Asger Lunde
Citations
Many of the citations below have been collected in an experimental project, CitEc, where a more detailed citation analysis can be found. These are citations from works listed in RePEc that could be analyzed mechanically. So far, only a minority of all works could be analyzed. See under "Corrections" how you can help improve the citation analysis.Wikipedia or ReplicationWiki mentions
(Only mentions on Wikipedia that link back to a page on a RePEc service)- Asger Lunde & Peter R. Hansen, 2005.
"A forecast comparison of volatility models: does anything beat a GARCH(1,1)?,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 20(7), pages 873-889.
- Asger Lunde & Peter Reinhard Hansen, 2001. "A Forecast Comparison of Volatility Models: Does Anything Beat a GARCH(1,1)?," Working Papers 2001-04, Brown University, Department of Economics.
Mentioned in:
Working papers
- Robert F. Engle & Martin Klint Hansen & Asger Lunde, 2012.
"And Now, The Rest of the News: Volatility and Firm Specific News Arrival,"
CREATES Research Papers
2012-56, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
Cited by:
- James J. Forest, 2025. "The Effect of Macroeconomic Announcements on U.S. Treasury Markets: An Autometric General-to-Specific Analysis of the Greenspan Era," Econometrics, MDPI, vol. 13(3), pages 1-31, June.
- Tom Marty & Bruce Vanstone & Tobias Hahn, 2020. "News media analytics in finance: a survey," Accounting and Finance, Accounting and Finance Association of Australia and New Zealand, vol. 60(2), pages 1385-1434, June.
- Ahmad, Khurshid & Han, JingGuang & Hutson, Elaine & Kearney, Colm & Liu, Sha, 2016.
"Media-expressed negative tone and firm-level stock returns,"
Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 37(C), pages 152-172.
- Khurshid Ahmad & JingGuang Han & Elaine Hutson & Colm Kearney & Sha Liu, 2016. "Media-expressed negative tone and firm-level stock returns," Open Access publications 10197/8208, Research Repository, University College Dublin.
- Prajwal Eachempati & Praveen Ranjan Srivastava, 2021. "Accounting for unadjusted news sentiment for asset pricing," Qualitative Research in Financial Markets, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 13(3), pages 383-422, May.
- Katherine B. Ensor & Yu Han & Barbara Ostdiek & Stuart M. Turnbull, 2020. "Dynamic jump intensities and news arrival in oil futures markets," Journal of Asset Management, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 21(4), pages 292-325, July.
- Peter R. Hansen & Asger Lunde & James M. Nason, 2010.
"The Model Confidence Set,"
CREATES Research Papers
2010-76, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
- Peter R. Hansen & Asger Lunde & James M. Nason, 2011. "The Model Confidence Set," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 79(2), pages 453-497, March.
Cited by:
- Fantazzini, Dean, 2022.
"Crypto Coins and Credit Risk: Modelling and Forecasting their Probability of Death,"
MPRA Paper
113744, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Dean Fantazzini, 2022. "Crypto-Coins and Credit Risk: Modelling and Forecasting Their Probability of Death," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 15(7), pages 1-34, July.
- Han, Chulwoo & Park, Frank C., 2022. "A geometric framework for covariance dynamics," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 134(C).
- Robert Lehmann, 2016. "Economic Growth and Business Cycle Forecasting at the Regional Level," ifo Beiträge zur Wirtschaftsforschung, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, number 65, October.
- Fearghal Kearney & Han Lin Shang & Lisa Sheenan, 2019.
"Implied volatility surface predictability: the case of commodity markets,"
Papers
1909.11009, arXiv.org.
- Kearney, Fearghal & Shang, Han Lin & Sheenan, Lisa, 2019. "Implied volatility surface predictability: The case of commodity markets," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 108(C).
- Li, Yan & Liang, Chao & Ma, Feng & Wang, Jiqian, 2020. "The role of the IDEMV in predicting European stock market volatility during the COVID-19 pandemic," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 36(C).
- Bauwens, Luc & Xu, Yongdeng, 2023.
"DCC- and DECO-HEAVY: Multivariate GARCH models based on realized variances and correlations,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 39(2), pages 938-955.
- Bauwens, Luc & Xu, Yongdeng, 2025. "DCC- and DECO-HEAVY: Multivariate GARCH models based on realized variances and correlations," LIDAM Reprints CORE 3345, Université catholique de Louvain, Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE).
- Bauwens, Luc & Xu, Yongdeng, 2019. "DCC and DECO-HEAVY: a multivariate GARCH model based on realized variances and correlations," Cardiff Economics Working Papers E2019/5, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section, revised Aug 2021.
- Fantazzini, Dean, 2024.
"Adaptive Conformal Inference for computing Market Risk Measures: an Analysis with Four Thousands Crypto-Assets,"
MPRA Paper
121214, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Dean Fantazzini, 2024. "Adaptive Conformal Inference for Computing Market Risk Measures: An Analysis with Four Thousand Crypto-Assets," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 17(6), pages 1-44, June.
- Chao Liang & Yin Liao & Feng Ma & Bo Zhu, 2022. "United States Oil Fund volatility prediction: the roles of leverage effect and jumps," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 62(5), pages 2239-2262, May.
- Hasanov, Akram Shavkatovich & Burkhanov, Aktam Usmanovich & Usmonov, Bunyod & Khajimuratov, Nizomjon Shukurullaevich & Khurramova, Madina Mansur qizi, 2024. "The role of sudden variance shifts in predicting volatility in bioenergy crop markets under structural breaks," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 293(C).
- Artur Nagapetyan, 2019. "Precondition stock and stock indices volatility modeling based on market diversification potential: Evidence from Russian market," Applied Econometrics, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA), vol. 56, pages 45-61.
- Pinto, Jeronymo Marcondes & Marçal, Emerson Fernandes, 2019. "Cross-validation based forecasting method: a machine learning approach," Textos para discussão 498, FGV EESP - Escola de Economia de São Paulo, Fundação Getulio Vargas (Brazil).
- Nowotarski, Jakub & Weron, Rafał, 2018.
"Recent advances in electricity price forecasting: A review of probabilistic forecasting,"
Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 81(P1), pages 1548-1568.
- Jakub Nowotarski & Rafal Weron, 2016. "Recent advances in electricity price forecasting: A review of probabilistic forecasting," HSC Research Reports HSC/16/07, Hugo Steinhaus Center, Wroclaw University of Science and Technology.
- Aknouche, Abdelhakim & Francq, Christian, 2023.
"Two-stage weighted least squares estimator of the conditional mean of observation-driven time series models,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 237(2).
- Aknouche, Abdelhakim & Francq, Christian, 2019. "Two-stage weighted least squares estimator of the conditional mean of observation-driven time series models," MPRA Paper 97382, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Abdelhakim Aknouche & Christian Francq, 2023. "Two-stage weighted least squares estimator of the conditional mean of observation-driven time series models," Post-Print hal-05417229, HAL.
- Bauwens, Luc & Chevillon, Guillaume & Laurent, Sébastien, 2023.
"We modeled long memory with just one lag!,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 236(1).
- Bauwens, Luc & Chevillon, Guillaume & Laurent, Sébastien, 2022. "We modeled long memory with just one lag!," LIDAM Discussion Papers CORE 2022016, Université catholique de Louvain, Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE).
- Luc Bauwens & Guillaume Chevillon & Sébastien Laurent, 2023. "We modeled long memory with just one lag!," Post-Print hal-04185755, HAL.
- Bauwens, Luc & Chevillon, Guillaume & Laurent, Sébastien, 2023. "We modeled long memory with just one lag!," LIDAM Reprints CORE 3234, Université catholique de Louvain, Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE).
- Magomedov, Said & Fantazzini, Dean, 2025.
"Modeling and Forecasting the Probability of Crypto-Exchange Closures: A Forecast Combination Approach,"
MPRA Paper
123416, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Said Magomedov & Dean Fantazzini, 2025. "Modeling and Forecasting the Probability of Crypto-Exchange Closures: A Forecast Combination Approach," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 18(2), pages 1-20, January.
- Rehim Kılıç, 2025. "Linear and nonlinear econometric models against machine learning models: realized volatility prediction," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2025-061, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Małgorzata Doman & Ryszard Doman, 2013. "Dynamic linkages between stock markets: the effects of crises and globalization," Portuguese Economic Journal, Springer;Instituto Superior de Economia e Gestao, vol. 12(2), pages 87-112, August.
- Andrea Bucci & Michele Palma & Chao Zhang, 2024. "Geometric Deep Learning for Realized Covariance Matrix Forecasting," Papers 2412.09517, arXiv.org.
- Brix, Anne Floor & Lunde, Asger & Wei, Wei, 2018. "A generalized Schwartz model for energy spot prices — Estimation using a particle MCMC method," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 72(C), pages 560-582.
- Michael Pfarrhofer, 2024.
"Forecasts with Bayesian vector autoregressions under real time conditions,"
Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 43(3), pages 771-801, April.
- Michael Pfarrhofer, 2020. "Forecasts with Bayesian vector autoregressions under real time conditions," Papers 2004.04984, arXiv.org.
- Kung, Ko-Lun & MacMinn, Richard D. & Kuo, Weiyu & Tsai, Chenghsien Jason, 2022. "Multi-population mortality modeling: When the data is too much and not enough," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 103(C), pages 41-55.
- Fantazzini, Dean, 2025.
"Detecting Stablecoin Failure with Simple Thresholds and Panel Binary Models: The Pivotal Role of Lagged Market Capitalization and Volatility,"
MPRA Paper
126906, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Dean Fantazzini, 2025. "Detecting Stablecoin Failure with Simple Thresholds and Panel Binary Models: The Pivotal Role of Lagged Market Capitalization and Volatility," Forecasting, MDPI, vol. 7(4), pages 1-47, November.
- Li, Dongxin & Zhang, Li & Li, Lihong, 2023. "Forecasting stock volatility with economic policy uncertainty: A smooth transition GARCH-MIDAS model," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 88(C).
- F. Blasques & Christian Francq & Sébastien Laurent, 2024.
"Autoregressive conditional betas,"
Post-Print
hal-04676069, HAL.
- F. Blasques & Christian Francq & Sébastien Laurent, 2024. "Autoregressive conditional betas," Post-Print hal-05417169, HAL.
- Blasques, F. & Francq, Christian & Laurent, Sébastien, 2024. "Autoregressive conditional betas," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 238(2).
