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Periodicity in Cryptocurrency Volatility and Liquidity

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  • Peter Reinhard Hansen
  • Chan Kim
  • Wade Kimbrough

Abstract

We study recurrent patterns in volatility and volume for major cryptocurrencies, Bitcoin and Ether, using data from two centralized exchanges (Coinbase Pro and Binance) and a decentralized exchange (Uniswap V2). We find systematic patterns in both volatility and volume across day-of-the-week, hour-of-the-day, and within the hour. These patterns have grown stronger over the years and can be related to algorithmic trading and funding times in futures markets. We also document that price formation mainly takes place on the centralized exchanges while price adjustments on the decentralized exchanges can be sluggish.

Suggested Citation

  • Peter Reinhard Hansen & Chan Kim & Wade Kimbrough, 2021. "Periodicity in Cryptocurrency Volatility and Liquidity," Papers 2109.12142, arXiv.org, revised Nov 2021.
  • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:2109.12142
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Asger Lunde & Peter R. Hansen, 2005. "A forecast comparison of volatility models: does anything beat a GARCH(1,1)?," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 20(7), pages 873-889.
    2. Dyhrberg, Anne H. & Foley, Sean & Svec, Jiri, 2018. "How investible is Bitcoin? Analyzing the liquidity and transaction costs of Bitcoin markets," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 171(C), pages 140-143.
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