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Estimation of the discontinuous leverage effect: Evidence from the NASDAQ order book

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  • Bibinger, Markus
  • Neely, Christopher
  • Winkelmann, Lars

Abstract

An extensive empirical literature documents a generally negative relation, named the leverage effect, between asset returns and changes of volatility. It is more challenging to establish such a return-volatility relationship for jumps in high-frequency data. We propose new nonparametric methods to assess and test for a discontinuous leverage effect i.e. a covariation between contemporaneous jumps in prices and volatility. The methods are robust to market microstructure noise and build on a newly developed price-jump localization and estimation procedure. Our empirical investigation of six years of transaction data from 320 NASDAQ firms displays no unconditional negative covariation between price and volatility cojumps. We show, however, that there is a strong and significant discontinuous leverage effect if one conditions on the sign of price jumps and whether the price jumps are market-wide or idiosyncratic.

Suggested Citation

  • Bibinger, Markus & Neely, Christopher & Winkelmann, Lars, 2018. "Estimation of the discontinuous leverage effect: Evidence from the NASDAQ order book," IRTG 1792 Discussion Papers 2018-055, Humboldt University of Berlin, International Research Training Group 1792 "High Dimensional Nonstationary Time Series".
  • Handle: RePEc:zbw:irtgdp:2018055
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    Cited by:

    1. Antonio Briola & Jeremy Turiel & Riccardo Marcaccioli & Alvaro Cauderan & Tomaso Aste, 2021. "Deep Reinforcement Learning for Active High Frequency Trading," Papers 2101.07107, arXiv.org, revised Aug 2023.
    2. Winkelmann, Lars & Yao, Wenying, 2020. "Cojump anchoring," Discussion Papers 2020/17, Free University Berlin, School of Business & Economics.
    3. Huiling Yuan & Yulei Sun & Lu Xu & Yong Zhou & Xiangyu Cui, 2022. "A new volatility model: GQARCH‐ItÔ model," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 43(3), pages 345-370, May.
    4. Winkelmann, Lars & Yao, Wenying, 2021. "Tests for jumps in yield spreads," Discussion Papers 2021/15, Free University Berlin, School of Business & Economics.
    5. Tim Bollerslev & Jia Li & Leonardo Salim Saker Chaves, 2021. "Generalized Jump Regressions for Local Moments," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 39(4), pages 1015-1025, October.
    6. Yatracos, Yannis G., 2018. "Residual'S Influence Index (Rinfin), Bad Leverage And Unmasking In High Dimensional L2-Regression," IRTG 1792 Discussion Papers 2018-060, Humboldt University of Berlin, International Research Training Group 1792 "High Dimensional Nonstationary Time Series".
    7. Deniz Erdemlioglu & Christopher J. Neely & Xiye Yang, 2023. "Systemic Tail Risk: High-Frequency Measurement, Evidence and Implications," Working Papers 2023-016, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.
    8. Yuan, Huiling & Zhou, Yong & Xu, Lu & Sun, Yulei & Cui, Xiangyu, 2020. "A New Volatility Model: GQARCH-Ito Model," SocArXiv hkzdr, Center for Open Science.
    9. Huang, Jing-Zhi & Ni, Jun & Xu, Li, 2022. "Leverage effect in cryptocurrency markets," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 73(C).

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    High-frequency data; market microstructure; news impact; market-wide jumps; price jump; volatility jump;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C13 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Estimation: General
    • C58 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Financial Econometrics

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