- Li, Li & Li, Han & Panagiotelis, Anastasios, 2025. "Boosting domain-specific models with shrinkage: An application in mortality forecasting," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 41(1), pages 191-207.
- Valentina Corradi & Norman Swanson, 2013. "A Survey of Recent Advances in Forecast Accuracy Comparison Testing, with an Extension to Stochastic Dominance," Departmental Working Papers 201309, Rutgers University, Department of Economics.
- Paolo Gambetti & Francesco Roccazzella & Frédéric Vrins, 2022.
"Meta-Learning Approaches for Recovery Rate Prediction,"
Risks, MDPI, vol. 10(6), pages 1-29, June.
- Gambetti, Paolo & Roccazzella, Francesco & Vrins, Frédéric, 2020. "Meta-learning approaches for recovery rate prediction," LIDAM Discussion Papers LFIN 2020007, Université catholique de Louvain, Louvain Finance (LFIN).
- Gambetti, Paolo & Roccazzella, Francesco & Vrins, Frédéric, 2022. "Meta-Learning Approaches for Recovery Rate Prediction," LIDAM Reprints LFIN 2022011, Université catholique de Louvain, Louvain Finance (LFIN).
- Catania, Leopoldo & Proietti, Tommaso, 2020.
"Forecasting volatility with time-varying leverage and volatility of volatility effects,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 36(4), pages 1301-1317.
- Leopoldo Catania & Tommaso Proietti, 2019. "Forecasting Volatility with Time-Varying Leverage and Volatility of Volatility Effects," CEIS Research Paper 450, Tor Vergata University, CEIS, revised 06 Feb 2019.
- Niko Hauzenberger & Florian Huber & Luca Onorante, 2021.
"Combining shrinkage and sparsity in conjugate vector autoregressive models,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 36(3), pages 304-327, April.
- Niko Hauzenberger & Florian Huber & Luca Onorante, 2020. "Combining Shrinkage and Sparsity in Conjugate Vector Autoregressive Models," Papers 2002.08760, arXiv.org, revised Aug 2020.
- Evangelos Salachas & Georgios P. Kouretas & Nikiforos T. Laopodis, 2024. "The term structure of interest rates and economic activity: Evidence from the COVID‐19 pandemic," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 43(4), pages 1018-1041, July.
- Claude Diebolt & Mohamed Chikhi, 2021.
"Testing The Weak Form Efficiency Of The French Etf Market With Lstar-Anlstgarch Approach Using A Semiparametric Estimation,"
Working Papers
09-21, Association Française de Cliométrie (AFC).
- Mohamed CHIKHI & Claude DIEBOLT, 2021. "Testing The Weak Form Efficiency Of The French Etf Market With Lstar-Anlstgarch Approach Using A Semiparametric Estimation," Working Papers of BETA 2021-36, Bureau d'Economie Théorique et Appliquée, UDS, Strasbourg.
- Mohamed Chikhi & Claude Diebolt, 2022. "Testing the weak form efficiency of the French ETF market with the LSTAR-ANLSTGARCH approach using a semiparametric estimation," Post-Print hal-03778331, HAL.
- Mohamed CHIKHI & Claude DIEBOLT, 2022. "Testing the weak form efficiency of the French ETF market with the LSTAR-ANLSTGARCH approach using a semiparametric estimation," Eastern Journal of European Studies, Centre for European Studies, Alexandru Ioan Cuza University, vol. 13, pages 228-253, June.
- Massimiliano Caporin & Gabriel G. Velo, 2011. "Modeling and forecasting realized range volatility," "Marco Fanno" Working Papers 0128, Dipartimento di Scienze Economiche "Marco Fanno".
- Eleftheria Kafousaki & Stavros Degiannakis, 2023.
"Forecasting VIX: the illusion of forecast evaluation criteria,"
Economics and Business Letters, Oviedo University Press, vol. 12(3), pages 231-240.
- Stavros Degiannakis & Eleftheria Kafousaki, 2023. "Forecasting VIX: The illusion of forecast evaluation criteria," Working Papers 322, Bank of Greece.
- Emerson Fernandes Marçal & Eli Hadad Junior, 2016. "Is It Possible to Beat the Random Walk Model in Exchange Rate Forecasting? More Evidence for Brazilian Case," Brazilian Review of Finance, Brazilian Society of Finance, vol. 14(1), pages 65-88.
- Barunik, Jozef & Krehlik, Tomas & Vacha, Lukas, 2016.
"Modeling and forecasting exchange rate volatility in time-frequency domain,"
European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 251(1), pages 329-340.
- Barunik, Jozef & Krehlik, Tomas & Vacha, Lukas, 2016. "Modeling and forecasting exchange rate volatility in time-frequency domain," FinMaP-Working Papers 55, Collaborative EU Project FinMaP - Financial Distortions and Macroeconomic Performance: Expectations, Constraints and Interaction of Agents.
- Jozef Barunik & Tomas Krehlik & Lukas Vacha, 2012. "Modeling and forecasting exchange rate volatility in time-frequency domain," Papers 1204.1452, arXiv.org, revised Feb 2015.
- Woraphon Yamaka & Paravee Maneejuk, 2020. "Analyzing the Causality and Dependence between Gold Shocks and Asian Emerging Stock Markets: A Smooth Transition Copula Approach," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 8(1), pages 1-27, January.
- Guillaume Coqueret, 2023. "Forking paths in financial economics," Papers 2401.08606, arXiv.org.
- Xu, Zhiwei & Gan, Shiqi & Hua, Xia & Xiong, Yujie, 2024. "Can the sentiment of the official media predict the return volatility of the Chinese crude oil futures?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 140(C).
- Liu, Jing & Ma, Feng & Zhang, Yaojie, 2019. "Forecasting the Chinese stock volatility across global stock markets," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 525(C), pages 466-477.
- Horváth, Lajos & Liu, Zhenya & Rice, Gregory & Wang, Shixuan, 2020.
"A functional time series analysis of forward curves derived from commodity futures,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 36(2), pages 646-665.
- Lajos Horváth & Zhenya Liu & Gregory Rice & Shixuan Wang, 2020. "A functional time series analysis of forward curves derived from commodity futures," Post-Print hal-03513421, HAL.
- Ding, Jing & Jiang, Lei & Liu, Xiaohui & Peng, Liang, 2023. "Nonparametric tests for market timing ability using daily mutual fund returns," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 150(C).
- Giorgio Canarella & Luis A. Gil-Alana & Rangan Gupta & Stephen M. Miller, 2020. "Modeling US historical time-series prices and inflation using alternative long-memory approaches," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 58(4), pages 1491-1511, April.
- Billé, Anna Gloria & Gianfreda, Angelica & Del Grosso, Filippo & Ravazzolo, Francesco, 2023.
"Forecasting electricity prices with expert, linear, and nonlinear models,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 39(2), pages 570-586.
- Gongyue Jiang & Gaoxiu Qiao & Lu Wang & Feng Ma, 2024. "Hybrid forecasting of crude oil volatility index: The cross‐market effects of stock market jumps," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 43(6), pages 2378-2398, September.
- Xu, Jiawen & Perron, Pierre, 2014.
"Forecasting return volatility: Level shifts with varying jump probability and mean reversion,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 30(3), pages 449-463.
- Jiawen Xu & Pierre Perron, 2013. "Forecasting Return Volatility: Level Shifts with Varying Jump Probability and Mean Reversion," Boston University - Department of Economics - Working Papers Series 2013-021, Boston University - Department of Economics.
- Liu, Wei & Garrett, Ian, 2023. "Regime-dependent effects of macroeconomic uncertainty on realized volatility in the U.S. stock market," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 128(C).
- Vacca, Gianmarco & Zoia, Maria Grazia & Bagnato, Luca, 2022. "Forecasting in GARCH models with polynomially modified innovations," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 38(1), pages 117-141.
- Li, Jiarui & Irwin, Scott H. & Hubbs, Todd, 2023. "Does Complexity Pay? Forecasting Corn and Soybean Yields Using Crop Condition Ratings," 2023 Conference, April 24-25, 2023, St. Louis, Missouri 379017, NCR-134/ NCCC-134 Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management.
- Sevcan Uzun & Ahmet Sensoy & Duc Khuong Nguyen, 2023. "Jump forecasting in foreign exchange markets: A high‐frequency analysis," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(3), pages 578-624, April.
- Ahmed, Shamim & Bu, Ziwen & Symeonidis, Lazaros & Tsvetanov, Daniel, 2023. "Which factor model? A systematic return covariation perspective," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 136(C).
- Goulet Coulombe, Philippe & Leroux, Maxime & Stevanovic, Dalibor & Surprenant, Stéphane, 2021.
"Macroeconomic data transformations matter,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 37(4), pages 1338-1354.
- Philippe Goulet Coulombe & Maxime Leroux & Dalibor Stevanovic & St'ephane Surprenant, 2020. "Macroeconomic Data Transformations Matter," Papers 2008.01714, arXiv.org, revised Mar 2021.
- Philippe Goulet Coulombe & Maxime Leroux & Dalibor Stevanovic & Stéphane Surprenant, 2020. "Macroeconomic Data Transformations Matter," CIRANO Working Papers 2020s-42, CIRANO.
- Philippe Goulet Coulombe & Maxime Leroux & Dalibor Stevanovic & Stephane Surprenant, 2020. "Macroeconomic Data Transformations Matter," Working Papers 20-17, Chair in macroeconomics and forecasting, University of Quebec in Montreal's School of Management, revised Mar 2021.
- Chuliá, Helena & Garrón, Ignacio & Uribe, Jorge M., 2024.
"Daily growth at risk: Financial or real drivers? The answer is not always the same,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 40(2), pages 762-776.
- Helena Chuliá & Ignacio Garrón & Jorge M. Uribe, 2022. ""Daily Growth at Risk: financial or real drivers? The answer is not always the same"," IREA Working Papers 202208, University of Barcelona, Research Institute of Applied Economics, revised Jun 2022.
- Ana Arencibia Pareja & Ana Gomez-Loscos & Mercedes de Luis López & Gabriel Perez-Quiros, 2020. "A Short Term Forecasting Model for the Spanish GDP and itsDemand Components," Revista Economía, Fondo Editorial - Pontificia Universidad Católica del Perú, vol. 43(85), pages 1-30.
- Xingyu Dai & Dongna Zhang & Chi Keung Marco Lau & Qunwei Wang, 2023. "Multiobjective portfolio optimization: Forecasting and evaluation under investment horizon heterogeneity," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(8), pages 2167-2196, December.
