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Unit Root Testing In Practice: Dealing With Uncertainty Over The Trend And Initial Condition

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Author Info
Harvey, David I.
Leybourne, Stephen J.
Taylor, A.M. Robert

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Abstract

In this paper we focus on two major issues that surround testing for a unit root in practice, namely, (i) uncertainty as to whether or not a linear deterministic trend is present in the data and (ii) uncertainty as to whether the initial condition of the process is (asymptotically) negligible or not. In each case simple testing procedures are proposed with the aim of maintaining good power properties across such uncertainties. For the first issue, if the initial condition is negligible, quasi-differenced (QD) detrended (demeaned) Dickey Fuller-type tests rejects. This procedure is also shown to perform well in practice, simultaneously exploiting the superior power of the QD (OLS) detrended/demeaned test for small (large) initial conditions.

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File URL: http://journals.cambridge.org/abstract_S026646660809018X
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Publisher Info
Article provided by Cambridge University Press in its journal Econometric Theory.

Volume (Year): 25 (2009)
Issue (Month): 03 (June)
Pages: 587-636
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Handle: RePEc:cup:etheor:v:25:y:2009:i:03:p:587-636_09

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  1. Michael Jansson & Morten Ørregaard Nielsen, 2009. "Nearly Efficient Likelihood Ratio Tests of the Unit Root Hypothesis," CREATES Research Papers 2009-37, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus. [Downloadable!]
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  2. Peter C.B. Phillips & Tassos Magdalinos, 2008. "Unit Root and Cointegrating Limit Theory When Initialization Is in the Infinite Past," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 1655, Cowles Foundation, Yale University. [Downloadable!]
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This page was last updated on 2009-11-24.


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