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Multivariate Lagrange Multiplier Tests for Fractional Integration

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Author Info
Nielsen, Morten Oe. () (Department of Economics, University of Aarhus, Denmark)

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Abstract

We introduce a multivariate Lagrange Multiplier (LM) test for fractional integration. We derive and analyze the LM statistic and show that it is asymptotically chi-squared distributed under local alternatives, and that, under Gaussianity, the LM test is asymptotically efficient against local alternatives. It is shown that the regression variant in Breitung & Hassler (2002, Journal of Econometrics 110, 167-185) is not equivalent to the LM test in the multivariate case, although it is in the univariate case. A generalization of the LM test that explicitly allows for different integration orders for each variate is also introduced. The finite sample properties of the LM test are evaluated and compared to the Breitung & Hassler (2002) test by Monte Carlo experiments. An application to multivariate time series of real interest rates for six countries is offered, demonstrating that more clear-cut evidence can be drawn from multivariate tests compared to conducting several univariate tests.

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Paper provided by School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus in its series Economics Working Papers with number 2002-18.

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Handle: RePEc:aah:aarhec:2002-18

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Web page: http://www.econ.au.dk/afn/

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Related research
Keywords: Asymptotic Local Power Efficient Test Fractional Integration Lagrange Multiplier Test Multivariate Fractional Unit Root Nonstationarity

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C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models

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References listed on IDEAS
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  1. Peter KUGLER & Klaus NEUSSER, 1990. "International Real Interest Rate Equalization: A Multivariate Time Series Approach," Vienna Economics Papers vie9003, University of Vienna, Department of Economics.
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  2. Phillips, P C B & Durlauf, S N, 1986. "Multiple Time Series Regression with Integrated Processes," Review of Economic Studies, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 53(4), pages 473-95, August. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  3. Tanaka, Katsuto, 1999. "The Nonstationary Fractional Unit Root," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 15(04), pages 549-582, August. [Downloadable!]
  4. Breitung, Jorg & Hassler, Uwe, 2002. "Inference on the cointegration rank in fractionally integrated processes," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 110(2), pages 167-185, October. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  5. Nyblom, Jukka & Harvey, Andrew, 2000. "Tests Of Common Stochastic Trends," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 16(02), pages 176-199, April. [Downloadable!]
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  6. Johansen, Soren, 1988. "Statistical analysis of cointegration vectors," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 12(2-3), pages 231-254. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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Cited by:
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  1. Luis Alberiko Gil-Alana & Antonio Moreno, . "Technology Shocks and Hours Worked: A Fractional Integration Perspective," Faculty Working Papers 03/06, School of Economics and Business Administration, University of Navarra. [Downloadable!]
  2. Guglielmo Maria Caporale & Luis A. Gil-Alana, 2006. "Fractional Integration And Impulse Responses: A Bivariate Application To Real Output In The Us And The Scandinavian Countries," Economics and Finance Discussion Papers 06-25, Economics and Finance Section, School of Social Sciences, Brunel University. [Downloadable!]
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