- Philippe Goulet Coulombe & Maxime Leroux & Dalibor Stevanovic & Stephane Surprenant, 2020.
"How is Machine Learning Useful for Macroeconomic Forecasting?,"
Working Papers
20-01, Chair in macroeconomics and forecasting, University of Quebec in Montreal's School of Management, revised Aug 2020.
- Philippe Goulet Coulombe & Maxime Leroux & Dalibor Stevanovic & Stéphane Surprenant, 2019. "How is Machine Learning Useful for Macroeconomic Forecasting?," CIRANO Working Papers 2019s-22, CIRANO.
- Philippe Goulet Coulombe & Maxime Leroux & Dalibor Stevanovic & Stéphane Surprenant, 2022. "How is machine learning useful for macroeconomic forecasting?," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 37(5), pages 920-964, August.
- Philippe Goulet Coulombe & Maxime Leroux & Dalibor Stevanovic & St'ephane Surprenant, 2020. "How is Machine Learning Useful for Macroeconomic Forecasting?," Papers 2008.12477, arXiv.org.
- Yang Zhao & Charalampos Stasinakis & Georgios Sermpinis & Filipa Da Silva Fernandes, 2019. "Revisiting Fama–French factors' predictability with Bayesian modelling and copula‐based portfolio optimization," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 24(4), pages 1443-1463, October.
- Corbet, Shaen & Lucey, Brian & Urquhart, Andrew & Yarovaya, Larisa, 2019. "Cryptocurrencies as a financial asset: A systematic analysis," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 62(C), pages 182-199.
- Mikkel Bennedsen & Asger Lunde & Mikko S. Pakkanen, 2017. "Decoupling the short- and long-term behavior of stochastic volatility," CREATES Research Papers 2017-26, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
- Denisa Banulescu-Radu & Christophe Hurlin & Bertrand Candelon & Sébastien Laurent, 2016.
"Do We Need High Frequency Data to Forecast Variances?,"
Post-Print
hal-01448237, HAL.
- Denisa Banulescu-Radu & Christophe Hurlin & Bertrand Candelon & Sébastien Laurent, 2016. "Do We Need High Frequency Data to Forecast Variances?," Annals of Economics and Statistics, GENES, issue 123-124, pages 135-174.
- Antonio Naimoli & Giuseppe Storti, 2021. "Forecasting Volatility and Tail Risk in Electricity Markets," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 14(7), pages 1-17, June.
- Ferrari, Davide & Ravazzolo, Francesco & Vespignani, Joaquin, 2019.
"Forecasting energy commodity prices: a large global dataset sparse approach,"
Working Papers
2019-09, University of Tasmania, Tasmanian School of Business and Economics.
- Ferrari, Davide & Ravazzolo, Francesco & Vespignani, Joaquin, 2021. "Forecasting energy commodity prices: A large global dataset sparse approach," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 98(C).
- Davide Ferrari & Francesco Ravazzolo & Joaquin Vespignani, 2021. "Forecasting Energy Commodity Prices: A Large Global Dataset Sparse Approach," BEMPS - Bozen Economics & Management Paper Series BEMPS83, Faculty of Economics and Management at the Free University of Bozen.
- Davide Ferrari & Francesco Ravazzolo & Joaquin Vespignani, 2019. "Forecasting Energy Commodity Prices: A Large Global Dataset Sparse Approach," Working Papers No 11/2019, Centre for Applied Macro- and Petroleum economics (CAMP), BI Norwegian Business School.
- Davide Ferrari & Francesco Ravazzolo & Joaquin L. Vespignani, 2019. "Forecasting Energy Commodity Prices: A Large Global Dataset Sparse Approach," Globalization Institute Working Papers 376, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas.
- Davide Ferrari & Francesco Ravazzolo & Joaquin Vespignani, 2019. "Forecasting Energy Commodity Prices: A Large Global Dataset Sparse Approach," CAMA Working Papers 2019-90, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Becker, R. & Clements, A.E. & Doolan, M.B. & Hurn, A.S., 2015. "Selecting volatility forecasting models for portfolio allocation purposes," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 31(3), pages 849-861.
- Marcellino, Massimiliano & Kapetanios, George & Dendramis, Yiannis, 2020.
"A Similarity-based Approach for Macroeconomic Forecasting,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
14469, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Y. Dendramis & G. Kapetanios & M. Marcellino, 2020. "A similarity‐based approach for macroeconomic forecasting," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 183(3), pages 801-827, June.
- Kelly Trinh & Bo Zhang & Chenghan Hou, 2025. "Macroeconomic real‐time forecasts of univariate models with flexible error structures," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 44(1), pages 59-78, January.
- Lu Wang & Feng Ma & Guoshan Liu, 2020. "Forecasting stock volatility in the presence of extreme shocks: Short‐term and long‐term effects," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 39(5), pages 797-810, August.
- Niels Haldrup & Carsten P. T. Rosenskjold, 2019.
"A Parametric Factor Model of the Term Structure of Mortality,"
Econometrics, MDPI, vol. 7(1), pages 1-22, March.
- Niels Haldrup & Carsten P. T. Rosenskjold, 2018. "A Parametric Factor Model of the Term Structure of Mortality," CREATES Research Papers 2018-06, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
- Bauwens, Luc & Xu, Yongdeng, 2025.
"The contribution of realized variance–covariance models to the economic value of volatility timing,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 41(3), pages 1165-1183.
- Bauwens, Luc & Xu, Yongdeng, 2025. "The contribution of realized variance–covariance models to the economic value of volatility timing," LIDAM Reprints CORE 3348, Université catholique de Louvain, Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE).
- Zhao, Huirong & Luo, Na, 2024. "Climate uncertainty and green index volatility: Empirical insights from Chinese financial markets," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 60(C).
- Naimoli, Antonio & Storti, Giuseppe, 2019.
"Heterogeneous component multiplicative error models for forecasting trading volumes,"
MPRA Paper
93802, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Naimoli, Antonio & Storti, Giuseppe, 2019. "Heterogeneous component multiplicative error models for forecasting trading volumes," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 35(4), pages 1332-1355.
- Hassani, Hossein & Silva, Emmanuel Sirimal & Antonakakis, Nikolaos & Filis, George & Gupta, Rangan, 2017. "Forecasting accuracy evaluation of tourist arrivals," Annals of Tourism Research, Elsevier, vol. 63(C), pages 112-127.
- Minh Vo, 2025. "Measuring and Forecasting Stock Market Volatilities with High-Frequency Data," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 65(6), pages 3503-3544, June.
- Yang, Xiaoqi & Vagnani, Gianluca & Dong, Yan & Ji, Xu, 2024. "Short selling and firms’ long-term stock return volatility: Evidence from Chinese concept stocks in Hong Kong," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 70(C).
- Wang, Jiqian & Lu, Xinjie & He, Feng & Ma, Feng, 2020. "Which popular predictor is more useful to forecast international stock markets during the coronavirus pandemic: VIX vs EPU?," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 72(C).
- Herrera, R. & Clements, A.E., 2018.
"Point process models for extreme returns: Harnessing implied volatility,"
Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 88(C), pages 161-175.
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"Estimation of long memory in integrated variance,"
DEM Working Papers Series
017, University of Pavia, Department of Economics and Management.
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"Exploiting the Errors: A Simple Approach for Improved Volatility Forecasting,"
CREATES Research Papers
2015-14, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
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"Combining Long Memory and Level Shifts in Modeling and Forecasting the Volatility of Asset Returns,"
Boston University - Department of Economics - Working Papers Series
wp2015-015, Boston University - Department of Economics.
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- Rasmus T. Varneskov & Pierre Perron, 2017. "Combining Long Memory and Level Shifts in Modeling and Forecasting the Volatility of Asset Returns," Boston University - Department of Economics - Working Papers Series WP2017-006, Boston University - Department of Economics.
- Rasmus Tangsgaard Varneskov & Pierre Perron, 2011. "Combining Long Memory and Level Shifts in Modeling and Forecasting the Volatility of Asset Returns," CREATES Research Papers 2011-26, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
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- Diebold, Francis X. & Yilmaz, Kamil, 2015. "Financial and Macroeconomic Connectedness: A Network Approach to Measurement and Monitoring," OUP Catalogue, Oxford University Press, number 9780199338306.
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"The effect of additive outliers on a fractional unit root test,"
LIDAM Discussion Papers ISBA
2015027, Université catholique de Louvain, Institute of Statistics, Biostatistics and Actuarial Sciences (ISBA).
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- Christian M. HAFNER & Arie PREMINGER, 2016. "The Effect of Additive Outliers on Fractional Unit Root Tests," LIDAM Reprints CORE 2762, Université catholique de Louvain, Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE).
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"A ReMeDI for Microstructure Noise,"
Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 90(1), pages 367-389, January.
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"A GMM approach to estimate the roughness of stochastic volatility,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 235(2), pages 745-778.
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"Linear programming-based estimators in nonnegative autoregression,"
Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 61(S2), pages 225-234.
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"Inference from high-frequency data: A subsampling approach,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 197(2), pages 245-272.
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- Kim Christensen & Mark Podolskij & Nopporn Thamrongrat & Bezirgen Veliyev, 2026. "Inference from high-frequency data: A subsampling approach," Papers 2601.16668, arXiv.org.
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"Realized Beta GARCH: A Multivariate GARCH Model with Realized Measures of Volatility and CoVolatility,"
CREATES Research Papers
2010-74, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
- Peter Reinhard Hansen & Asger Lunde & Valeri Voev, 2012. "Realized Beta GARCH: Multivariate GARCH Model with Realized Measures of Volatility and CoVolatility," Economics Working Papers ECO2012/28, European University Institute.
- Peter Reinhard Hansen & Asger Lunde & Valeri Voev, 2012. "Realized Beta GARCH: A Multivariate GARCH Model with Realized Measures of Volatility and Covolatility," Global COE Hi-Stat Discussion Paper Series gd12-269, Institute of Economic Research, Hitotsubashi University.
Cited by:
- Diaa Noureldin & Neil Shephard & Kevin Sheppard, 2011.
"Multivariate High-Frequency-Based Volatility (HEAVY) Models,"
Economics Papers
2011-W01, Economics Group, Nuffield College, University of Oxford.
- Diaa Noureldin & Neil Shephard & Kevin Sheppard, 2011. "Multivariate High-Frequency-Based Volatility (HEAVY) Models," Economics Series Working Papers 533, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.
- Diaa Noureldin & Neil Shephard & Kevin Sheppard, 2012. "Multivariate high‐frequency‐based volatility (HEAVY) models," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(6), pages 907-933, September.
