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Estimating GARCH-type models with symmetric stable innovations: Indirect inference versus maximum likelihood

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  • Calzolari, Giorgio
  • Halbleib, Roxana
  • Parrini, Alessandro

Abstract

Financial returns exhibit conditional heteroscedasticity, asymmetric responses of their volatility to negative and positive returns (leverage effects) and fat tails. The α-stable distribution is a natural candidate for capturing the tail-thickness of the conditional distribution of financial returns, while the GARCH-type models are very popular in depicting the conditional heteroscedasticity and leverage effects. However, practical implementation of α-stable distribution in finance applications has been limited by its estimation difficulties. The performance of the indirect inference approach using GARCH models with Student’s t distributed errors as auxiliary models is compared to the maximum likelihood approach for estimating GARCH-type models with symmetric α-stable innovations. It is shown that the expected efficiency gains of the maximum likelihood approach come at high computational costs compared to the indirect inference method.

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  • Calzolari, Giorgio & Halbleib, Roxana & Parrini, Alessandro, 2014. "Estimating GARCH-type models with symmetric stable innovations: Indirect inference versus maximum likelihood," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 158-171.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:csdana:v:76:y:2014:i:c:p:158-171
    DOI: 10.1016/j.csda.2013.07.028
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    Cited by:

    1. Calzolari, Giorgio & Halbleib, Roxana, 2018. "Estimating stable latent factor models by indirect inference," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 205(1), pages 280-301.
    2. Feng Lingbing & Shi Yanlin, 2020. "Markov regime-switching autoregressive model with tempered stable distribution: simulation evidence," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 24(1), pages 1-27, February.
    3. Li, Dong & Tao, Yuxin & Yang, Yaxing & Zhang, Rongmao, 2023. "Maximum likelihood estimation for α-stable double autoregressive models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 236(1).
    4. Sampaio, Jhames M. & Morettin, Pedro A., 2020. "Stable Randomized Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedastic Models," Econometrics and Statistics, Elsevier, vol. 15(C), pages 67-83.
    5. Calzolari, Giorgio & Halbleib, Roxana & Parrini, Alessandro, 2014. "Estimating GARCH-type models with symmetric stable innovations: Indirect inference versus maximum likelihood," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 158-171.
    6. Yanlin Shi & Lingbing Feng & Tong Fu, 2020. "Markov Regime-Switching in-Mean Model with Tempered Stable Distribution," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 55(4), pages 1275-1299, April.
    7. Shi, Yanlin & Feng, Lingbing, 2016. "A discussion on the innovation distribution of the Markov regime-switching GARCH model," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 53(C), pages 278-288.
    8. Tong Liu & Yanlin Shi, 2022. "Innovation of the Component GARCH Model: Simulation Evidence and Application on the Chinese Stock Market," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 10(11), pages 1-18, June.
    9. Lingbing Feng & Yanlin Shi, 2017. "A simulation study on the distributions of disturbances in the GARCH model," Cogent Economics & Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 5(1), pages 1355503-135, January.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Symmetric α-stable distribution; GARCH-type models; Indirect inference; Maximum likelihood; Leverage effects; Student’s t distribution;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C13 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Estimation: General
    • C15 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Statistical Simulation Methods: General
    • C18 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Methodolical Issues: General
    • C38 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Classification Methdos; Cluster Analysis; Principal Components; Factor Analysis
    • C46 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods: Special Topics - - - Specific Distributions

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