IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/bla/jtsera/v35y2014i4p322-340.html

Quantile Periodogram And Time-Dependent Variance

Author

Listed:
  • Ta-Hsin Li

Abstract

type="main" xml:id="jtsa12065-abs-0001"> This article investigates the statistical properties of the recently introduced quantile periodogram for time series with time-dependent variance. The asymptotic distribution of the quantile periodogram is derived in the case where the time series consists of i.i.d. random variables multiplied by a time-dependent scale parameter. It is shown that the time-dependent variance is represented approximately additively in the mean of the asymptotic distribution of the quantile periodogram. It is also shown that the strength of the representation is proportional to the squared quantile of the i.i.d. random variables, so that a stronger characterization is expected at upper and lower quantile levels if the time series is centred at zero. These properties are further demonstrated by simulation results. The series of daily returns from the Dow Jones Industrial Average, which is known to exhibit heteroscedastic volatility, serves to motivate the investigation.

Suggested Citation

  • Ta-Hsin Li, 2014. "Quantile Periodogram And Time-Dependent Variance," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 35(4), pages 322-340, July.
    • Handle: RePEc:bla:jtsera:v:35:y:2014:i:4:p:322-340
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1111/jtsa.12065
    Download Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers.
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to

    for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Bollerslev, Tim, 1986. "Generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 31(3), pages 307-327, April.
    2. Ta-Hsin Li, 2012. "Quantile Periodograms," Journal of the American Statistical Association, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 107(498), pages 765-776, June.
    3. Asger Lunde & Peter R. Hansen, 2005. "A forecast comparison of volatility models: does anything beat a GARCH(1,1)?," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 20(7), pages 873-889.
    4. Ding, Zhuanxin & Granger, Clive W. J. & Engle, Robert F., 1993. "A long memory property of stock market returns and a new model," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 1(1), pages 83-106, June.
    5. Li, Ta-Hsin, 2008. "Laplace Periodogram for Time Series Analysis," Journal of the American Statistical Association, American Statistical Association, vol. 103, pages 757-768, June.
    6. Holger Dette & Marc Hallin & Tobias Kley & Stanislav Volgushev, 2011. "Of Copulas, Quantiles, Ranks and Spectra - An L1-Approach to Spectral Analysis," Working Papers ECARES ECARES 2011-038, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
    7. Lo, Andrew W, 1991. "Long-Term Memory in Stock Market Prices," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 59(5), pages 1279-1313, September.
    8. Engle, Robert F, 1982. "Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity with Estimates of the Variance of United Kingdom Inflation," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 50(4), pages 987-1007, July.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. B. Lafuente-Rego & P. D’Urso & J. A. Vilar, 2020. "Robust fuzzy clustering based on quantile autocovariances," Statistical Papers, Springer, vol. 61(6), pages 2393-2448, December.
    2. Stefan Birr & Holger Dette & Marc Hallin & Tobias Kley & Stanislav Volgushev, 2016. "On Wigner-Ville Spectra and the Unicity of Time-Varying Quantile-Based Spectral Densities," Working Papers ECARES ECARES 2016-38, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
    3. Yaeji Lim & Hee-Seok Oh, 2022. "Quantile spectral analysis of long-memory processes," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 62(3), pages 1245-1266, March.
    4. Stefan Birr & Stanislav Volgushev & Tobias Kley & Holger Dette & Marc Hallin, 2017. "Quantile spectral analysis for locally stationary time series," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 79(5), pages 1619-1643, November.
    5. Ta-Hsin Li, 2019. "Quantile-Frequency Analysis and Spectral Measures for Diagnostic Checks of Time Series With Nonlinear Dynamics," Papers 1908.02545, arXiv.org, revised Nov 2025.
    6. Han, Heejoon & Linton, Oliver & Oka, Tatsushi & Whang, Yoon-Jae, 2016. "The cross-quantilogram: Measuring quantile dependence and testing directional predictability between time series," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 193(1), pages 251-270.
    7. Chen, Tianbo & Sun, Ying & Li, Ta-Hsin, 2021. "A semi-parametric estimation method for the quantile spectrum with an application to earthquake classification using convolutional neural network," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 154(C).