- Xin Jin & Jia Liu & Qiao Yang, 2021. "Does the Choice of Realized Covariance Measures Empirically Matter? A Bayesian Density Prediction Approach," Econometrics, MDPI, vol. 9(4), pages 1-22, December.
- Hautsch, Nikolaus & Kyj, Lada. M. & Malec, Peter, 2013.
"Do high-frequency data improve high-dimensional portfolio allocations?,"
SFB 649 Discussion Papers
2013-014, Humboldt University Berlin, Collaborative Research Center 649: Economic Risk.
- Nikolaus Hautsch & Lada M. Kyj & Peter Malec, 2015. "Do High‐Frequency Data Improve High‐Dimensional Portfolio Allocations?," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 30(2), pages 263-290, March.
- Roxana Halbleib & Valeri Voev, 2012.
"Forecasting Covariance Matrices: A Mixed Frequency Approach,"
Working Paper Series of the Department of Economics, University of Konstanz
2012-30, Department of Economics, University of Konstanz.
- Roxana Halbleib & Valeri Voev, 2011. "Forecasting Covariance Matrices: A Mixed Frequency Approach," CREATES Research Papers 2011-03, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
- Roxana Halbleib & Valerie Voev, 2011. "Forecasting Covariance Matrices: A Mixed Frequency Approach," Working Papers ECARES ECARES 2011-002, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
- Kevin Sheppard & Wen Xu, 2014. "Factor High-Frequency Based Volatility (HEAVY) Models," Economics Series Working Papers 710, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.
- Hautsch, Nikolaus & Kyj, Lada M. & Malec, Peter, 2011.
"The merit of high-frequency data in portfolio allocation,"
SFB 649 Discussion Papers
2011-059, Humboldt University Berlin, Collaborative Research Center 649: Economic Risk.
- Hautsch, Nikolaus & Kyj, Lada M. & Malec, Peter, 2011. "The merit of high-frequency data in portfolio allocation," CFS Working Paper Series 2011/24, Center for Financial Studies (CFS).
- Manabu Asai, 2013. "Heterogeneous Asymmetric Dynamic Conditional Correlation Model with Stock Return and Range," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 32(5), pages 469-480, August.
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"Financial Risk Measurement for Financial Risk Management,"
Handbook of the Economics of Finance, in: G.M. Constantinides & M. Harris & R. M. Stulz (ed.), Handbook of the Economics of Finance, volume 2, chapter 0, pages 1127-1220,
Elsevier.
- Torben G. Andersen & Tim Bollerslev & Peter F. Christoffersen & Francis X. Diebold, 2011. "Financial Risk Measurement for Financial Risk Management," CREATES Research Papers 2011-37, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
- Torben G. Andersen & Tim Bollerslev & Peter F. Christoffersen & Francis X. Diebold, 2011. "Financial Risk Measurement for Financial Risk Management," PIER Working Paper Archive 11-037, Penn Institute for Economic Research, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania.
- Torben G. Andersen & Tim Bollerslev & Peter F. Christoffersen & Francis X. Diebold, 2012. "Financial Risk Measurement for Financial Risk Management," NBER Working Papers 18084, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Peter Christoffersen & Mathieu Fournier & Kris Jacobs, 2013.
"The Factor Structure in Equity Options,"
CREATES Research Papers
2013-47, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
- Peter Christoffersen & Mathieu Fournier & Kris Jacobs, 2018. "The Factor Structure in Equity Options," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 31(2), pages 595-637.
- Asger Lunde & Kasper V. Olesen, 2014. "Modeling and Forecasting the Distribution of Energy Forward Returns - Evidence from the Nordic Power Exchange," CREATES Research Papers 2013-19, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
- Fengler, Matthias R. & Okhrin, Ostap, 2012.
"Realized copula,"
SFB 649 Discussion Papers
2012-034, Humboldt University Berlin, Collaborative Research Center 649: Economic Risk.
- Fengler, Matthias & Okhrin, Ostap, 2012. "Realized Copula," Economics Working Paper Series 1214, University of St. Gallen, School of Economics and Political Science.
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- Ilze KALNINA, 2015.
"Inference for Nonparametric High-Frequency Estimators with an Application to Time Variation in Betas,"
Cahiers de recherche
13-2015, Centre interuniversitaire de recherche en économie quantitative, CIREQ.
- KALNINA, Ilze, 2015. "Inference for nonparametric high-frequency estimators with an application to time variation in betas," Cahiers de recherche 2015-08, Universite de Montreal, Departement de sciences economiques.
- Ilze Kalnina, 2023. "Inference for Nonparametric High-Frequency Estimators with an Application to Time Variation in Betas," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 41(2), pages 538-549, April.
- Bannouh, K. & Martens, M.P.E. & Oomen, R.C.A. & van Dijk, D.J.C., 2012. "Realized mixed-frequency factor models for vast dimensional covariance estimation," ERIM Report Series Research in Management ERS-2012-017-F&A, Erasmus Research Institute of Management (ERIM), ERIM is the joint research institute of the Rotterdam School of Management, Erasmus University and the Erasmus School of Economics (ESE) at Erasmus University Rotterdam.
- Anke D. Leroux & Vance L. Martin & Kathryn A. St. John, 2022. "Modeling time varying risk of natural resource assets: Implications of climate change," Quantitative Economics, Econometric Society, vol. 13(1), pages 225-257, January.
- Ole E. Barndorff-Nielsen & Peter Reinhard Hansen & Asger Lunde & Neil Shephard, 2009.
"Multivariate Realised Kernels: Consistent Positive Semi-Definite Estimators of the Covariation of Equity Prices with Noise and Non-Synchronous Trading,"
Global COE Hi-Stat Discussion Paper Series
gd08-037, Institute of Economic Research, Hitotsubashi University.
- Barndorff-Nielsen, Ole E. & Hansen, Peter Reinhard & Lunde, Asger & Shephard, Neil, 2011. "Multivariate realised kernels: Consistent positive semi-definite estimators of the covariation of equity prices with noise and non-synchronous trading," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 162(2), pages 149-169, June.
- Neil Shephard & Ole E. Barndorff-Nielsen & Peter Reinhard Hansen, 2008. "Multivariate realised kernels: consistent positive semi-definite estimators of the covariation of equity prices with noise and non-synchronous trading," Economics Series Working Papers 397, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.
- Ole E. Barndorff-Nielsen & Peter Reinhard Hansen & Asger Lunde & Neil Shephard, 2008. "Multivariate realised kernels: consistent positive semi-definite estimators of the covariation of equity prices with noise and non-synchronous trading," OFRC Working Papers Series 2008fe29, Oxford Financial Research Centre.
- Ole E. Barndorff-Nielsen & Peter Reinhard Hansen & Asger Lunde & Neil Shephard, 2008. "Multivariate realised kernels: consistent positive semi-definite estimators of the covariation of equity prices with noise and non-synchronous trading," Economics Papers 2008-W10, Economics Group, Nuffield College, University of Oxford.
- Ole E. Barndorff-Nielsen & Peter Reinhard Hansen & Asger Lunde & Neil Shephard, 2011. "Multivariate realised kernels: Consistent positive semi-definite estimators of the covariation of equity prices with noise and non-synchronous trading," Post-Print hal-00815564, HAL.
- Ole E. Barndorff-Nielsen & Peter Reinhard Hansen & Asger Lunde & Neil Shephard, 2008. "Multivariate realised kernels: consistent positive semi-definite estimators of the covariation of equity prices with noise and non-synchronous trading," CREATES Research Papers 2008-63, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
Cited by:
- Yuta Koike, 2013. "Limit Theorems for the Pre-averaged Hayashi-Yoshida Estimator with Random Sampling," Global COE Hi-Stat Discussion Paper Series gd12-276, Institute of Economic Research, Hitotsubashi University.
- Degiannakis, Stavros & Floros, Christos, 2014.
"Intra-Day Realized Volatility for European and USA Stock Indices,"
MPRA Paper
64940, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised Jan 2015.
- Degiannakis, Stavros & Floros, Christos, 2016. "Intra-day realized volatility for European and USA stock indices," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 29(C), pages 24-41.
- Asai Manabu & So Mike K.P., 2015. "Long Memory and Asymmetry for Matrix-Exponential Dynamic Correlation Processes," Journal of Time Series Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 7(1), pages 69-94, January.
- Christensen, Kim & Podolskij, Mark & Vetter, Mathias, 2013.
"On covariation estimation for multivariate continuous Itô semimartingales with noise in non-synchronous observation schemes,"
Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 120(C), pages 59-84.
- Kim Christensen & Mark Podolskij & Mathias Vetter, 2011. "On covariation estimation for multivariate continuous Itô semimartingales with noise in non-synchronous observation schemes," CREATES Research Papers 2011-53, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
- Manabu Asai & Rangan Gupta & Michael McAleer, 2019.
"The Impact of Jumps and Leverage in Forecasting the Co-Volatility of Oil and Gold Futures,"
Working Papers
201925, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Asai, M. & Gupta, R. & McAleer, M.J., 2019. "The Impact of Jumps and Leverage in Forecasting the Co-Volatility of Oil and Gold Futures," Econometric Institute Research Papers EI2019-16, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Erasmus School of Economics (ESE), Econometric Institute.
- Manabu Asai & Rangan Gupta & Michael McAleer, 2019. "The Impact of jumps and leverage in forecasting the co-volatility of oil and gold futures," Documentos de Trabajo del ICAE 2019-12, Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales, Instituto Complutense de Análisis Económico.
- Manabu Asai & Rangan Gupta & Michael McAleer, 2019. "The Impact of Jumps and Leverage in Forecasting the Co-Volatility of Oil and Gold Futures," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(17), pages 1-17, September.
- Hautsch, Nikolaus & Voigt, Stefan, 2017. "Large-Scale Portfolio Allocation Under Transaction Costs and Model Uncertainty: Adaptive Mixing of High- and Low-Frequency Information," VfS Annual Conference 2017 (Vienna): Alternative Structures for Money and Banking 168222, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
- Santos, André A.P. & Nogales, Francisco J. & Ruiz, Esther & Dijk, Dick Van, 2012. "Optimal portfolios with minimum capital requirements," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 36(7), pages 1928-1942.
- Manabu Asai & Michael McAleer, 2013.
"Leverage and Feedback Effects on Multifactor Wishart Stochastic Volatility for Option Pricing,"
KIER Working Papers
840, Kyoto University, Institute of Economic Research.
