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Fractional cointegration in stochastic volatility models

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  • Gonçalves da Silva, Afonso
  • Robinson, Peter

Abstract

Efficient semiparametric and parametric estimates are developed for a spatial autoregressive model, containing nonstochastic explanatory variables and innovations suspected to be non-normal. The main stress is on the case of distribution of unknown, nonparametric, form, where series nonparametric estimates of the score function are employed in adaptive estimates of parameters of interest. These estimates are as efficient as ones based on a correct form, in particular they are more efficient than pseudo-Gaussian maximum likelihood estimates at non-Gaussian distributions. Two different adaptive estimates are considered. One entails a stringent condition on the spatial weight matrix, and is suitable only when observations have substantially many "neighbours". The other adaptive estimate relaxes this requirement, at the expense of alternative conditions and possible computational expense. A Monte Carlo study of finite sample performance is included.

Suggested Citation

  • Gonçalves da Silva, Afonso & Robinson, Peter, 2007. "Fractional cointegration in stochastic volatility models," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 4534, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
  • Handle: RePEc:ehl:lserod:4534
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    Cited by:

    1. de Truchis, Gilles & Keddad, Benjamin, 2016. "On the risk comovements between the crude oil market and U.S. dollar exchange rates," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 52(PA), pages 206-215.
    2. Marcel Aloy & Gilles Truchis, 2016. "Optimal Estimation Strategies for Bivariate Fractional Cointegration Systems and the Co-persistence Analysis of Stock Market Realized Volatilities," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 48(1), pages 83-104, June.
    3. Afonso Goncalves da Silva & Peter Robinson, 2008. "Finite Sample Performance in Cointegration Analysis of Nonlinear Time Series with Long Memory," Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 27(1-3), pages 268-297.
    4. Gilles de Truchis & Benjamin Keddad, 2013. "Analyzing Financial Integration in East Asia through Fractional Cointegration in Volatilities," Working Papers halshs-00862256, HAL.
    5. Gilles Truchis & Benjamin Keddad, 2016. "Long-Run Comovements in East Asian Stock Market Volatility," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 27(5), pages 969-986, November.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Fractional cointegration; stochastic volatility; narrow band least squares; semiparametric analysis.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes

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