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Realized volatility with stochastic sampling

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  • Fukasawa, Masaaki

Abstract

A central limit theorem for the realized volatility of a one-dimensional continuous semimartingale based on a general stochastic sampling scheme is proved. The asymptotic distribution depends on the sampling scheme, which is written explicitly in terms of the asymptotic skewness and kurtosis of returns. Conditions for the central limit theorem to hold are examined for several concrete examples of schemes. Lower bounds for mean squared error and for asymptotic conditional variance are given, which are attained by using a specific sampling scheme.

Suggested Citation

  • Fukasawa, Masaaki, 2010. "Realized volatility with stochastic sampling," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 120(6), pages 829-852, June.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:spapps:v:120:y:2010:i:6:p:829-852
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Potiron, Yoann & Mykland, Per A., 2017. "Estimation of integrated quadratic covariation with endogenous sampling times," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 197(1), pages 20-41.
    2. Yuta Koike, 2013. "Limit Theorems for the Pre-averaged Hayashi-Yoshida Estimator with Random Sampling," Global COE Hi-Stat Discussion Paper Series gd12-276, Institute of Economic Research, Hitotsubashi University.
    3. Koike, Yuta, 2014. "Limit theorems for the pre-averaged Hayashi–Yoshida estimator with random sampling," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 124(8), pages 2699-2753.
    4. Altmeyer, Randolf & Bibinger, Markus, 2015. "Functional stable limit theorems for quasi-efficient spectral covolatility estimators," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 125(12), pages 4556-4600.
    5. Li, Yingying & Zhang, Zhiyuan & Zheng, Xinghua, 2013. "Volatility inference in the presence of both endogenous time and microstructure noise," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 123(7), pages 2696-2727.
    6. Timo Dimitriadis & Roxana Halbleib & Jeannine Polivka & Jasper Rennspies & Sina Streicher & Axel Friedrich Wolter, 2022. "Efficient Sampling for Realized Variance Estimation in Time-Changed Diffusion Models," Papers 2212.11833, arXiv.org, revised Dec 2023.
    7. Markus Bibinger & Per A. Mykland, 2016. "Inference for Multi-dimensional High-frequency Data with an Application to Conditional Independence Testing," Scandinavian Journal of Statistics, Danish Society for Theoretical Statistics;Finnish Statistical Society;Norwegian Statistical Association;Swedish Statistical Association, vol. 43(4), pages 1078-1102, December.
    8. Yoann Potiron & Per Mykland, 2020. "Local Parametric Estimation in High Frequency Data," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 38(3), pages 679-692, July.
    9. Clinet, Simon & Potiron, Yoann, 2018. "Efficient asymptotic variance reduction when estimating volatility in high frequency data," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 206(1), pages 103-142.
    10. Patrick Chang & Etienne Pienaar & Tim Gebbie, 2020. "The Epps effect under alternative sampling schemes," Papers 2011.11281, arXiv.org, revised Aug 2021.
    11. Masaaki Fukasawa & Tetsuya Takabatake & Rebecca Westphal, 2019. "Is Volatility Rough ?," Papers 1905.04852, arXiv.org, revised May 2019.
    12. Masaaki Fukasawa, 2014. "Efficient discretization of stochastic integrals," Finance and Stochastics, Springer, vol. 18(1), pages 175-208, January.
    13. Fukasawa, Masaaki & Rosenbaum, Mathieu, 2012. "Central limit theorems for realized volatility under hitting times of an irregular grid," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 122(12), pages 3901-3920.
    14. Masaaki Fukasawa & Tetsuya Takabatake & Rebecca Westphal, 2022. "Consistent estimation for fractional stochastic volatility model under high‐frequency asymptotics," Mathematical Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 32(4), pages 1086-1132, October.
    15. Jacod, Jean & Mykland, Per A., 2015. "Microstructure noise in the continuous case: Approximate efficiency of the adaptive pre-averaging method," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 125(8), pages 2910-2936.
    16. Rui Da & Dacheng Xiu, 2021. "When Moving‐Average Models Meet High‐Frequency Data: Uniform Inference on Volatility," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 89(6), pages 2787-2825, November.
    17. Charles S. Bos & Pawel Janus, 2013. "A Quantile-based Realized Measure of Variation: New Tests for Outlying Observations in Financial Data," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 13-155/III, Tinbergen Institute.
    18. Chang, Patrick & Pienaar, Etienne & Gebbie, Tim, 2021. "The Epps effect under alternative sampling schemes," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 583(C).
    19. Yuta Koike, 2017. "Time endogeneity and an optimal weight function in pre-averaging covariance estimation," Statistical Inference for Stochastic Processes, Springer, vol. 20(1), pages 15-56, April.
    20. Yuta Koike & Zhi Liu, 2019. "Asymptotic properties of the realized skewness and related statistics," Annals of the Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Springer;The Institute of Statistical Mathematics, vol. 71(4), pages 703-741, August.
    21. Ikeda, Shin S., 2016. "A bias-corrected estimator of the covariation matrix of multiple security prices when both microstructure effects and sampling durations are persistent and endogenous," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 193(1), pages 203-214.
    22. Rosenbaum, Mathieu & Tankov, Peter, 2011. "Asymptotic results for time-changed Lévy processes sampled at hitting times," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 121(7), pages 1607-1632, July.
    23. Bibinger, Markus, 2012. "An estimator for the quadratic covariation of asynchronously observed Itô processes with noise: Asymptotic distribution theory," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 122(6), pages 2411-2453.
    24. Randolf Altmeyer & Markus Bibinger, 2014. "Functional stable limit theorems for efficient spectral covolatility estimators," SFB 649 Discussion Papers SFB649DP2014-005, Sonderforschungsbereich 649, Humboldt University, Berlin, Germany.

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