- Manabu Asai & Michael McAleer, 2013. "Leverage and Feedback Effects on Multifactor Wishart Stochastic Volatility for Option Pricing," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 13-003/III, Tinbergen Institute.
- Manabu Asai & Michael McAleer, 2013. "Leverage and Feedback E ects on Multifactor Wishart Stochastic Volatility for Option Pricing," Documentos de Trabajo del ICAE 2013-02, Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales, Instituto Complutense de Análisis Económico.
- Asai, Manabu & McAleer, Michael, 2015. "Leverage and feedback effects on multifactor Wishart stochastic volatility for option pricing," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 187(2), pages 436-446.
- Chaker, Selma, 2019. "The signal and the noise volatilities," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 50(C), pages 79-105.
- Silja Kinnebrock & Mark Podolskij, 2008.
"An Econometric Analysis of Modulated Realised Covariance, Regression and Correlation in Noisy Diffusion Models,"
CREATES Research Papers
2008-23, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
- Silja Kinnebrock & Mark Podolskij, 2008. "An Econometric Analysis of Modulated Realised Covariance, Regression and Correlation in Noisy Diffusion Models," OFRC Working Papers Series 2008fe25, Oxford Financial Research Centre.
- Koike, Yuta, 2014. "Limit theorems for the pre-averaged Hayashi–Yoshida estimator with random sampling," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 124(8), pages 2699-2753.
- Altmeyer, Randolf & Bibinger, Markus, 2014. "Functional stable limit theorems for efficient spectral covolatility estimators," SFB 649 Discussion Papers 2014-005, Humboldt University Berlin, Collaborative Research Center 649: Economic Risk.
- Peter Reinhard Hansen & Chen Tong, 2024.
"Convolution-t Distributions,"
Papers
2404.00864, arXiv.org.
- Hansen, Peter Reinhard & Tong, Chen, 2026. "Convolution-t distributions," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 254(PB).
- Jozef Baruník & Evžen Kocenda & Lukáš Vácha & Evžen Kočenda, 2015.
"Asymmetric Connectedness on the U.S. Stock Market: Bad and Good Volatility Spillover,"
CESifo Working Paper Series
5305, CESifo.
- Baruník, Jozef & Kočenda, Evžen & Vácha, Lukáš, 2016. "Asymmetric connectedness on the U.S. stock market: Bad and good volatility spillovers," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 27(C), pages 55-78.
- Barunik, Jozef & Kočenda, Evžen & Vácha, Lukáš, 2014. "Asymmetric connectedness of stocks: How does bad and good volatility spill over the U.S. stock market?," FinMaP-Working Papers 13, Collaborative EU Project FinMaP - Financial Distortions and Macroeconomic Performance: Expectations, Constraints and Interaction of Agents.
- Barunik, Jozef & Vacha, Lukas, 2018.
"Do co-jumps impact correlations in currency markets?,"
Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 37(C), pages 97-119.
- Jozef Barunik & Lukas Vacha, 2016. "Do co-jumps impact correlations in currency markets?," Papers 1602.05489, arXiv.org, revised Oct 2017.
- Altmeyer, Randolf & Bibinger, Markus, 2015. "Functional stable limit theorems for quasi-efficient spectral covolatility estimators," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 125(12), pages 4556-4600.
- Liu, Jing & Ma, Feng & Zhang, Yaojie, 2019. "Forecasting the Chinese stock volatility across global stock markets," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 525(C), pages 466-477.
- Rasmus Tangsgaard Varneskov, 2011. "Flat-Top Realized Kernel Estimation of Quadratic Covariation with Non-Synchronous and Noisy Asset Prices," CREATES Research Papers 2011-35, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
- Kim Christensen & Charlotte Christiansen & Anders M. Posselt, 2019.
"The Economic Value of VIX ETPs,"
CREATES Research Papers
2019-14, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
- Christensen, Kim & Christiansen, Charlotte & Posselt, Anders M., 2020. "The economic value of VIX ETPs," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 121-138.
- Fabrizio Cipollini & Robert F. Engle & Giampiero M. Gallo, 2016.
"Copula--based Specification of vector MEMs,"
Econometrics Working Papers Archive
2016_04, Universita' degli Studi di Firenze, Dipartimento di Statistica, Informatica, Applicazioni "G. Parenti".
- Fabrizio Cipollini & Robert F. Engle & Giampiero M. Gallo, 2016. "Copula--based Specification of vector MEMs," Papers 1604.01338, arXiv.org.
- Bauwens, Luc & Xu, Yongdeng, 2025.
"The contribution of realized variance–covariance models to the economic value of volatility timing,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 41(3), pages 1165-1183.
- Bauwens, Luc & Xu, Yongdeng, 2025. "The contribution of realized variance–covariance models to the economic value of volatility timing," LIDAM Reprints CORE 3348, Université catholique de Louvain, Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE).
- Peter R. Hansen & Asger Lunde & Valeri Voev, 2010.
"Realized Beta GARCH: A Multivariate GARCH Model with Realized Measures of Volatility and CoVolatility,"
CREATES Research Papers
2010-74, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
- Peter Reinhard Hansen & Asger Lunde & Valeri Voev, 2012. "Realized Beta GARCH: Multivariate GARCH Model with Realized Measures of Volatility and CoVolatility," Economics Working Papers ECO2012/28, European University Institute.
- Peter Reinhard Hansen & Asger Lunde & Valeri Voev, 2012. "Realized Beta GARCH: A Multivariate GARCH Model with Realized Measures of Volatility and Covolatility," Global COE Hi-Stat Discussion Paper Series gd12-269, Institute of Economic Research, Hitotsubashi University.
- Cai, T. Tony & Hu, Jianchang & Li, Yingying & Zheng, Xinghua, 2020. "High-dimensional minimum variance portfolio estimation based on high-frequency data," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 214(2), pages 482-494.
- Maria Elvira Mancino & Simona Sanfelici, 2011.
"Estimation of Quarticity with High Frequency Data,"
Working Papers - Mathematical Economics
2011-06, Universita' degli Studi di Firenze, Dipartimento di Scienze per l'Economia e l'Impresa, revised Jan 2012.
- Maria Elvira Mancino & Simona Sanfelici, 2012. "Estimation of quarticity with high-frequency data," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 12(4), pages 607-622, December.
- Andrew Ang & Dennis Kristensen, 2011.
"Testing Conditional Factor Models,"
NBER Working Papers
17561, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Dennis Kristensen & Andrew Ang, 2009. "Testing Conditional Factor Models," CREATES Research Papers 2009-09, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
- Ang, Andrew & Kristensen, Dennis, 2012. "Testing conditional factor models," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 106(1), pages 132-156.
- Jiayuan Zhou & Feiyu Jiang & Ke Zhu & Wai Keung Li, 2019. "Time series models for realized covariance matrices based on the matrix-F distribution," Papers 1903.12077, arXiv.org, revised Jul 2020.
- Li, Yifan & Nolte, Ingmar & Vasios, Michalis & Voev, Valeri & Xu, Qi, 2022. "Weighted Least Squares Realized Covariation Estimation," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 137(C).
- Manabu Asai & Michael McAleer, 2014.
"Forecasting Co-Volatilities via Factor Models with Asymmetry and Long Memory in Realized Covariance,"
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FRB Atlanta Working Paper
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FRB Atlanta Working Paper
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"GFC-robust risk management strategies under the Basel Accord,"
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FRB Atlanta Working Paper
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Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin
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NBER Working Papers
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- Denisa Georgiana Banulescu & Ferrara Laurent & Marsilli Clément, 2019. "Prévoir la volatilité d’un actif financier à l’aide d’un modèle à mélange de fréquences," Working Papers hal-03563168, HAL.
- Andrew J. Patton & Yasin Simsek, 2023. "Generalized Autoregressive Score Trees and Forests," Papers 2305.18991, arXiv.org.
- Degiannakis, Stavros & Floros, Christos & Dent, Pamela, 2013.
"Forecasting value-at-risk and expected shortfall using fractionally integrated models of conditional volatility: International evidence,"
International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 27(C), pages 21-33.
- Degiannakis, Stavros & Floros, Christos & Dent, Pamela, 2013. "Forecasting Value-at-Risk and Expected Shortfall using Fractionally Integrated Models of Conditional Volatility: International Evidence," MPRA Paper 80433, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Chen Liu & Chao Wang & Minh-Ngoc Tran & Robert Kohn, 2023. "Deep Learning Enhanced Realized GARCH," Papers 2302.08002, arXiv.org, revised Oct 2023.
- Tetsuya Takaishi, 2013. "Empirical Analysis of Stochastic Volatility Model by Hybrid Monte Carlo Algorithm," Papers 1305.3184, arXiv.org.
- Elie BOURI, 2011. "An Attempt to Capture Leptokurtic of Returns and to Model Its Volatility: The Case of Beirut Stock Exchange," Review of Economic and Business Studies, Alexandru Ioan Cuza University, Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, issue 8, pages 259-271, December.
- Chevallier, Julien, 2011.
"Detecting instability in the volatility of carbon prices,"
Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 33(1), pages 99-110, January.
- Julien Chevallier, 2011. "Detecting Instability in the Volatility of Carbon Prices," Post-Print hal-00991957, HAL.
- Qadan, Mahmoud & Nama, Hazar, 2018. "Investor sentiment and the price of oil," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 69(C), pages 42-58.
- Veiga, Helena, 2006. "Volatility forecasts: a continuous time model versus discrete time models," DES - Working Papers. Statistics and Econometrics. WS ws062509, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid. Departamento de EstadÃstica.
- Min Liu & Wei‐Chong Choo & Chi‐Chuan Lee & Chien‐Chiang Lee, 2023. "Trading volume and realized volatility forecasting: Evidence from the China stock market," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(1), pages 76-100, January.
- Borgsen, Sina & Glaser, Markus, 2005. "Diversifikationseffekte durch small und mid caps? : Eine empirische Untersuchung basierend auf europäischen Aktienindizes," Papers 05-10, Sonderforschungsbreich 504.
- Pengfei Zhao & Haoren Zhu & Wilfred Siu Hung NG & Dik Lun Lee, 2024. "From GARCH to Neural Network for Volatility Forecast," Papers 2402.06642, arXiv.org.
- Pan, Zhiyuan & Huang, Xiao & Liu, Li & Huang, Juan, 2023. "Geopolitical uncertainty and crude oil volatility: Evidence from oil-importing and oil-exporting countries," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 52(C).
