirical Work," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 25(2), pages 383-417, May. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  8. Chen, Nai-Fu & Roll, Richard & Ross, Stephen A, 1986. "Economic Forces and the Stock Market," Journal of Business, University of Chicago Press, vol. 59(3), pages 383-403, July. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  10. Elton, Edwin J & Gruber, Martin J & Blake, Christopher R, 1996. "The Persistence of Risk-Adjusted Mutual Fund Performance," Journal of Business, University of Chicago Press, vol. 69(2), pages 133-57, April. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  11. Goetzmann, W.N. & Ibbotson, R.G., 1990. "Do Winners Repeat? Patterns in Mutual Fund Behavior," Papers fb-_91-04, Columbia - Graduate School of Business.
  12. Cesari, Riccardo & Panetta, Fabio, 2002. "The performance of Italian equity funds," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 26(1), pages 99-126, January. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  13. Henriksson, Roy D & Merton, Robert C, 1981. "On Market Timing and Investment Performance. II. Statistical Procedures for Evaluating Forecasting Skills," Journal of Business, University of Chicago Press, vol. 54(4), pages 513-33, October. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  14. Brown, Stephen J & Goetzmann, William N, 1995. " Performance Persistence," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 50(2), pages 679-98, June. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  15. Grossman, Sanford J & Stiglitz, Joseph E, 1980. "On the Impossibility of Informationally Efficient Markets," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 70(3), pages 393-408, June.
  16. Grinblatt, Mark & Titman, Sheridan, 1994. "A Study of Monthly Mutual Fund Returns and Performance Evaluation Techniques," Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 29(03), pages 419-444, September. [Downloadable!]
  17. Stephen J. Brown & William N. Goetzmann & Roger G. Ibbotson, 1997. "Offshore Hedge Funds: Survival and Performance 1989-1995," NBER Working Papers 5909, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  18. Jensen, Michael C, 1969. "Risk, The Pricing of Capital Assets, and the Evaluation of Investment Portfolios," Journal of Business, University of Chicago Press, vol. 42(2), pages 167-247, April. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  19. Fama, Eugene F, 1991. " Efficient Capital Markets: II," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 46(5), pages 1575-617, December. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  20. Cesari, R. & Panetta, F., 1998. "Style, Fees and Performance of Italian Equity Funds," Papers 325, Banca Italia - Servizio di Studi.
    Other versions:
  21. Brown, Stephen J, et al, 1992. "Survivorship Bias in Performance Studies," Review of Financial Studies, Oxford University Press for Society for Financial Studies, vol. 5(4), pages 553-80. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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