IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/arx/papers/2511.10365.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

FCOC: A Fractal-Chaotic Co-driven Framework for Financial Volatility Forecasting

Author

Listed:
  • Yilong Zeng
  • Boyan Tang
  • Xuanhao Ren
  • Sherry Zhefang Zhou
  • Jianghua Wu
  • Raymond Lee

Abstract

This paper introduces the Fractal-Chaotic Oscillation Co-driven (FCOC) framework, a novel paradigm for financial volatility forecasting that systematically resolves the dual challenges of feature fidelity and model responsiveness. FCOC synergizes two core innovations: our novel Fractal Feature Corrector (FFC), engineered to extract high-fidelity fractal signals, and a bio-inspired Chaotic Oscillation Component (COC) that replaces static activations with a dynamic processing system. Empirically validated on the S\&P 500 and DJI, the FCOC framework demonstrates profound and generalizable impact. The framework fundamentally transforms the performance of previously underperforming architectures, such as the Transformer, while achieving substantial improvements in key risk-sensitive metrics for state-of-the-art models like Mamba. These results establish a powerful co-driven approach, where models are guided by superior theoretical features and powered by dynamic internal processors, setting a new benchmark for risk-aware forecasting.

Suggested Citation

  • Yilong Zeng & Boyan Tang & Xuanhao Ren & Sherry Zhefang Zhou & Jianghua Wu & Raymond Lee, 2025. "FCOC: A Fractal-Chaotic Co-driven Framework for Financial Volatility Forecasting," Papers 2511.10365, arXiv.org, revised Nov 2025.
  • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:2511.10365
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://arxiv.org/pdf/2511.10365
    File Function: Latest version
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    More about this item

    NEP fields

    This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:arx:papers:2511.10365. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: arXiv administrators (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://arxiv.org/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.