- McMillan, David G. & Kambouroudis, Dimos, 2009. "Are RiskMetrics forecasts good enough? Evidence from 31 stock markets," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 18(3), pages 117-124, June.
- Di Zhang & Youzhou Zhou, 2025. "Fast Computation of Randomly Walking Volatility with Chained Gamma Distributions," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 66(3), pages 2199-2223, September.
- Oliver Pfante & Nils Bertschinger, 2016. "Volatility Inference and Return Dependencies in Stochastic Volatility Models," Papers 1610.00312, arXiv.org.
- Hoque, Mohammad Enamul & Soo-Wah, Low & Billah, Mabruk, 2023. "Time-frequency connectedness and spillover among carbon, climate, and energy futures: Determinants and portfolio risk management implications," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 127(PB).
- González-Pedraz, Carlos & Moreno, Manuel & Peña, Juan Ignacio, 2014. "Tail risk in energy portfolios," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 46(C), pages 422-434.
- Hossain, Md. Jamal & Akter, Sadia & Ismail, Mohd Tahir, 2021. "Performance Analysis of GARCH Family Models in Three Time-frames," Jurnal Ekonomi Malaysia, Faculty of Economics and Business, Universiti Kebangsaan Malaysia, vol. 55(2), pages 15-28.
- Vasyl Golosnoy & Yarema Okhrin, 2015. "Using information quality for volatility model combinations," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 15(6), pages 1055-1073, June.
- Bams, Dennis & Blanchard, Gildas & Lehnert, Thorsten, 2017. "Volatility measures and Value-at-Risk," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 33(4), pages 848-863.
- Shesadri Banerjee, 2017. "Empirical Regularities of Inflation Volatility: Evidence from Advanced and Developing Countries," South Asian Journal of Macroeconomics and Public Finance, , vol. 6(1), pages 133-156, June.
- Taylor, Nicholas, 2008. "Can idiosyncratic volatility help forecast stock market volatility?," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 24(3), pages 462-479.
- Mauro Bernardi & Leopoldo Catania & Lea Petrella, 2014. "Are news important to predict large losses?," Papers 1410.6898, arXiv.org, revised Oct 2014.
- Jirou, Ismail & Jebabli, Ikram & Lahiani, Amine, 2025. "A hybrid deep learning model for cryptocurrency returns forecasting: Comparison of the performance of financial markets and impact of external variables," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 73(PA).
- McMillan, David G. & Speight, Alan E.H. & Evans, Kevin P., 2008. "How useful is intraday data for evaluating daily Value-at-Risk?: Evidence from three Euro rates," Journal of Multinational Financial Management, Elsevier, vol. 18(5), pages 488-503, December.
- B. Dupoyet & H. R. Fiebig & D. P. Musgrove, 2011. "Arbitrage-free Self-organizing Markets with GARCH Properties: Generating them in the Lab with a Lattice Model," Papers 1112.2379, arXiv.org.
- Elyasiani, Elyas & Mansur, Iqbal, 2017. "Hedge fund return, volatility asymmetry, and systemic effects: A higher-moment factor-EGARCH model," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 28(C), pages 49-65.
- Li, Jiang-Cheng & Xu, Ming-Zhe & Han, Xu & Tao, Chen, 2022. "Dynamic risk resonance between crude oil and stock market by econophysics and machine learning," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 607(C).
- García-Ferrer, Antonio & González-Prieto, Ester & Peña, Daniel, 2012. "A conditionally heteroskedastic independent factor model with an application to financial stock returns," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 28(1), pages 70-93.
- Patton, Andrew J., 2011. "Data-based ranking of realised volatility estimators," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 161(2), pages 284-303, April.
- Ma, Feng & Wahab, M.I.M. & Huang, Dengshi & Xu, Weiju, 2017. "Forecasting the realized volatility of the oil futures market: A regime switching approach," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 67(C), pages 136-145.
- Bu Tian & Tianyu Yan & Hong Yin, 2025. "Forecasting the Volatility of CSI 300 Index with a Hybrid Model of LSTM and Multiple GARCH Models," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 66(3), pages 1969-1999, September.
- Geweke, John & Durham, Garland, 2019. "Sequentially adaptive Bayesian learning algorithms for inference and optimization," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 210(1), pages 4-25.
- Ahmed BenSaïda & Sabri Boubaker & Duc Khuong Nguyen & Skander Slim, 2018. "Value‐at‐risk under market shifts through highly flexible models," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 37(8), pages 790-804, December.
- Marcelo Scherer Perlin & Mauro Mastella & Daniel Francisco Vancin & Henrique Pinto Ramos, 2021. "A GARCH Tutorial with R," RAC - Revista de Administração Contemporânea (Journal of Contemporary Administration), ANPAD - Associação Nacional de Pós-Graduação e Pesquisa em Administração, vol. 25(1), pages 200088-2000.
- Eric Hillebrand & Marcelo Cunha Medeiros, 2010. "Asymmetries, breaks, and long-range dependence: An estimation framework for daily realized volatility," Textos para discussão 578, Department of Economics PUC-Rio (Brazil).
- Thilo A. Schmitt & Rudi Schäfer & Dominik Wied & Thomas Guhr, 2016. "Spatial dependence in stock returns: local normalization and VaR forecasts," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 50(3), pages 1091-1109, May.
- Stavros Degiannakis & Evdokia Xekalaki, 2007.
"Assessing the performance of a prediction error criterion model selection algorithm in the context of ARCH models,"
Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 17(2), pages 149-171.
- Degiannakis, Stavros & Xekalaki, Evdokia, 2007. "Assessing the Performance of a Prediction Error Criterion Model Selection Algorithm in the Context of ARCH Models," MPRA Paper 96324, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Chen Liu & Minh-Ngoc Tran & Chao Wang & Richard Gerlach & Robert Kohn, 2023. "Global Neural Networks and The Data Scaling Effect in Financial Time Series Forecasting," Papers 2309.02072, arXiv.org, revised Feb 2025.
- Andromahi Kufo & Ardit Gjeci & Artemisa Pilkati, 2023. "Unveiling the Influencing Factors of Cryptocurrency Return Volatility," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 17(1), pages 1-22, December.
- Gregor Wei{ss} & Marcus Scheffer, 2012. "Smooth Nonparametric Bernstein Vine Copulas," Papers 1210.2043, arXiv.org.
- Harold Ngalawa & Adebayo Augustine Kutu, 2017. "Modelling exchange rate variations and global shocks in Brazil," Zbornik radova Ekonomskog fakulteta u Rijeci/Proceedings of Rijeka Faculty of Economics, University of Rijeka, Faculty of Economics and Business, vol. 35(1), pages 73-95.
- Claudeci Da Silva & Hugo Agudelo Murillo & Joaquim Miguel Couto, 2014. "Early Warning Systems: Análise De Ummodelo Probit De Contágio De Crise Dos Estados Unidos Para O Brasil(2000-2010)," Anais do XL Encontro Nacional de Economia [Proceedings of the 40th Brazilian Economics Meeting] 110, ANPEC - Associação Nacional dos Centros de Pós-Graduação em Economia [Brazilian Association of Graduate Programs in Economics].
- Sabbaghi, Omid, 2022. "The impact of news on the volatility of ESG firms," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 51(C).
- Chen, Yixiang & Ma, Feng & Zhang, Yaojie, 2019. "Good, bad cojumps and volatility forecasting: New evidence from crude oil and the U.S. stock markets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 81(C), pages 52-62.
- Patton, Andrew J, 2001. "Estimation of Copula Models for Time Series of Possibly Different Length," University of California at San Diego, Economics Working Paper Series qt3fc1c8hw, Department of Economics, UC San Diego.
- Asger Lunde & Allan Timmermann, 2000.
"Duration Dependence in Stock Prices: An Analysis of Bull and Bear Markets,"
Econometric Society World Congress 2000 Contributed Papers
1216, Econometric Society.
- Lunde A. & Timmermann A., 2004. "Duration Dependence in Stock Prices: An Analysis of Bull and Bear Markets," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 22, pages 253-273, July.
- Timmermann, Allan & Lunde, Asger, 2003. "Duration Dependence in Stock Prices: An Analysis of Bull and Bear Markets," CEPR Discussion Papers 4104, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
Cited by:
- Richard Copp & Michael L. Kremmer & Eduardo Roca, 2010. "Should funds invest in socially responsible investments during downturns?," Accounting Research Journal, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 23(3), pages 254-266, November.
- Jia Liu & John M. Maheu & Yong Song, 2024.
"Identification and forecasting of bull and bear markets using multivariate returns,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 39(5), pages 723-745, August.
- Liu, Jia & Maheu, John M & Song, Yong, 2023. "Identification and Forecasting of Bull and Bear Markets using Multivariate Returns," MPRA Paper 119515, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Beata Bieszk-Stolorz & Krzysztof Dmytrów, 2021. "Evaluation of Changes on World Stock Exchanges in Connection with the SARS-CoV-2 Pandemic. Survival Analysis Methods," Risks, MDPI, vol. 9(7), pages 1-19, June.
- Ashraf, Dawood & Rizwan, Muhammad Suhail & Ahmad, Ghufran, 2022. "Islamic equity investments and the COVID-19 pandemic," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 73(C).
- Felix Haase & Matthias Neuenkirch, 2020.
"Predictability of Bull and Bear Markets: A New Look at Forecasting Stock Market Regimes (and Returns) in the US,"
Research Papers in Economics
2020-01, University of Trier, Department of Economics.
- Felix Haase & Matthias Neuenkirch, 2020. "Predictability of Bull and Bear Markets: A New Look at Forecasting Stock Market Regimes (and Returns) in the US," Working Paper Series 2020-03, University of Trier, Research Group Quantitative Finance and Risk Analysis.
- Haase, Felix & Neuenkirch, Matthias, 2023. "Predictability of bull and bear markets: A new look at forecasting stock market regimes (and returns) in the US," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 39(2), pages 587-605.
- Felix Haase & Matthias Neuenkirch, 2021. "Predictability of Bull and Bear Markets: A New Look at Forecasting Stock Market Regimes (and Returns) in the US," CESifo Working Paper Series 8828, CESifo.
- Alain-Philippe Fortin & Patrick Gagliardini & Olivier Scaillet, 2022.
"Eigenvalue tests for the number of latent factors in short panels,"
Papers
2210.16042, arXiv.org.
