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Trades and Quotes: A Bivariate Point Process

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  • Engle, Robert F
  • Lunde, Asger

Abstract

Recent empirical work has studied point processes of transactions in financial markets and observed clear time dependent patterns in these arrival times. However these studies do not examine the timing of quoted price changes. This paper formulates a bivariate point process to jointly analyze transaction and quote arrivals. In microstructure models, transactions may reveal private information which is then incorporated into new prices. This paper examines the speed of this information flow and the circumstances which govern it. One of the main conclusions are that conditional on past quote times, the impact of trade information is to make quote durations longer when there is more information flow rather than less. This is interpreted as evidence that limit order suppliers become more cautious in the presence of apparent informational trading.

Suggested Citation

  • Engle, Robert F & Lunde, Asger, 1998. "Trades and Quotes: A Bivariate Point Process," University of California at San Diego, Economics Working Paper Series qt8bh079sq, Department of Economics, UC San Diego.
    • Handle: RePEc:cdl:ucsdec:qt8bh079sq
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Robert F. Engle & Joe Lange, 1997. "Measuring, Forecasting and Explaining Time Varying Liquidity in the Stock Market," NBER Working Papers 6129, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    2. White, Halbert, 1983. "Corrigendum [Maximum Likelihood Estimation of Misspecified Models]," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 51(2), pages 513-513, March.
    3. Robert F. Engle, 2000. "The Econometrics of Ultra-High Frequency Data," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 68(1), pages 1-22, January.
    4. Kyle, Albert S, 1985. "Continuous Auctions and Insider Trading," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 53(6), pages 1315-1335, November.
    5. Alfonso Dufour & Robert F. Engle, 2000. "Time and the Price Impact of a Trade," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 55(6), pages 2467-2498, December.
    6. Diamond, Douglas W. & Verrecchia, Robert E., 1987. "Constraints on short-selling and asset price adjustment to private information," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 18(2), pages 277-311, June.
    7. Lee, Charles M C & Ready, Mark J, 1991. "Inferring Trade Direction from Intraday Data," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 46(2), pages 733-746, June.
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    Cited by:

    1. repec:hal:wpaper:hal-00777941 is not listed on IDEAS
    2. Nikolaus Hautsch, 1999. "Analyzing the Time between Trades with a Gamma Compounded Hazard Model. An Application to LIFFE Bund Future Transactions," Finance 9904002, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    3. Spierdijk, L. & Nijman, T.E. & van Soest, A.H.O., 2002. "The Price Impact of Trades in Illiquid Stocks in Periods of High and Low Market Activity," Discussion Paper 2002-29, Tilburg University, Center for Economic Research.
    4. Yang, Joey Wenling, 2011. "Transaction duration and asymmetric price impact of trades--Evidence from Australia," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 18(1), pages 91-102, January.
    5. Spierdijk, L., 2002. "An Empirical Analysis of the Role of the Trading Intensity in Information Dissemination on the NYSE," Discussion Paper 2002-30, Tilburg University, Center for Economic Research.
    6. Joel Hasbrouck, 1999. "Trading Fast and Slow: Security Market Events in Real Time," New York University, Leonard N. Stern School Finance Department Working Paper Seires 99-012, New York University, Leonard N. Stern School of Business-.
    7. Spierdijk, Laura, 2004. "An empirical analysis of the role of the trading intensity in information dissemination on the NYSE," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 11(2), pages 163-184, March.
    8. Spierdijk, L., 2002. "An Empirical Analysis of the Role of the Trading Intensity in Information Dissemination on the NYSE," Other publications TiSEM d495caf0-2f2a-425f-8e50-e, Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management.
    9. GIOT, Pierre, 1999. "Time transformations, intraday data and volatility models," LIDAM Discussion Papers CORE 1999044, Université catholique de Louvain, Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE).
    10. Ban Zheng & Franc{c}ois Roueff & Fr'ed'eric Abergel, 2013. "Ergodicity and scaling limit of a constrained multivariate Hawkes process," Papers 1301.5007, arXiv.org, revised Feb 2014.
    11. Alfonso Dufour & Robert F Engle, 2000. "The ACD Model: Predictability of the Time Between Concecutive Trades," ICMA Centre Discussion Papers in Finance icma-dp2000-05, Henley Business School, University of Reading.

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