    8. Jozef Baruník & Tobias Kley, 2019. "Quantile coherency: A general measure for dependence between cyclical economic variables," The Econometrics Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 22(2), pages 131-152.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Thilo A. Schmitt & Rudi Schafer & Holger Dette & Thomas Guhr, 2015. "Quantile Correlations: Uncovering temporal dependencies in financial time series," Papers 1507.04990, arXiv.org.
    2. Thilo A. Schmitt & Rudi Schäfer & Holger Dette & Thomas Guhr, 2015. "Quantile Correlations: Uncovering Temporal Dependencies In Financial Time Series," International Journal of Theoretical and Applied Finance (IJTAF), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 18(07), pages 1-16, November.
    3. Ta‐Hsin Li, 2021. "Quantile‐frequency analysis and spectral measures for diagnostic checks of time series with nonlinear dynamics," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series C, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 70(2), pages 270-290, March.
    4. Ta-Hsin Li, 2019. "Quantile-Frequency Analysis and Spectral Measures for Diagnostic Checks of Time Series With Nonlinear Dynamics," Papers 1908.02545, arXiv.org, revised Nov 2025.
    5. Kononovicius, A. & Ruseckas, J., 2015. "Nonlinear GARCH model and 1/f noise," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 427(C), pages 74-81.
    6. Qingfeng Liu & Qingsong Yao & Guoqing Zhao, 2020. "Model averaging estimation for conditional volatility models with an application to stock market volatility forecast," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 39(5), pages 841-863, August.
    7. Jozef Baruník & Tobias Kley, 2019. "Quantile coherency: A general measure for dependence between cyclical economic variables," The Econometrics Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 22(2), pages 131-152.
    8. Vacca, Gianmarco & Zoia, Maria Grazia & Bagnato, Luca, 2022. "Forecasting in GARCH models with polynomially modified innovations," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 38(1), pages 117-141.
    9. Charles, Amélie, 2010. "The day-of-the-week effects on the volatility: The role of the asymmetry," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 202(1), pages 143-152, April.
    10. Ekaterina Smetanina, 2017. "Real-Time GARCH," Journal of Financial Econometrics, Oxford University Press, vol. 15(4), pages 561-601.
    11. Wang, Yudong & Wu, Chongfeng & Wei, Yu, 2011. "Can GARCH-class models capture long memory in WTI crude oil markets?," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 28(3), pages 921-927, May.
    12. Paul Eitelman & Justin Vitanza, 2008. "A non-random walk revisited: short- and long-term memory in asset prices," International Finance Discussion Papers 956, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    13. Thomas Adjei Kuffour & Peterson Owusu Junior & Patrick Kwashie Akorsu, 2025. "Modeling value-at-risk for green bonds and clean energy investments," Risk Management, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 27(4), pages 1-26, December.
    14. Safarian, Mher, 2013. "On portfolio risk estimation," Working Paper Series in Economics 52, Karlsruhe Institute of Technology (KIT), Department of Economics and Management.
    15. Antonio Díaz & Carlos Esparcia, 2021. "Dynamic optimal portfolio choice under time-varying risk aversion," International Economics, CEPII research center, issue 166, pages 1-22.
    16. David G. McMillan & Pako Thupayagale, 2009. "The efficiency of African equity markets," Studies in Economics and Finance, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 26(4), pages 275-292, October.
    17. Aleksejus Kononovicius & Julius Ruseckas, 2014. "Nonlinear GARCH model and 1/f noise," Papers 1412.6244, arXiv.org, revised Feb 2015.
    18. Elena Andreou & Constantinos Kourouyiannis & Andros Kourtellos, 2012. "Volatility Forecast Combinations using Asymmetric Loss Functions," University of Cyprus Working Papers in Economics 07-2012, University of Cyprus Department of Economics.
    19. Nikolaos A. Kyriazis, 2021. "A Survey on Volatility Fluctuations in the Decentralized Cryptocurrency Financial Assets," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 14(7), pages 1-46, June.
    20. S. M. Abdullah & Salina Siddiqua & Muhammad Shahadat Hossain Siddiquee & Nazmul Hossain, 2017. "Modeling and forecasting exchange rate volatility in Bangladesh using GARCH models: a comparison based on normal and Student’s t-error distribution," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 3(1), pages 1-19, December.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:bla:jtsera:v:35:y:2014:i:4:p:322-340. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Wiley Content Delivery (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.blackwellpublishing.com/journal.asp?ref=0143-9782 .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.