- Alain-Philippe Fortin & Patrick Gagliardini & O. Scaillet, 2022. "Eigenvalue tests for the number of latent factors in short panels," Swiss Finance Institute Research Paper Series 22-81, Swiss Finance Institute.
- Dumitriu, Ramona & Stefanescu, Razvan & Nistor, Costel, 2010. "Systematic risks for the financial and for the non-financial Romanian companies," MPRA Paper 41636, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 28 Feb 2010.
- Maheu, John M. & McCurdy, Thomas H. & Song, Yong, 2021.
"Bull and bear markets during the COVID-19 pandemic,"
Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 42(C).
- John M. Maheu & Thomas H. McCurdy & Yong Song, 2020. "Bull and Bear Markets During the COVID-19 Pandemic," Papers 2012.01623, arXiv.org.
- Maheu, John M & McCurdy, Thomas H & Song, Yong, 2020. "Bull and Bear Markets During the COVID-19 Pandemic," MPRA Paper 104504, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Villena, Marcelo J. & Araneda, Axel A., 2024. "On sectoral market efficiency," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 61(C).
- Li, Ziran & Sun, Jiajing & Wang, Shouyang, 2013. "Amplitude-Duration-Persistence Trade-off Relationship for Long Term Bear Stock Markets," MPRA Paper 54177, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Fernando López & Mariano Matilla-García & Jesús Mur & Manuel Ruiz Marín, 2021. "Statistical Tests of Symbolic Dynamics," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 9(8), pages 1-21, April.
- Yong Song & Tomasz Wo'zniak, 2020. "Markov Switching," Papers 2002.03598, arXiv.org.
- Yehong Liu & Guosheng Yin, 2018. "Average Holding Price," Annals of Financial Economics (AFE), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 13(01), pages 1-20, March.
- Luca Agnello & Vitor Castro & Ricardo Sousa, 2019. "The Benevolence of Time, Sound Macroeconomic Environment and Governance Quality on the Duration of Sovereign Ratings Phases," Working Papers 34, European Stability Mechanism.
- Li, Ming-Yuan Leon, 2009. "Value or volume strategy?," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 6(4), pages 210-218, December.
- B M, Lithin & chakraborty, Suman & iyer, Vishwanathan & M N, Nikhil & ledwani, Sanket, 2022. "Modeling asymmetric sovereign bond yield volatility with univariate GARCH models: Evidence from India," MPRA Paper 117067, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 05 Jan 2023.
- Straetmans, S.T.M. & Candelon, B. & Ahmed, J., 2012.
"Predicting and capitalizing on stock market bears in the U.S,"
Research Memorandum
019, Maastricht University, Maastricht Research School of Economics of Technology and Organization (METEOR).
- Bertrand Candelon & Jameel Ahmed & Stefan Straetmans, 2014. "Predicting and Capitalizing on Stock Market Bears in the U.S," Working Papers 2014-409, Department of Research, Ipag Business School.
- Sabri Boubaker & Zhenya Liu & Yaosong Zhan, 2022.
"Risk management for crude oil futures: an optimal stopping-timing approach,"
Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 313(1), pages 9-27, June.
- S. Boubaker & Liu, Z. & Zhan, Y., 2021. "Risk management for crude oil futures: an optimal stopping-timing approach," Post-Print hal-03323674, HAL.
- S. Boubaker & Zhenya Liu & Yaosong Zhan, 2022. "Risk Management for Crude Oil Futures: An Optimal Stopping-Timing Approach," Post-Print hal-04452669, HAL.
- He, Qing & Qian, Zongxin & Fei, Zhe & Chong, Terence Tai Leung, 2016.
"Do Speculative Bubbles Migrate in the Chinese Stock Market?,"
MPRA Paper
80575, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Qing He & Zongxin Qian & Zhe Fei & Terence Tai-Leung Chong, 2019. "Do speculative bubbles migrate in the Chinese stock market?," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 56(2), pages 735-754, February.
- Ben Sita, Bernard & Abdallah, Wissam, 2014. "Volatility links between the home and the host market for U.K. dual-listed stocks on U.S. markets," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 33(C), pages 183-199.
- Pesaran, M. Hashem & Timmermann, Allan, 2006.
"Testing Dependence among Serially Correlated Multi-Category Variables,"
IZA Discussion Papers
2196, IZA Network @ LISER.
- Pesaran, M.H. & Timmermann, A., 2006. "Testing Dependence Among Serially Correlated Multi-category Variables," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 0648, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
- M. Hashem Pesaran & Allan Timmermann, 2006. "Testing Dependence among Serially Correlated Multi-category Variables," CESifo Working Paper Series 1770, CESifo.
- Pesaran, M. Hashem & Timmermann, Allan, 2009. "Testing Dependence Among Serially Correlated Multicategory Variables," Journal of the American Statistical Association, American Statistical Association, vol. 104(485), pages 325-337.
- Chiang, Min-Hsien & Huang, Hsin-Yi, 2011. "Stock market momentum, business conditions, and GARCH option pricing models," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 18(3), pages 488-505, June.
- Yuanyuan Zhang & Stephen Chan & Jeffrey Chu & Hana Sulieman, 2020. "On the Market Efficiency and Liquidity of High-Frequency Cryptocurrencies in a Bull and Bear Market," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 13(1), pages 1-14, January.
- Tran, Thuy Nhung, 2022. "The Volatility of the Stock Market and Financial Cycle: GARCH Family Models," Jurnal Ekonomi Malaysia, Faculty of Economics and Business, Universiti Kebangsaan Malaysia, vol. 56(1), pages 151-168.
- Wang, Miao & Wong, M. C. Sunny, 2015. "Rational speculative bubbles in the US stock market and political cycles," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 13(C), pages 1-9.
- Pan, Beier, 2023. "The asymmetric dynamics of stock–bond liquidity correlation in China: The role of macro-financial determinants," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 124(C).
- Tommaso Proietti, 2024. "Ups and (Draw)Downs," CEIS Research Paper 576, Tor Vergata University, CEIS, revised 03 May 2024.
- James Ming Chen & Mobeen Ur Rehman, 2021. "A Pattern New in Every Moment: The Temporal Clustering of Markets for Crude Oil, Refined Fuels, and Other Commodities," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(19), pages 1-58, September.
- Dettoni, Robinson & Gil-Alana, Luis Alberiko, 2023. "Testing the hypothesis of duration dependence in the U.S. housing market," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 58(PD).
- Zegadło, Piotr, 2022. "Identifying bull and bear market regimes with a robust rule-based method," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 60(C).
- Scott M. R. Mahadeo & Reinhold Heinlein & Gabriella Deborah Legrenzi, 2019. "Tracing the Genesis of Contagion in the Oil-Finance Nexus," CESifo Working Paper Series 7925, CESifo.
- Gert Elaut & Michael Frömmel & Alexander Mende, 2017. "Duration Dependence, Behavioral Restrictions, and the Market Timing Ability of Commodity Trading Advisors," International Review of Finance, International Review of Finance Ltd., vol. 17(3), pages 427-450, September.
- Eric Girardin & Zhenya Liu, 2003. "The Chinese Stock Market: A Casino with 'Buffer Zones'?," Journal of Chinese Economic and Business Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 1(1), pages 57-70.
- S. D. Bekiros & D. A. Georgoutsos, 2008.
"Direction-of-change forecasting using a volatility-based recurrent neural network,"
Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(5), pages 407-417.
- Bekiros, S. & Georgoutsos, D., 2006. "Direction-of-Change Forecasting using a Volatility- Based Recurrent Neural Network," CeNDEF Working Papers 06-16, Universiteit van Amsterdam, Center for Nonlinear Dynamics in Economics and Finance.
- Don Harding & Adrian Pagan, 2009.
"An Econometric Analysis of Some Models for Constructed Binary Time Series,"
NCER Working Paper Series
39, National Centre for Econometric Research, revised 02 Jul 2009.
- Don Harding & Adrian Pagan, 2009. "An econometric analysis of some models for constructed binary time series," CAMA Working Papers 2009-08, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Don Harding & Adrian Pagan, 2011. "An Econometric Analysis of Some Models for Constructed Binary Time Series," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 29(1), pages 86-95, January.
- Harding, Don & Pagan, Adrian, 2011. "An Econometric Analysis of Some Models for Constructed Binary Time Series," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 29(1), pages 86-95.
- Scott M. R. Mahadeo & Reinhold Heinlein & Gabriella Deborah Legrenzi, 2018.
"Energy Contagion Analysis: A New Perspective with Application to a Small Petroleum Economy,"
CESifo Working Paper Series
7279, CESifo.
- Mahadeo, Scott M.R. & Heinlein, Reinhold & Legrenzi, Gabriella D., 2019. "Energy contagion analysis: A new perspective with application to a small petroleum economy," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 890-903.
- Marco Marozzi, 2014. "The multisample Cucconi test," Statistical Methods & Applications, Springer;Società Italiana di Statistica, vol. 23(2), pages 209-227, June.
- Laopodis, Nikiforos T., 2016. "Industry returns, market returns and economic fundamentals: Evidence for the United States," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 53(C), pages 89-106.
- Vitor Castro & Boris Fisera, 2022. "Determinants of the Duration of Economic Recoveries: The Role of ´Too Much Finance´," Working Papers IES 2022/33, Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences, Institute of Economic Studies, revised Dec 2022.
- John M Maheu & Thomas H McCurdy & Yong Song, 2009. "Extracting bull and bear markets from stock returns," Working Papers tecipa-369, University of Toronto, Department of Economics.
- Don Harding & Adrian Pagan, 2006. "The Econometric Analysis of Constructed Binary Time Series," Department of Economics - Working Papers Series 963, The University of Melbourne.
- Claessens, Stijn & Kose, M. Ayhan & Terrones, Marco, 2011.
"Financial Cycles: What? How? When?,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
8379, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Stijn Claessens & M. Ayhan Kose & Marco E. Terrones, 2011. "Financial Cycles: What? How? When?," NBER International Seminar on Macroeconomics, University of Chicago Press, vol. 7(1), pages 303-344.
- Mr. Marco Terrones & Mr. Ayhan Kose & Mr. Stijn Claessens, 2011. "Financial Cycles: What? How? When?," IMF Working Papers 2011/076, International Monetary Fund.
- Stijn Claessens & M. Ayhan Kose & Marco E. Terrones, 2010. "Financial Cycles: What? How? When?," NBER Chapters, in: NBER International Seminar on Macroeconomics 2010, pages 303-343, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Jarno Tikkanen & Janne Äijö, 2018. "Does the F-score improve the performance of different value investment strategies in Europe?," Journal of Asset Management, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 19(7), pages 495-506, December.
