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Mixed-scale jump regressions with bootstrap inference

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  • Li, Jia
  • Todorov, Viktor
  • Tauchen, George
  • Chen, Rui

Abstract

We develop an efficient mixed-scale estimator for jump regressions using high-frequency asset returns. A fine time scale is used to accurately identify the locations of large rare jumps in the explanatory variables such as the price of the market portfolio. A coarse scale is then used in the estimation in order to attenuate the effect of trading frictions in the dependent variable such as the prices of potentially less liquid assets. The proposed estimator has a non-standard asymptotic distribution that cannot be made asymptotically pivotal via studentization. We propose a novel bootstrap procedure for feasible inference and justify its asymptotic validity. We show that the bootstrap provides an automatic higher-order asymptotic approximation by accounting for the sampling variation in estimates of nuisance quantities that are used in efficient estimation. The Monte Carlo analysis indicates good finite-sample performance of the general specification test and confidence intervals based on the bootstrap. We apply the method to a high-frequency panel of Dow stock prices together with the market index defined by the S&P 500 index futures over the period 2007–2014. We document remarkable temporal stability in the way that stocks react to market jumps. However, this relationship for many of the stocks in the sample is significantly noisier and more unstable during sector-specific jump events.

Suggested Citation

  • Li, Jia & Todorov, Viktor & Tauchen, George & Chen, Rui, 2017. "Mixed-scale jump regressions with bootstrap inference," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 201(2), pages 417-432.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:econom:v:201:y:2017:i:2:p:417-432
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jeconom.2017.08.017
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Dungey, Mardi & Erdemlioglu, Deniz & Matei, Marius & Yang, Xiye, 2018. "Testing for mutually exciting jumps and financial flights in high frequency data," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 202(1), pages 18-44.
    2. Yuma Uehara, 2023. "Bootstrap method for misspecified ergodic Lévy driven stochastic differential equation models," Annals of the Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Springer;The Institute of Statistical Mathematics, vol. 75(4), pages 533-565, August.
    3. Yuan Liao & Xiye Yang, 2017. "Uniform Inference for Characteristic Effects of Large Continuous-Time Linear Models," Papers 1711.04392, arXiv.org, revised Dec 2018.
    4. Nabil Bouamara & Kris Boudt & S'ebastien Laurent & Christopher J. Neely, 2023. "Sluggish news reactions: A combinatorial approach for synchronizing stock jumps," Papers 2309.15705, arXiv.org.
    5. Yuan Liao & Xiye Yang, 2017. "Uniform Inference for Conditional Factor Models with Instrumental and Idiosyncratic Betas," Departmental Working Papers 201711, Rutgers University, Department of Economics.
    6. Bo Yu & Bruce Mizrach & Norman R. Swanson, 2020. "New Evidence of the Marginal Predictive Content of Small and Large Jumps in the Cross-Section," Econometrics, MDPI, vol. 8(2), pages 1-52, May.
    7. Ahdi Noomen Ajmi & Roula Inglesi-Lotz, 2021. "Revisiting the Kuznets Curve Hypothesis for Tunisia: Carbon Dioxide vs. Ecological Footprint," Working Papers 202171, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Bootstrap; High-frequency data; Jumps; Regression; Semimartingale; Specification test; Stochastic volatility;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C51 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Model Construction and Estimation
    • C52 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Model Evaluation, Validation, and Selection
    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates

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