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Estimation of the discontinuous leverage effect: Evidence from the NASDAQ order book

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An extensive empirical literature documents a generally negative correlation, named the ?leverage effect,? between asset returns and changes of volatility. It is more challenging to establish such a return-volatility relationship for jumps in high-frequency data. We propose new nonparametric methods to assess and test for a discontinuous leverage effect ? i.e. a relation between contemporaneous jumps in prices and volatility ? in high-frequency data with market microstructure noise. We present local tests and estimators for price jumps and volatility jumps. Five years of transaction data from 320 NASDAQ firms display no negative relation between price and volatility cojumps. We show, however, that there is a strong relation between price-volatility cojumps if one conditions on the sign of price jumps and whether the price jumps are market-wide or idiosyncratic.

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  • Markus Bibinger & Christopher J. Neely & Lars Winkelmann, 2017. "Estimation of the discontinuous leverage effect: Evidence from the NASDAQ order book," Working Papers 2017-12, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.
  • Handle: RePEc:fip:fedlwp:2017-012
    DOI: 10.20955/wp.2017.012
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    Cited by:

    1. Antonio Briola & Jeremy Turiel & Riccardo Marcaccioli & Alvaro Cauderan & Tomaso Aste, 2021. "Deep Reinforcement Learning for Active High Frequency Trading," Papers 2101.07107, arXiv.org, revised Aug 2023.
    2. Deniz Erdemlioglu & Christopher J. Neely & Xiye Yang, 2023. "Systemic Tail Risk: High-Frequency Measurement, Evidence and Implications," Working Papers 2023-016, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.
    3. Winkelmann, Lars & Yao, Wenying, 2020. "Cojump anchoring," Discussion Papers 2020/17, Free University Berlin, School of Business & Economics.
    4. Huiling Yuan & Yulei Sun & Lu Xu & Yong Zhou & Xiangyu Cui, 2022. "A new volatility model: GQARCH‐ItÔ model," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 43(3), pages 345-370, May.
    5. Lars Winkelmann & Wenying Yao, 2024. "Tests for Jumps in Yield Spreads," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 42(3), pages 946-957, July.
    6. Yuan, Huiling & Zhou, Yong & Xu, Lu & Sun, Yulei & Cui, Xiangyu, 2020. "A New Volatility Model: GQARCH-Ito Model," SocArXiv hkzdr, Center for Open Science.
    7. Tim Bollerslev & Jia Li & Leonardo Salim Saker Chaves, 2021. "Generalized Jump Regressions for Local Moments," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 39(4), pages 1015-1025, October.
    8. Huang, Jing-Zhi & Ni, Jun & Xu, Li, 2022. "Leverage effect in cryptocurrency markets," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 73(C).
    9. Nunes, João Pedro Vidal & Ruas, João Pedro, 2024. "A note on the Gumbel convergence for the Lee and Mykland jump tests," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 59(C).
    10. Markus Bibinger & Nikolaus Hautsch & Alexander Ristig, 2024. "Jump detection in high-frequency order prices," Papers 2403.00819, arXiv.org.
    11. Yatracos, Yannis G., 2018. "Residual'S Influence Index (Rinfin), Bad Leverage And Unmasking In High Dimensional L2-Regression," IRTG 1792 Discussion Papers 2018-060, Humboldt University of Berlin, International Research Training Group 1792 "High Dimensional Nonstationary Time Series".

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    High-frequency data; market microstructure; news impact; market-wide jumps; price jump; volatility jump.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C14 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Semiparametric and Nonparametric Methods: General
    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
    • G1 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets

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