- Alain-Philippe Fortin & Patrick Gagliardini & Olivier Scaillet, 2023.
"Latent Factor Analysis in Short Panels,"
Papers
2306.14004, arXiv.org, revised Oct 2025.
- Alain-Philippe Fortin & Patrick Gagliardini & Olivier Scaillet, 2023. "Latent Factor Analysis in Short Panels," Swiss Finance Institute Research Paper Series 23-44, Swiss Finance Institute.
- Polko-Zając Dominika, 2019. "On Permutation Location–Scale Tests," Statistics in Transition New Series, Statistics Poland, vol. 20(4), pages 153-166, December.
- Shu-Yi Liao & Sheng-Tung Chen & Mao-Lung Huang, 2016. "Will the oil price change damage the stock market in a bull market? A re-examination of their conditional relationships," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 50(3), pages 1135-1169, May.
- Candelon, Bertrand & Piplack, Jan & Straetmans, Stefan, 2008. "On measuring synchronization of bulls and bears: The case of East Asia," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 32(6), pages 1022-1035, June.
- Kole, H.J.W.G. & van Dijk, D.J.C., 2013.
"How to Identify and Forecast Bull and Bear Markets?,"
ERIM Report Series Research in Management
ERS-2013-016-F&A, Erasmus Research Institute of Management (ERIM), ERIM is the joint research institute of the Rotterdam School of Management, Erasmus University and the Erasmus School of Economics (ESE) at Erasmus University Rotterdam.
- Erik Kole & Dick Dijk, 2017. "How to Identify and Forecast Bull and Bear Markets?," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 32(1), pages 120-139, January.
- Valeriy Zakamulin & Javier Giner, 2020. "Trend following with momentum versus moving averages: a tale of differences," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 20(6), pages 985-1007, June.
- Chan, Stephen & Chu, Jeffrey & Zhang, Yuanyuan & Nadarajah, Saralees, 2022. "An extreme value analysis of the tail relationships between returns and volumes for high frequency cryptocurrencies," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 59(C).
- Alexakis, Christos & Dasilas, Apostolos & Grose, Chris, 2013. "Asymmetric dynamic relations between stock prices and mutual fund units in Japan. An application of hidden cointegration technique," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 28(C), pages 1-8.
- Fan, Jianqing & Gong, Wenyan & Zhu, Ziwei, 2019. "Generalized high-dimensional trace regression via nuclear norm regularization," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 212(1), pages 177-202.
- Agnello, Luca & Castro, Vítor & Sousa, Ricardo M., 2021. "On the duration of sovereign ratings cycle phases," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 182(C), pages 512-526.
- Mai Shibata, 2014. "The Influence of Japan’s Unsecured Overnight Call Rate on Bull and Bear Markets and Market Turns," Asia-Pacific Financial Markets, Springer;Japanese Association of Financial Economics and Engineering, vol. 21(4), pages 331-349, November.
- Xiao-Lin Li & Yi-Na Li & Lu Bai, 2019. "Stock Market Cycle and Business Cycle in China: Evidence from a Bootstrap Rolling Window Approach," Review of Economics & Finance, Better Advances Press, Canada, vol. 17, pages 35-50, August.
- Asger Lunde & Allan Timmermann, 2005. "Completion time structures of stock price movements," Annals of Finance, Springer, vol. 1(3), pages 293-326, August.
- Neeraj Nautiyal & Vinay Kandpal, 2025. "Nonlinearity Between Economic Indicators and Indian Capital Market," FIIB Business Review, , vol. 14(1), pages 43-57, January.
- Valeriy Zakamulin, 2023. "Not all bull and bear markets are alike: insights from a five-state hidden semi-Markov model," Risk Management, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 25(1), pages 1-25, March.
- Giner, Javier & Zakamulin, Valeriy, 2023. "A regime-switching model of stock returns with momentum and mean reversion," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 122(C).
- Balcilar, Mehmet & Gupta, Rangan & Sousa, Ricardo M. & Wohar, Mark E., 2021.
"Linking U.S. State-level housing market returns, and the consumption-(Dis)Aggregate wealth ratio,"
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PIER Working Paper Archive
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"Trade intensity in the Russian stock market: dynamics, distribution and determinants,"
Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 17(2), pages 87-104.
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LIDAM Discussion Papers CORE
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- BAUWENS, Luc & HAUTSCH, Nikolaus, 2009. "Modelling financial high frequency data using point processes," LIDAM Reprints CORE 2123, Université catholique de Louvain, Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE).
- Luc, BAUWENS & Nikolaus, HAUTSCH, 2006. "Modelling Financial High Frequency Data Using Point Processes," Discussion Papers (ECON - Département des Sciences Economiques) 2006039, Université catholique de Louvain, Département des Sciences Economiques.
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Other publications TiSEM
d8b70967-e398-4f5d-825b-1, Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management.
- Spierdijk, L. & Nijman, T.E. & van Soest, A.H.O., 2002. "The Price Impact of Trades in Illiquid Stocks in Periods of High and Low Market Activity," Discussion Paper 2002-29, Tilburg University, Center for Economic Research.
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"Time transformations, intraday data and volatility models,"
LIDAM Discussion Papers CORE
1999044, Université catholique de Louvain, Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE).
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"The Dynamics of Ex-ante Weighted Spread: An Empirical Analysis,"
Working Papers
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Articles
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"The Model Confidence Set,"
Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 79(2), pages 453-497, March.
See citations under working paper version above.
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"Subsampling realised kernels,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 160(1), pages 204-219, January.
See citations under working paper version above.
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- Ole E. Barndorff-Nielsen & Peter R. Hansen & Asger Lunde & Neil Shephard, 2006. "Subsampling realised kernels," OFRC Working Papers Series 2006fe06, Oxford Financial Research Centre.
- Neil Shephard & Ole E. Barndorff-Nielsen & Asger Lunde, 2006. "Subsampling realised kernels," Economics Series Working Papers 278, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.
- Barndorff-Nielsen, Ole E. & Hansen, Peter Reinhard & Lunde, Asger & Shephard, Neil, 2011.
"Multivariate realised kernels: Consistent positive semi-definite estimators of the covariation of equity prices with noise and non-synchronous trading,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 162(2), pages 149-169, June.
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- Ole E. Barndorff-Nielsen & Peter Reinhard Hansen & Asger Lunde & Neil Shephard, 2008. "Multivariate realised kernels: consistent positive semi-definite estimators of the covariation of equity prices with noise and non-synchronous trading," OFRC Working Papers Series 2008fe29, Oxford Financial Research Centre.
- Ole E. Barndorff-Nielsen & Peter Reinhard Hansen & Asger Lunde & Neil Shephard, 2009. "Multivariate Realised Kernels: Consistent Positive Semi-Definite Estimators of the Covariation of Equity Prices with Noise and Non-Synchronous Trading," Global COE Hi-Stat Discussion Paper Series gd08-037, Institute of Economic Research, Hitotsubashi University.
- Ole E. Barndorff-Nielsen & Peter Reinhard Hansen & Asger Lunde & Neil Shephard, 2008. "Multivariate realised kernels: consistent positive semi-definite estimators of the covariation of equity prices with noise and non-synchronous trading," Economics Papers 2008-W10, Economics Group, Nuffield College, University of Oxford.
- Ole E. Barndorff-Nielsen & Peter Reinhard Hansen & Asger Lunde & Neil Shephard, 2011. "Multivariate realised kernels: Consistent positive semi-definite estimators of the covariation of equity prices with noise and non-synchronous trading," Post-Print hal-00815564, HAL.
- Ole E. Barndorff-Nielsen & Peter Reinhard Hansen & Asger Lunde & Neil Shephard, 2008. "Multivariate realised kernels: consistent positive semi-definite estimators of the covariation of equity prices with noise and non-synchronous trading," CREATES Research Papers 2008-63, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
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"Intraday volatility responses to monetary policy events,"
Financial Markets and Portfolio Management, Springer;Swiss Society for Financial Market Research, vol. 23(4), pages 383-399, December.
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"Are classical option pricing models consistent with observed option second-order moments? Evidence from high-frequency data,"
Economics Working Paper Series
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"Forecasting volatility with time-varying leverage and volatility of volatility effects,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 36(4), pages 1301-1317.
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- Peter Reinhard Hansen & Chen Tong, 2024.
"Convolution-t Distributions,"
Papers
2404.00864, arXiv.org.
- Hansen, Peter Reinhard & Tong, Chen, 2026. "Convolution-t distributions," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 254(PB).
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"Forecasting return volatility: Level shifts with varying jump probability and mean reversion,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 30(3), pages 449-463.
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- Kim Christensen & Charlotte Christiansen & Anders M. Posselt, 2019.
"The Economic Value of VIX ETPs,"
CREATES Research Papers
2019-14, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
- Christensen, Kim & Christiansen, Charlotte & Posselt, Anders M., 2020. "The economic value of VIX ETPs," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 121-138.
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- Fabrizio Cipollini & Robert F. Engle & Giampiero M. Gallo, 2016.
"Copula--based Specification of vector MEMs,"
Econometrics Working Papers Archive
2016_04, Universita' degli Studi di Firenze, Dipartimento di Statistica, Informatica, Applicazioni "G. Parenti".
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"Do We Need High Frequency Data to Forecast Variances?,"
Post-Print
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- Denisa Banulescu-Radu & Christophe Hurlin & Bertrand Candelon & Sébastien Laurent, 2016. "Do We Need High Frequency Data to Forecast Variances?," Annals of Economics and Statistics, GENES, issue 123-124, pages 135-174.
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- Barbara Będowska-Sójka, 2021. "Is liquidity wasted? The zero-returns on the Warsaw Stock Exchange," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 297(1), pages 37-51, February.
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- Fangfang Wang, 2016. "An Unbiased Measure of Integrated Volatility in the Frequency Domain," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 37(2), pages 147-164, March.
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"Exponential GARCH Modeling with Realized Measures of Volatility,"
CREATES Research Papers
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- Peter Reinhard Hansen & Zhuo Huang, 2016. "Exponential GARCH Modeling With Realized Measures of Volatility," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 34(2), pages 269-287, April.
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Discussion Papers
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"Does Anything Beat 5-Minute RV? A Comparison of Realized Measures Across Multiple Asset Classes,"
Economics Series Working Papers
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"Positive semidefinite integrated covariance estimation, factorizations and asynchronicity,"
Post-Print
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